They measured Elisa Carrió against camper Luana Volnovich in Provincia

Nail new electoral ballot in the most important district of the country left striking results. With the date of the elections agreed this Friday (STEP on September 12 and general on November 14), the consulting firm Tendencies asked for the intention to vote by space and by candidate in the province of Buenos Aires. With a central surprise: the leader of the Civic Coalition Elisa Carrió finished first, above the camper and holder of the PAMI Luana Volnovich.

Tendencies is a company born in 2017 and which tends to bring its studies closer to left-wing sectors, such as FIT. He also had clients in the Buenos Aires and Buenos Aires legislatures. Between April 29 and May 3, he conducted an investigation into 2762 cases, with a margin of error of +/- 1.89%.

The 19-page report begins with a Summary of Findings:

– “Currently, the main concern of respondents is the pandemic“.

– “The 38% think the situation in the the future will get worse, an assessment that has been declining since October “.

– “The 76% answer have a lot or a little scared to what a family member is infected“.

– “In this context, restrictive measures They have one broad support in the province of Buenos Aires “.

– “A 55% consider that classes must be virtual and 41% are in favor of maintaining the presence ”.

– “The government of Alberto Fernández this is negatively rated for him 56.1% some participants “.

– “The approval of his discharge He has stabilized around the 40 points. By March 2020, when he took the first isolation measures, he had passed 90% approval. “

In conclusion, we could say that According to this study, the majority of the inhabitants of Buenos Aires support the measures and the speech de Fernández and the governor Axel Kicillof -prioritize health over economy, restrict traffic and face-to-face lessons-, but they are criticism of the president’s management. And also, as will be seen below, this has an electoral impact for the party in power.

The figures for the legislative

Towards the end of the study comes the electoral chapter. As a last antecedent, it must be remembered that the Frente de Todos obtained more than 15 points a Together for the change in the general of 2019. How did you answer the survey? Here’s how the report sums it up:

– “In relationship with Parliamentary election of this year there is a slight advantage of Front of All as a political space with a 34.5% grip, in front of a 32.3% of Together for change“.

– “The Front de tous has a low vote fidelity compared to 2019, at least a quarter of Alberto Fernández voters are undecided today. “

– “When requesting candidates for national deputies, Elisa Carrió reached a 30.8% intention to vote, in front of a 26.9% of Luana Volnovich. Graciela Camano harvest a 6% Yes Nicolas del Caño a 4.6%, among other candidates “.

The list by space is completed by the Front left Yes Federal consensus, both with 4.1%, Liberals 3.2%, “zero or white” 2.8%, “will not vote” 7% and “I don’t know” 12.1%.

By candidate, meanwhile, appear José Luis Espert with 3.7%, “white or nil” 5.2% and “I don’t know” 22.7%.

Conclusions: Carrió defends the brand better of Together for the change that Volnovich from the front of all. And even with attenuated polarization, a very competitive third space does not appear. Neither the non-K Peronists of the federal consensus, nor the liberals who at one point threatened to approach double digits. All of this, of course, in a very preliminary context and with a high level of indecision when asked the first and last name.

Bugle consulted the cabinet why did they choose these candidates, in particular to Carrió: “Although there is not much clarity yet, it seemed to us that she could be a figure that could contain the votes from space, as if to see where she was standing. so well known and it hurts her. “

As this newspaper said, in Together for Change there is a heated debate about appointments in the province. The head of government of Buenos Aires Horacio Rodríguez Larreta -who aspires to become a shipowner, thinking in 2023- warned that they would lead Maria Eugenia Vidal O Diego Santilli. Anyone who does not do it in the territory of Buenos Aires would do it in the city.

But a sector of Together for provincial change refuses to impose Santilli and threatens to run internally if the candidate is him. There the mayor of Vicente López is noted Jorge Macri. In the table of candidates, Carrió herself and even the Rio Negro join Miguel Angel Pichetto.

On the Frente de Todos side, there are also names for all tastes: Volnovich, the chef of Anses and also a camper Fernanda Raverta, the chief of staff Santiago Cafiero, Chancellor Felipe Solá and even stainless steel Daniel Scioli.