The impoverishment of Nicaragua

At the beginning of the Nicaraguan butchery, Daniel Ortega met with a senior US federal government official. It seemed like he wanted to advance the elections, put the power back and get out. He only asked that he and his family not be persecuted. Then he changed his mind, or maybe he never seriously thought about it and his only goal was to save time. The third possibility is that the gringo, despite his excellent command of Spanish, would have made a mistake. I do not think so.

At this point, it does not matter. The only certainty that we can get from Daniel Ortega is that he kills his opponents without limits and then denies it. He did it on the Fox network during a wonderful interview that he gave to Bret Baier, described by the journalist Pedro Joaquín Chamorro in the newspaper La Prensa as a total exercise of cynicism. Ortega had no contact with the paramilitaries. Relations with the Catholic Church were good. Nobody had died inside the temples. The rebellion was already under control. Pure Lies

Ortega does not usually give interviews, but the only way to reach Donald Trump was by Fox

Ortega does not usually give interviews, but the only way to Reaching Donald Trump was by Fox. If the media is the message, as the Canadian Marshall McLuhan said, the elected has left no room for doubt. The implicit message was "I'm no worse than Putin or Kim Jong-un, I'm guaranteeing that Nicaraguans will not become a migration problem for the US I've been democratically elected and I'm not a bad guy." I'm exhausting my mandate, but we can get along. " Mike Pence, Vice President of Trump, immediately responded. For Washington, he was still a murderer.

Nothing that Ortega said was true. Nicaraguans return to exile. They escape the cruelty of the government and the hunger that is envisioned. The economist Juan Sebastián Chamorro, president of FUNIDES, explained to me, dismayed, the great think-tank of the country. Tourism has already disappeared. Entrepreneurs are desperate. There is no domestic or foreign investment. The flight of capital is in progress. The reserves are diminishing, but they will eventually disappear. An inflation-devaluation awaits Cordoba like that of the eighties. The Nicaraguan bankers, perhaps the most competent in Central America, know that they will inexorably be swept away by a crisis that could be avoided.

How could we avoid it? Give a political answer to a political problem. Just over 100 days ago, before the crisis, Nicaragua grew by 4.5% a year. There was confidence in the future of the country and we already know that the economy depends on perceptions and, to a large extent, on the stability and predictability of society.

If a small country like Switzerland, with only eight and a half million inhabitants and half the size of Nicaragua, is perhaps the most prosperous and organized nation on the planet, 39, is the consequence of its rational stability. Exactly the opposite of what is happening today in Nicaragua.

The most serious is that the advice that comes to Daniel Ortega comes from Cuba and Venezuela. The two governors, Miguel Díaz-Canel (the president appointed by Raúl Castro) and Nicolás Maduro, at the recent Sao Paulo Forum held in Havana gave him the formula to stay in power: resist, kill without contemplation, for which they can rely on the help of both, as international circumstances change over time. The OAS, which today condemns it, will open its doors in ten years

These murderous dictatorships, based on the repression, can last as long as their respective tyrants are ready to defend them, but what They will never do, it is bring them prosperity and happiness for their people

It may be true, but what does not change, if not worse, it is the image of the country as a destination for investment and trade. These murderous dictatorships, based on repression, can last as long as their respective tyrants are ready to defend them, but what they will never happen, it is bring prosperity and happiness to them. people. This is possible only with democratic institutions, alternation in power, the circulation of government elites, transparency, social mobility, the rule of law and the rest of the attributes of civilized nations and mature.

What will Daniel Ortega do? ? Will he choose to continue killing, which is synonymous with continuing to impoverish Nicaraguans? Until when? Until his death, until a military coup or another revolution triumphs? The only thing that matters to him is to stay in power at all costs to show Cuba and Venezuela that he is still a tough guy like the one Fidel Castro applauded? Poor Nicaragua He will continue to sink into misery until he wakes up again.

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