Venezuela: six men (and a half) and a destination

Nicolás Maduro will have to leave in peace, otherwise he will die as a result of an attack from his own group, as was the case of Maurice Bishop. Let's look at six of the key factors of the conflict.

Juan Guaidó, President of the National Assembly and President of Venezuela in office until the elections are held. It is supported by the Organization of American States (OAS) and twenty major nations. Among them, the largest or most accredited democracies: Canada, the United States, England or Switzerland. Also Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, Chile, Peru, Ecuador and Paraguay. But he has not only against Maduro and his gang, but also, secretly, some of his teammates who would like to be candidates and win the election against Chavez. For them It would be rebaduring that Guaidó had announced a series of primaries to which he would not participate. Since he is young, he has ample time and conditions to be president.

Nicolás Maduro has a well deserved reputation as an idiot. This is very serious for your allies. The prince is feared or respected. Maduro neither fears him nor respects him, despite the violence that usually accompanies him. And Venezuelans have good reasons for that. It is very difficult to fear or respect a subject that speaks with birds. Inflation is the ray that does not stop. He sprayed wages, food, medicine. It lacks water, electricity, phones or the internet. Sometimes even oil is missing. The country is broken and falls apart. 64% of Venezuelans lost 11 kilos in 2017. More than 24 pounds. Faced with this image that caused the exodus of three million desperate Venezuelans, Maduro reacts with economic "stuff" like petro, a useless virtual currency.

Luis Almagro is the greatest ally of Juan Guaidó and free Venezuelans. He threw them on the back, like Christ on the cross, in order to save them from their political sins. Proceed from the left and it is practical. He is Uruguayan. It comes from a small, decent country that, unfortunately, has aligned itself with Maduro, which will cost it votes in the presidential election of the carnivorous left that governs in Montevideo. No one in his mind will be able to accuse Almagro of being sold on Wall Street or Yankee imperialism. However, his former comrades expelled him from the sect without even listening to him. Never before have so many people owed so much to one person.

Donald Trump is not a saint of my dedication, but there is no doubt that in the Venezuelan record he has behaved like a statesman committed to democracy and human rights. l & # 39; man.and it's appreciated. It is true that Senator Marcos Rubio, Secretary Mike Pompeo, Congressman Mario Díaz-Balart and Vice President Mike Pence have defined the Venezuelan policy of the Trump administration, but without his support, all would be useless his accomplices could murder or imprison members of the National Assembly. In short: if Trump continues to support Guaidó, the National Assembly has everything to gain.

Raul Castro and Miguel Diaz-Canel (the half-man) know that it is a matter of time, of little time, of the erosion of the Maduro regime if they do nothing urgent. Both – and almost the entire structure of Cuban power – have a terrible opinion of Maduro as a statesman. They seem a good stupid boy. Havana fears a confrontation with the United States and will be dragged into the conflict because of the colony's inability. They still remember what happened to them in Granada in 1983, when they clashed with the Marines. There were 800 Cubans who ran quickly. Today, there are about one hundred thousand, including doctors, medical staff and thousands of counterintelligence personnel. Although "Cubans" know that their best option is to continue to exhaust the Venezuelans, they are ready to withdraw in an orderly fashion from the possibility of a collision with the Americans.

Vladimir Putin jumped to the Venezuelan crisis to support Maduro and threatened the United States. This clumsiness guarantees that Trump will not be able to leave Venezuela without seriously losing credibility. That is to say that he will stay. In reality, Putin wants to restore the prestige of the Russian Federation and recover the debts contracted by Venezuela, but without reaching a confrontation with Washington. Russia has the economic structure of a third world country. Exports gas, oil, wood and imports processed products. It is the largest country on the planet, with 144 million inhabitants, but its GDP per capita is similar to that of Costa Rica. The GDP of the United States is close to 20 000 billion (1 000 billion in English). Russia is about the size of South Korea (about $ 1.6 trillion). It is a poor country. Maduro begged him to come scare the Americans. He will not be able to. This is a fake bodyguard.