Asian stocks rebound, struggling bond market tries to stabilize



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SYDNEY (Reuters) – Asian stocks rallied on Monday as a semblance of calm returned to bond markets after last week’s mad rush, as progress on the massive U.S. stimulus package supported the optimism about the global economy and have driven up oil prices.

FILE PHOTO: A passer-by wearing a protective mask reflects on the screen displaying the exchange rate of the Japanese yen to the US dollar and stock prices at a brokerage house, amid the coronavirus outbreak (COVID -19), in Tokyo, Japan on November 6, 2020. REUTERS / Issei Kato

China’s official manufacturing PMI over the weekend missed forecasts, but Japanese figures showed the fastest growth in two years. Investors are also counting on bullish news from a series of US data due this week, including the February payroll report.

New shipments of the newly approved Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine are expected to begin on Tuesday.

The largest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside of Japan edged up 1%, after losing 3.7% last Friday.

Japan’s Nikkei gained 2.1%, while Chinese blue chips added 0.8%.

NASDAQ futures rebounded 1.2% and S&P 500 futures rebounded 0.8%. The EUROSTOXX 50 and FTSE futures contracts both rose 1.0%.

US 10-year bond yields held steady at 1.40%, from last week’s high of 1.61%. They climbed 11 basis points last week to be up 50 basis points on the year so far.

“The Friday bond moves always appear to be a pause for the air, rather than the catalyst for a move towards calmer waters,” said Rodrigo Catril, a senior quarterback at NAB.

“Market participants remain nervous about the prospect of higher inflation as economies seek to reopen through vaccine rollouts, high levels of savings as well as strong fiscal and monetary support.”

BofA analysts noted that the bear market for bonds is now one of the most severe on record with the annualized price return on 10-year U.S. government bonds down 29% from last August, Australia losing 19%, the United Kingdom 16% and Canada 10%. .

The rout owes a lot to expectations of faster growth in the United States, with the House passing President Joe Biden’s $ 1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package, sending it to the Senate.

BofA U.S. economist Michelle Meyer has raised her forecast for economic growth to 6.5% this year and 5% next, due to the likelihood of a bigger stimulus package, better news on the virus front and encouraging data.

Cases of the virus in the United States have also declined by 72% since the Jan.12 peak and hospitalizations follow closely behind, BofA added.

The rise in US yields combined with the general move to safety helped the dollar index rebound to 90.787 from a seven week low at 89.677.

On Monday, the euro was stable at $ 1.2083, from last week’s high of $ 1.2242, while the dollar held near a six-month high against the yen at 106.60.

“Riskier” currencies and those exposed to commodities rebounded somewhat after being beaten late last week, with Australian and Canadian dollars rising and emerging market currencies from Brazil to Turkey appearing more stable.

Unproductive gold was still fueling losses after hitting an eight-month low on Friday en route to its worst month since November 2016. It was last at $ 1,750 an ounce, just above a low of approximately $ 1,716.

Oil prices extended their gains ahead of an OPEC meeting this week where supply could be increased. Brent gained 4.8% last week and WTI 3.8%, while both were about 20% higher from February as a whole.

Brent was last up $ 1.11 to $ 65.53, while US crude rose $ 1.04 to $ 62.54 per barrel.

Edited by Shri Navaratnam and Lincoln Feast.

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