The United States and Iran, the nuclear deal and threats of attack on American territory

As Washington faces new demands in its rapprochement plan for bilateral talks seeking a solution to the complexity posed by the bailout of the nuclear deal with Tehran (JCPO for its acronym in English), theIntelligence from the Gulf countries has let the United States know that it has credible information on the Iranian regime that indicates planning for tougher actions to raise the bar on Tehran’s part in responding to the call. American pressure and negotiate on your terms.

Addressing and resolving the current Biden administration controversy over Iran is an issue of great importance to the international community, but extremely sensitive to Washington’s partners in the region. Many European critics of former President Trump hold him responsible for the ongoing issues of dropping the deal in 2018, after the Barack Obama administration apparently resolved the issue with the Persian regime in 2015.

However, for Sunni Arabs, Trump’s biggest mistake was not to abandon the said deal and expand Iranian economic restrictions with new economic sanctions packages, but that the previous administration’s wrong move was order and execute the assassination of the Al-Quds force commander, General Qassem Soleimani in the early days of January 2020. This event radically changed Iranian policy in the Middle East as well as Iran’s position in it respect Washington considering that it was a “red line” that the Americans should not have crossed. Thus, the situation worsened and the escalation worsened, which is why at the time the Associated Press published the news that according to the reports of the American intelligence services, Iran had intervened in the elections. presidential elections of 2020 and that Tehran was behind a series of rocket attacks against US bases. in Iraq by Shiite militias associated with Iran. According to Tehran, the “mistake” that led to the tragedy of Ukranie International Airlines Flight 752 also occurred in this setting, where 176 passengers and crew were killed when they were shot down by a surface-to-air missile fired by the division. Iranian Revolutionary Guard Aerospace.

Currently, things have not changed much, last Tuesday there were equally serious or more serious reports of Iranian plans for belligerence towards the United States According to the Associated Press, the Saudis have intercepted highly sensitive information that Iran is planning attacks on a series of military bases on US soil. According to intelligence information sent to Washington from the Gulf in late January, communications were intercepted that were repeated in the last week of March that the national security agency was able to corroborate with its Sunni Gulf partners. The communications intercepted reveal that the Al-Quds force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards launched a plan of attacks like the one carried out in its time against the USS Cole but against the base of Fort McNair in Washington DC. Discussions on “infiltration and surveillance of the military unit, which had already taken place since the end of February, were also recorded and listened to”. According to wiretaps, the talks are focused on the goal of avenging the murder of Soleimani, the legendary al-Quds force commander killed by an American drone upon arriving at Baghdad airport in Iraq.

The USS Cole was a United States Navy destroyer that was attacked and hit with a medium boat by an Al Qaeda suicide bomber in October 2000, the result of this jihadist attack being the deaths of seventeen American sailors. The incident occurred a year before the destructive attacks on hijacked commercial planes on 9-11.

Another target that has reportedly been mentioned is General Joseph Martin, who lives with his family at Fort McNair; The general was made aware of the investigation carried out by the military counterintelligence. Martin is the second Army Chief since 2019 and was recently promoted to Chief General of all military units in the U.S. Army.

In light of the threat, additional measures have been implemented by the military around this base and three others whose locations are being held in reserve, including a buffer zone that US citizens witnessed last month on along the entire coast of the canal. Washington. The measures have been a point of contention among officials in the District of Columbia, although the reason for the military’s actions was not made public until last Wednesday, when the added level of security altered normal life in those areas. urban.

A Reuters report says several District of Columbia officials hesitated when asked about the additional restrictions in place. The Department of Defense has informed President Biden that it is receiving complaints from the District of Columbia as well as calls to withdraw preventive measures, as there is no concrete evidence of an imminent threat to support the restrictions put in place. square.

Many members of Congress believe that if Iran sponsors an attack on US soil, it would show desperate action and make a fatal mistake if he dared to act of such a nature. However, a group of Democratic and Republican congressmen who make up the Senate Committee on Middle East and Gulf Affairs mentioned one fact that is not minor, Iran will hold an election in June and they considered two. aspects of relevance, on the one hand, the Khomeinist regime – with an action of this nature – could eliminate all aspirations of the reformist faction of the country before the elections and, on the other hand, even if it denied and n ” did not attribute a coup of such magnitude, even knowing that he could receive harsh reprisals would join the local resistance politically and economically with his anti-American sentiment and at the military level he would activate his related groups in large areas of the region.

The Pentagon knows that Iranian citizens – to a large extent – are pro-West despite being oppressed by an anti-American regime, however, their interests and those of the United States are significantly aligned although retaliatory action on its soil it could shatter this reality and strengthen the theocracy in power.

The essential foundations of the strength and political strength of the Iranian regime are neither left nor right since Ayatollah Khomeini took power in 1979 and the equation has been completely changed with the government of Wilayat al-Faqih (in Arabic: the government of the laws of God according to the Shiite doctrine). This has not changed in Iran’s positions in its policies for the region and it is as true today as it was before the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) signed by President Obama.

The Biden administration has changed the American position since entering the Oval Hall, the president put aside the policy of squeezing the Iranian economy to promote new negotiations leading to a different kind of deal with the Persian regime. As part of this shift, current democratic politics – as it did under the Obama administration – collide with Tehran’s tough diplomatic stance. In addition, an additional problem now appears in the national security of Americans, which is the threat of terrorist attacks on their soil, something that Biden should undoubtedly consider for rethinking if the attempt to reinstate the nuclear deal with the Iran, lift economic sanctions and repossessions. are on the right track.

Upon learning of the new threat, activists both inside and outside Iran have expressed deep concern that the efforts of the new administration will prompt the Iranian regime to further intensify its internal repression.

The impact of the information produced in Washington has raised concerns and a shift in priorities that puts the United States in danger of abdicating aspects related to economic sanctions that would empower the regime in its conduct related to human rights violations. inside Iran, which will be rejected by Iranian citizens and organizations in exile who demand more pressure from Washington on the theocratic government. However, if Biden is focusing, as some of his close advisers suggest, on continuing economic pressure as a strategy to bring Iran to the negotiating table without focusing on the shortcomings of the Iranian people and their human rights, the president is running the risk of giving up its moral authority. in its strategic communication with Iranian citizens and with the international community itself, while strengthening the regime of the Islamic Republic. It is widely documented that the Iranian regime is one of the biggest violators of the human rights of its citizens and is, along with China, among those who regularly carry out the most executions with its political opponents, let alone executions of homosexuals and homosexuals. homosexuals, other people who have not had due process and fair trial.

For these reasons and various others, any amendment to the JCPOA may not obtain a two-thirds majority of the Senate vote to revert it back to a formal treaty. And those same reasons led former President Donald Trump to withdraw from the deal in 2018.

Iran’s experience and track record of driving should provide a lesson for the Biden administration, which now, under threats even to the danger of a terrorist attack on American soil, appears to be seriously considering some sort of an early agreement with Tehran, but under worse conditions than those accepted by former President Obama in 2015.

However, it is clear that for an agreement to be made and considered legitimate, that agreement must be about the long-term national security of the United States. It should also take into account international human rights imperatives and be widely accepted by the American electorate. In addition, and as an exclusive condition, a new agreement must “be approved by two-thirds of the Senate to be recognized as a formal treaty of full and legal application”.

All of the above is beyond the personal will and decision of President Biden. If your administration is serious about being pluralistic and fair as it has repeatedly stated, you will need to go beyond your personal thinking or party idea to lay the groundwork for an inclusive, positive and successful approach. Whatever Biden chooses to do will result in future instability, including in matters of national security within his own territory.

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