until when will the army support Maduro?

Venezuela experienced a new week full of incidents and deathsafter a Wednesday in which two opposing demonstrations flooded the streets of Caracas.

Once again, Nicolás Maduro's government seems to be successful domestically, although its new rival at the international level, Venezuelan Congress President Juan Guaidó, has garnered the support of a large part of the governments of the United States and Latin America. UU declare oneself an acting ruler.

Maduro's great livelihood turned out to be once again the armed forces, despite the fact that the week began with a coup attempt quickly controlled by military leaders.

The weeks go by and the questions resonate louder and louder: Is the Venezuelan president losing the support of the army? Will the pressure of a large part of the population erode the support of the armed forces at Chavista? Are the military really the ones heading to Caracas?

Wednesday the Armed Forces of Venezuela (FANB) rejected the proclamation of the parliamentary leader Guaidó, as acting president of the country, badured the Minister of Defense, Vladimir Padrino.

More information | Armed forces move closer to Maduro

"Despair and intolerance threaten the peace of the nation. The soldiers of the motherland do not accept an imposed president in the shadow of obscure interests or self-proclaimed outside the law. The FANB defends our Constitution and is the guarantor of national sovereignty, "wrote Padrino on Twitter.

Guaidó, a 35-year-old leader who badumed the presidency of Parliament – In the majority of the opposition – early January, he was sworn in on Wednesday as acting president of Venezuela in front of a crowd of supporters who marched in Caracas to lobby for a transitional government and a call for elections.

After that, Maduro demanded "maximum discipline" to the armed forces, considered his main support.

"Bolivarian national armed force under my command, maximum union, maximum discipline, which will be overcome," said Maduro in a speech delivered in front of the public during a speech delivered in front of the balcony of the Miraflores presidential palace. "Always faithful, traitors, never!"Maduro exclaimed after asking for applause for the army.

The parliament, whose actions have been unknown since 2016 by the judiciary (official line), declared a week ago in Maduro as "usurper" of the presidency and has since been multiplied calls to the army to ignore his government.

In this contextMonday, a group of 27 soldiers organized a brief uprisingThey were arrested shortly after stealing arms and being barricaded in a detachment in Caracas.

More information | Who is Guaidó, the president in charge of Venezuela?

Luis Vicente León, director of consulting firm Datbadisis and one of Venezuela's most prestigious political badysts, told the website on the previous page "It's too early to understand the depth of the problem in the military sector ".

"It is obvious that in all groups and institutions, including the army, there are fractures and discontent.That is nothing new and the sample is in Chavez officials who were separated, in the magistrate (of the Supreme Court of Justice) who fled (Christian Zerpa) and the number of Venezuelan soldiers who are prisoners in the barracks, much accused of destabilization and attempted coup d'etat ", has he added.

"The occurrence of an uprising in a National Guard Center is not something that might surprise us." The real issues are others. How big is this division? What is its strength in relation to the government's ability to control it? and turn it off? "

On March 6, Miguel Rodríguez Torres, former Minister of the Interior, founder of the Bolivarian Intelligence Service (Sebin) (Sebin), said: "The objective conditions of a coup d'etat today. They are 100 times higher than those of 4 February (1992).) The officers of the armed forces, the troops, the military family are going through the same difficulties that we all have in the street. "

More information | Venezuelans living in Neuquén demonstrate to support Guaidó

A few days later, Rodríguez Torres, who was accompanying Maduro until the end of 2014, was arrested. They accused him of being in contact with the CIA and of having carried out conspiracy actions against "the monolithic unit of the Bolivarian Armed Forces".

But what better than to read two former Venezuelan soldiers who made an X-ray of the military situation.

Gegnis Russo (27) and Cristian Hernández (22) live in Peru. On Wednesday, January 16, they participated in a video in which they announced that they did not recognize Maduro as president of Venezuela and had supported the speaker of Parliament, Juan Guaidó.

Both agree thatthe majority of the army is unhappy with the Maduro regimebut they badure that the efficiency of the Venezuelan intelligence services prevents any attempt to thwart it.

"Venezuelan intelligence bodies are very strong with these people who rebel against the government, which is why many people are hiding and can not express themselves freely," Russo said.

More information | "We will charge and fight," said Maduro after the proclamation of Guaidó

"Maduro does not rule Venezuela Venezuela is ruled by Cubawith the interests they have on the territory, the power also has the government of Russia and the Chinese empire, "said Hernandez, who says that these countries (Russia and China)" bought everything at Venezuela".

"In the Venezuelan armed forces and the government, there is a very experienced intelligence force, the Cuban G2, with 50 years of experience in intelligence and bombarding the armed forces as if we were their subordinates. G2 foiled several coup attempts, such as the one we wanted to advance: Oscar Perez, the Paramacay Brigade, the Blue Strike, we could talk for hours about the number of attempted coup d'etat who have been upset, "says Hernandez with visible discomfort.

"We have an illegitimate president who is Nicolás Maduro and we also have a great military leadership composed of superiors, who are really the ones who govern Venezuela. The armed forces are an important part of a country, but in Venezuela we have a puppet that is manipulated by senior officers of the armed forces, which is the truth in my opinion, "Russo stresses.

More information | Guaidó is proclaimed president of Venezuela

Andrés Gómez de la Torre, defense specialist and former professor at the School of Intelligence of Peru, supports the statements of the army.

"They are very right. Many Cuban institutions have been reproduced in Venezuela "he says.

According to Gomez de la Torre, the Venezuelan government would use the Bolivarian circles – created for ideological purposes – as a kind of spying to receive information about what is happening in every block of the country, which is similar to what is used in Cuba and is known as "the defense committees of the Cuban Revolution".

There are many badysts who say that Without fracture within the armed forces, Venezuela can not be governed by a republican democracy.