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Page12 in Spain
From Madrid
The day after the elections begins to slowly reveal what will be the next Spanish government. The most notable note was given by the Vice President of the Government, Carmen Calvo, during an interview with the country's leading radio station. He said that they would try to govern alone, with the support of the 123 seats that were added this Sunday. A goal that presupposes that allies invest Pedro Sánchez as president, but does not guarantee a parliamentary majority to legislate stably.
"We are going to do what we have done," said Calvo when he was asked to sign an investiture pact or to form a coalition, citing the ten-month government in which socialism has concluded parliamentary agreements with Unidas Podemos (UP) and, in some cases, with nationalist forces, but did not give ministerial posts to other political parties.
Later, he called for entering a new political era in which the dialogue between the different forces was imposed, and stressed that the Spanish Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) had managed to be at the center of the political scene "reversing the right ", and not" give space left "to UP. Later, when he appreciated Pablo Iglesias 'proposal to form a government coalition, Calvo acknowledged the Morados' gradual contribution but insisted that "they have more than enough support to be the bar "of the state.
Within UP, no new declarations were made concerning any pacts, and they were not expected. Iglesias had already said Sunday night that he was ready to seek a coalition agreement with the PSOE, but that it was a period of discretion and work. On the citizen's side, Albert Rivera's statements were also ratified during the evaluation of the election results. "Cs can not agree with the pacts with (Quim) Torra, HE Bildu and (Carles) Puigdemont … Everyone knew that our votes were going to have Sanchez of Moncloa," said Inés Arrimadas, l & # 39; one of the bishops of the bishop. More conciliatory, the secretary general of the party, José Manuel Villegas, said it would be a responsible and critical opposition but with opportunities for dialogue. A position that, even if it does not suggest the possibility of a government coalition, opens the door to the conclusion of agreements on certain laws.
Statements and silences help delimit the future government, although the PSOE and the rest of the political forces agree that they will not proceed significantly before the elections of the Spanish Parliament and the Parliament on 26 May. Meanwhile, the most powerful economic sectors and media will attempt to condition and direct the formation possibilities of a government, with a particular fondness for a pact between the PSOE and the Cs.
"The fact that the PSOE governs alone leaves it free to work on different problems with different forces.In social matters, housing may be appropriate with United We Can, while on issues such as Catalonia, which is not agreement with United We Can, with Citizens ", explains Miguel Mora, political badyst and director of Context.
The Catalan conflict, precisely, is and has been one of the main interferences between the PSOE and United Podemos. When Iglesias evaluated the results Sunday night, he said that "to understand, Spain should not understand that Spain is multinational, just see the results obtained in Catalonia and the Basque Country". He mentioned the mbadive participation in two of the most powerful regions of the autonomous nation and where the sovereign forces won 26 seats in the lower house, a significant figure among the 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies.
The interference lies in the concept of plurinationality and in the perspectives that this approach opens to resolve sovereignist initiatives in Catalonia or for greater autonomy in other communities such as the Basque Country. Although Sanchez himself recognized a few years ago this formula to describe the diversity of the peoples who inhabit the country, the worsening territorial conflict in Catalonia and the radical nationalism adopted by the forces of the right. have forgotten.
For Mora, the question of Catalonia is undoubtedly one of the biggest disagreements between the PSOE and the UP, however points out that one of the reasons why the PSOE is to govern alone is that "do not undergo the pressure of the economic elites in Spain, what they fear the most is the income of Unidas Podemos to the government ". Indeed, Mora emphasizes that the PSOE could agree with them on advanced social laws without the need to include their members in the Council of Ministers and thus avoid printing the UP stamp.
This type of agreement was not openly rejected by Pablo Iglesias' training. The secretary of the party organization, Pablo Echenique, recently told PáginaI12 that it was more important than the accusations to be able to agree on government programs. If that were the case, Iglesias would have to give up the idea of forming a coalition executive, as he said on Sunday night, describing the goals of his force with the 42 seats won. In this case, Mora declares that the PSOE could recognize the will of UP by giving it the presidency of the Congress, which is the third important institutional position in the country, or technical positions in the portfolios of housing and feminism. In principle, a bittersweet recognition, especially when it comes from an official who has openly expressed his intention to challenge the left electorate.
Anyway, the big question is whether this kind of dynamic involving a government in a single agreement between the left and the right according to each law and each problem will be sustainable over time and legitimized by forces opposed to Cs and UP. For Mora, the most likely thing is that he can not support himself. "There will come a time when you will disappoint one or the other, or all together at the same time," he says.
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