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The penultimate match of Thursday night of the year is on our doorstep, and what a cracker we have lined up, with an extraordinary amount at stake for both teams.
Sydney is losing track of Richmond, which is not necessarily a big deal, especially in Melbourne. But he dropped them from second to fourth, out of ten wins with four other teams.
Another defeat here might well see the quarterback Swans, with Port Adelaide, fifth, sure to beat St Kilda home on Saturday
Geelong are in a more perilous state. Despite the third highest percentage of the competition, they are eighth, two games out of the top four. They have also lost against the Tigers in their recent past – again, no shame in that – but they continued with an unforgivable defeat to the Bulldogs of the West.
They will give up the eight with a loss, given the North in. We can expect the ninth and Hawthorn in tenth to win this weekend and jump on it.
The Sydney midfielder will be weakened by losing Isaac Heeney, who is perhaps the best and the fairest, while Geelong will be strengthened.
The coaching hierarchy of Cats might think that it's useless to try to stop Josh Kennedy and Luke Parker inside, while supporting Joel Selwood and Patrick Dangerfield to be more than a match for them, so Scott Selwood could go to Ollie Florent, who showed that he can influence the matches lately. Could the awesome young Swan taste for the first time a tagger at the AFL?
George Hewett was a good Sydney player and could go to Selwood, especially since he thinks that Dangerfield will pbad a little
Zak Jones could see more time in midfield with Heeney, just like Jarrad McVeigh and / or Jake Lloyd. Could Hayward go through this, and could John Longmire send Ben Ronke through the middle? A player similar to Jack Higgins in Richmond, we've seen him impact as a midfielder in recent weeks for the Tigers.
So Longmire has some choices in his sleeve if he wants to be more adventurous than he knows for. These young players have to break through, especially as Dan Hannebery and Kieren Jack are struggling to make an impact – the reserves can attract one or both of these veterans.
Heath Grundy should take Tom Hawkins, baduming Dane Rampe will get the first crack at Dangerfield as he did in their semifinal last year. Dangerfield opened the game in the first half as before, with six shots on goal halfway through the second run.
Aliir Aliir returned to the team in good form as a marker of interception. Jake Lloyd has brought his own football in recent months, distributing it through the wing and half-back. One of the best shots in the league, the Cats should not give it too much space to operate.
Aliir Aliir of the Swans (AAP Image / Rob Blakers)
On the other end of the line, Mark Blicavs could be ready to face Lance Franklin, though, in the final last year, Tom Stewart did a great job. Geelong has kept Buddy quiet lately – last year he was held to a total of 22 hits and a goal in his two outings against them.
Sydney has won six of the last eight against Geelong, including earlier this year at Kardinia Park – oddly enough, the Swans have won their last three games at the Cats Fortress.
The last time they met at the SCG, it was in 2014, where Sydney won 110 points. Enough time has pbaded and the teams are so different, this result is irrelevant to the procedures.
In terms of cricket, Geelong's tail is a little longer than Sydney's, and that can be decisive. In general terms, swans are probably too good to drop two in a row, while we normally think that cats are not going to lose three on the rebound, but one of these things will happen.
Round 6 between these teams was full of momentum. At one point, in the second and third terms, the Cats scored six goals in a row, while the Swans ended up winning the last five majors of the match to win.
Tonight will be more difficult, with no more than 12 points between them all night, and Sydney is in the lead when the siren sounds.
This is my forecast Thursday night. What's yours?
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