Voting in Peru: Keiko Fujimori reduces difference in voting intention with Pedro Castillo to five points



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The presidential candidates of Peru, Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo, greet the public in a square in the town of Chota in Cajamarca, before starting the electoral debate on May 1, 2021. REUTERS / Francisco Vigo
The presidential candidates of Peru, Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo, greet the public in a square in the town of Chota in Cajamarca, before starting the electoral debate on May 1, 2021. REUTERS / Francisco Vigo

The margin between the two Peruvian presidential candidates Pedro Castillo and Keiko Fujimori has been reduced to five percentage points, with 41% and 36% respectively according to a poll of intention to vote published less than a month before the second round.

According to the survey of the company Datum, Fujimori has increased by two points since the end of April, the same percentage as Castillo has dropped, although the percentages of blank or imperfect and undecided votes remain the same, at 11% and 12%.

Datum director Urbi Torrado explained that We cannot say that there is a downward trend or not because the movement “is within the margin of error”, estimated at 2.8%. “This change of 4% (of the electorate) which changed their vote, half of which would have gone to Fujimori, would not be among the undecided,” Torrado added. RPP news.

Among Castillo voters, 74% have already their vote decided, while among Fujimori voters 67% are sure of their vote.

Of those who vote blank or imperfect today, 46% still rate it, compared to 24% who are determined to keep it when they go to the polls on June 6.

The May 1 presidential debate was held in an open space and with an audience limited by the COVID-19 pandemic.  REUTERS / Francisco Vigo
The May 1 presidential debate was held in an open space and with an audience limited by the COVID-19 pandemic. REUTERS / Francisco Vigo

The survey on voting intentions published by the newspaper Management electorate preferences measured after a first debate between the two candidates in Chota, birthplace of Castillo.

For 44%, the winner of the debate was Fujimori, against 32% who said it was Castillo, while 20% said it was a tie.

Only 4% of voters said they changed their vote after the debate, notably in Lima (4%) and in the north of the country (4%), while 8% replied that they were thinking about it, mainly in the east (10%) and the north (9%).

However, 88% say they did not change their vote after the debate between the candidates.

Torrado added that there is “42% of the electorate totally undecided” and that the campaigns against each of the candidates are so strong that “there is also a hidden vote for both,” which is difficult to measure.

Presidential candidates Keiko Fujimori of the Fuerza People's Party and Pedro Castillo of the Free Peru Party greet each other during the debate in Cajamarca (EFE / Aldair Mejía)
Presidential candidates Keiko Fujimori of the Fuerza People’s Party and Pedro Castillo of the Free Peru Party greet each other during the debate in Cajamarca (EFE / Aldair Mejía)

So far, Fujimori has prevailed among the electorate of Lima and Castillo in almost all parts of the interior of the country, especially in the east and north.

However, due to the electoral weight of this region, Torrado said that “It may be that the northern vote is the one that decides who will be the next president” of the country.

The Datum survey was conducted May 5-6 with a sample of 1,203 people across the country, with a 95% confidence level and a 2.8% margin of error.

With information from EFE

KEEP READING:

The five key points that show the proximity of the Peruvian candidate Pedro Castillo with Chavismo
Vote in Peru: Keiko Fujimori and Pedro Castillo did not reach an agreement to end up in a debate



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