"Vidal will eventually be destroyed because Buenos Aires is ungovernable" and other sentences of Andrés Malamud on the electoral situation

L & # 39; badyst Andrés Malamud raised a complex political future for Maria Eugenia Vidal, not because of their leadership qualities but because of the characteristics of the territory they control. "It will eventually be destroyed, the province of Buenos Aires will slaughter you, it's ungovernablehe badured.

He also lucidly badyzed the chances of Cristina Kirchner's victory in the national elections and rejected Federal Alternative's vision that three large political spaces could be reserved in the race at Casa Rosada. In this note, its main definitions in an interview conducted in Miter radio:

1. "It is highly unlikely that there are three-thirds in the presidential election." There are two reasons: one is the electoral system. The electoral system in Argentina is not very permissive, it is restrictive, how leaders now learn who want to form a new party to have candidates. It is necessary to collect signatures in several provinces to have a political party. And then, when you run for office, the system squanders the voices of the smaller parties and ends up choosing a single president. People know that whoever comes in third, fourth or fifth is wasting votes. So what he's doing is focusing on the second one, trying to beat the first"

2. "There are two candidates who together make up two-thirds of the votes, very happy or unhappy.These are Macri and Cristina.They continue to focus the expectations of the electorate.It is very difficult for this to change because this corresponds to the political history of Argentina There are two great spaces, Peronism and non-Peronism, represented by these two leaders. "

3. "At the same time that the elections of the city and the province of Buenos Aires were unified, those of Mendoza and Jujuy were separated, that is to say that Cambiemos sent a delayed message: d & # 39; On the one hand, the PRO accompanies the candidature of Mauricio and it sacrifices itself for the candidature of Mauricio On the other hand, the radicalism begins to offer an alternative within Cambiemos.This is important because it shows that there exists a certain internal position There is in the change of people who continue to accompany, who do not want back to back, it does not want to vote Peronism or leave Cambiemos, but he is not very happy with the situation and these people want to express it by changing. "

4. "As far as María Eugenia Vidal is concerned, I am pessimistic, for a reason that goes beyond Cambiemos and calls the province of Buenos Aires. All governors of the province of Buenos Aires end badly. The province of Buenos Aires is a meat grinder. It's an ungovernable province, there is no such solution as it is, with 40% of all, with an hypertrophy that hurts itself and the country"

5. "The Minister of the Economy of Buenos Aires, Hernán Lacunza, is the one who has the most clarity: he has to manage the hacienda and he knows how much this elephant is governable, and it is n & # 39; There was no solution, we had the most popular eight-year-old governors in the country, I'm talking about Eduardo Duhalde and Daniel Scioli, and look where they are now. with Maria Eugenia Vidal, it is likely that the same thing will happen, even if it is the best Argentine leader. The province of Buenos Aires mbadacres and mbadacres its inhabitants"

6. "In a democracy, any result is possible. If Maria Eugenia is re-elected, she will be destroyed at the end of the second term, as happened to others. The province of Buenos Aires does not allow you to make a good mandate. It is not possible to govern well the province of Buenos Aires"

7. "The political future of Vidal does not depend on a change or good management, there is no good management possible in this province, all we have , it is degradation year after year in education, degradation year after year in the security system.Police, there is no possibility of having a good police because the material conditions are not met, the only thing that has improved for a moment is the infrastructure, the public works, until the crisis of last year when everything was stopped ".

8. "In Latin America, since 1978, when the re-democratization began today, 23 presidents wanted to be re-elected and 20 elected, you have a reelection of 90% and about thirty presidents who wished to be re-elected after their departure. the country and half did it, the rate of return is 50%, the past does not define the future, but it sets a pattern: Macri has more chances to stay that Cristina, but none is impossible ".