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It is a sample (another) of the ups and downs of Argentine politics and public opinion. the three big stars of the 2015 presidential election, which collected nearly 93% of the votes in this first round, is today last in an image ranking. They were 23 leaders and they were last … comfortable.
The investigation that brings this boring painting to Sergio massa, Daniel Scioli Yes Mauricio Macri It is Real-time data (RTD), a consulting company born in 2019 that performs daily update measurements. It has clients at home and abroad.
Between June 1 and 8, he conducted a survey of 951 cases, with a credibility margin of +/- 4%. The working report (“State of Argentine public opinion”) begins with a Decalogue with the main conclusions.
Top 10
1. “The June measure registers a one point increase in President Alberto Fernández’s endorsement. In this way, the index is hovering above the 40 point mark, consolidating last month’s rebound.”
2. “The resumption of government support indicators coincides with the revaluation of the health issue on the public agenda: four out of ten Argentines declared in June that Covid should be the Government’s priority, even before the economy.
3. “In any case, the economy remains the problem that affects Argentines the most. In June, 61% of those polled mentioned inflation, unemployment or the economic downturn as the main problems that affect them personally. “
4. “The outlook for economic recovery remains very depressed. Only 2% of respondents believe the economy will rebound this year, while 22% expect a recovery in 2022 and a majority 54% in 2023.”
5. “In line with the proposals and statements of government spokespersons, the proportion of people who agree with greater state intervention in business as a means of reactivating the economy has increased (9 pts . In 60 days). “
Alberto Fernández, visiting Salta, for the 200th anniversary of the death of Güemes. It has improved its image a bit according to RTD.
6. “Despite this, the annual ranking of large Argentinian companies prepared by Real Time Data indicates that Mercado Libre and Arcor have improved their images compared to 2020, while YPF and Aerolineas Argentinas have fallen in the year-to-year comparison. ‘other.”
7. “Spain, Patagonia, United States, Uruguay, Cuyo, Italy and Canada are the most mentioned destinations by respondents in case they could move anywhere to escape to the pandemic and the economic crisis. “
8. In addition to this, you will need to know more about it.“In the ranking of leaders with the most positive image, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta remains at the top of the list at 55%. He is escorted by María Eugenia Vidal and Alberto Fernández, with 46% each.”
9. “Faced with the legislative elections, 34% of those questioned declared that they would vote for Frente de Todos, which is three points more than the 31% who declared that they would vote for Together for Change.
10. “The electoral openings show that the ruling party is taking an important advantage in the suburbs of Buenos Aires, it is largely outmoded in the capital and presents an image of parity with Ensemble pour le changer in the districts of the interior of the country. .
Only four approved and three from the fund
The board of images of the council headed by the political scientist Nicolas solari includes 23 leaders. Bugle he split it (almost) in the middle, with the top 12 and the top 11 worst. Although the record is rather poor for the most part: only four ended up with an image differential in favor (more positive than negative).
The fact that At the top of this ranking is Facundo Manes, the radical neuroscientist who underlined (even more) the trainee of Together for the change, admitting that this time he could be candidate in Province. Without having gone fully into the mire of politics, he arrives with a very good image, in this poll as in others. Even outside the territory of Buenos Aires.
In the investigation of RTD, Manes combines 46% positive and 26% negative, which leaves him a balance of + 20. And always with a fairly high misunderstanding.
The three other “privileged” are Larreta, Mario Negri and Diego Santilli.
– The head of government, today embarked on a struggle for the leadership of the opposition with Macri, ends with 13 points of balance in favor (55% positive and 42% negative).
– Negri, head of the interbloc of deputies of Ensemble pour lehange and who continues to sound like a possible candidate for the senator of Cordoba, a + 6 balance: 39% positive and 33% negative.
– While the vice-chief of Buenos Aires, already launched take the plunge into the province of Buenos Aires (in 2021, but especially in 2023 as governor), he adds 41% for and 37% against (balance of + 4).
Across the table, the dark red, the worst are the three former presidential candidates: Massa, Macri and Scioli. In this order.
– The head of the Chamber of Deputies, transformed into a key leader of the Front de Todos government, you cannot reverse the drop of your image, produced by its comings and goings with Kirchnerism (ally-enemy-ally) in a short period marked by crack. In this study, he adds 35% positive and 65% negative (differential – 30).
– Macri, for his part, had reached his climax in public opinion at the end of 2017, when Cambiemos won the legislative elections and since then his weight has started to drop, in parallel with the economy. It’s been a long time stabilized, but clearly counterbalanced. Attached – 36 points (32% positive and 68% negative).
– About what Scioli was also abrupt. But he suffered the great statistical depression right after losing the presidential election. Despite this, in the absence of electoral figures, a sector of the ruling party measures the current ambassador to Brazil as a potential candidate for one of the two Buenos Aires. In order to RTD, today combines 28% of valuation in favor and 68% against (differential – 40).
In the middle are:
5 ° Jorge Macri: 40% positive and 42% negative (balance -2).
6 ° Maria Eugenie Vidal: + 46% and 51% (– 5).
7 ° Roberto Lavagna: + 44% and – 50% (– 6).
8 ° Martin Lousteau: + 41% and – 47% (– 6).
9 ° Alfredo Cornejo: + 30% and – 36% (– 6).
10 ° Alberto Fernandez: + 46% and – 53% (– 7).
11 ° Marguerite Stolbizer + 39% and – 52% (– 13).
12 ° Axel Kicillof + 42% and – 56% (– 14).
In the bottom of the ranking, with the former 2015 and with a striking tie between Máximo Kirchner and Elisa Carrió, Completed:
13 ° Patricia bullrich + 42% and – 57% (– 15).
14 ° Miguel Pichetto + 38% and – 54% (– 16).
15 ° Malena galmarini + 27% and – 44% (– 17).
16 ° Juan Schiaretti + 30% and – 47% (– 17).
17 ° Florencio Randazzo + 34% and – 53% (– 19).
18 ° Cristina Kirchner + 39% and – 60% (– 21).
19 ° Elisa Carrio + 36% and – 61% (– 25).
20 ° Maximum Kirchner + 36% and – 61% (– 25).
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