B / R NFL Expert Consensus Selection for Week 1 | Bleacher's report



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0 out of 16

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    Regulated sports betting is now legal in over a dozen states, according to Ryan Rodenberg of ESPN.com, and a handful of states and Washington, DC, are on the verge of join this group.

    For the first time in history, legal bets were placed by Americans outside of Nevada on NFL games last season. But we are breaking with the beginnings of legalization and any stigma associated with NFL action bets is quickly dissipating.

    According to David Purdum of ESPN.com, the survey results released Wednesday by the American Gaming Association estimate that 7 million adults will bet on a sports casino this season, representing a 20.6% increase compared to the 2018 campaign.

    It's a new world and we are here to help you.

    Without any guarantee (in other words, do not send us invoices for your losses), we charged the analysts of Bleacher Report NFL Gary Davenport, Brad Gagnon and Brent Sobleski with all the games of the seasonagainst the spread.

    Here are the first 16.

    Lines of Caesars from Wednesday, September 4th.

1 of 16

    Jonathan Daniel / Getty Images

    The teams on the road play 3-14 games Thursday night in the first week of the game, but our experts believe that this trend should be reversed by the Green Bay Packers, who have a new look, in their opening match against the Chicago Bears rival in prime time.

    Or at least they do not want to make three points with Chicago.

    The Bears were 12-4 against the spread of last season, but the element of surprise is gone. In fact, you can say that the momentum was transferred to his opponent the first week.

    "Green Bay will have a completely different look on both sides of the ball this season, and I think they're way better than in 2018," Gagnon said. "No one knows exactly what to expect, while we now have tape on the Bears led by Matt Nagy.Add Aaron Rodgers is healthy and probably motivated and I think the Packers s & # Enervate here, it does not matter, it will be an end game. "

    Chicago lost to the Packers despite the fact that Rodgers was injured in the knee during the opening game of last season. The Bears beat Green Bay by a touchdown (5.5 point favorite) at home later in the year, but by then, the Packers were a wreck with an acting coach.

    It is fair to shyly approach this choice, as we have no idea what the Packers' new offensive system and new defensive staff will look like early, but our guys are willing to bet that they will fight on Thursday night.

    predictions
    Davenport: Green Bay (+3)
    Gagnon: Green Bay (+3)
    Sobleski: Green Bay (+3)
    Consensus: Green Bay (+3)

    Prediction Score: Packers 24, Bears 21

2 of 16

    John Bazemore / Associated Press

    The Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons disappointed last season, but most of Minnesota's hardships ended in big-time prime-time games. The Vikes were in fact 6-1-1 in a straight line and 5-2-1 against the gap at 1 pm. The ET sending coup on Sunday, which could partly explain why they are writing more than a goal for Sunday's opening match against Atlanta.

    Yet, the majority of our analysts are not present.

    "Perhaps it is a lack of confidence in a team of Vikings that has created the disappointment of a form of art in 2018," Davenport said. "Maybe it's because Deion Jones and Keanu Neal are in good health that the Falcons are a better team than they showed a year ago, or maybe it's a matter of giving more than 'A goal on the pitch in a Week 1 game that should be very tight, whatever the reason (that's the last one), I'll take Atlanta and points. "

    Sobleski is in agreement. The Falcons had a record of five wins tied against the league last season, and a talented Atlanta team does not get much respect considering the fact that the defense is healthier and the home offensive line seems much improved.

    It's a delicate gap in a tricky game to handicap, so you'd better focus elsewhere. But if you need action here, give the reconstructed Falcons a shot with four dots in your back pocket.

    predictions
    Davenport: Atlanta (+4)
    Gagnon: Minnesota (-4)
    Sobleski: Atlanta (+4)
    Consensus: Atlanta (+4)

    Prediction of score: Vikings 24, Falcons 23

3 of 16

    Todd Olszewski / Getty Images

    Originally considered a 3.5-point underdog, the Miami Dolphins eviscerated late in the season and are now on the road to collecting a lot of books for their first home game against the Baltimore Ravens.

    Two of our three panellists do not think this is enough.

    "I'm not sure how far that should go in this game so I can consider taking what's left of the Dolphins, but I know it's not high enough," Davenport said. "The fact that the home team is almost touched and I'm still not touching it with a 10-foot pole says everything you need to know about the 2019 Dolphins."

    But the bettors are clever. Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has a considerable advantage over the experience, Lamar Jackson, calling Ravens, still in development. Neither one nor the other are too trustworthy at this point, but let 's not forget that Fitzpatrick issued a three – figure smuggler note with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last season.

    And the Ravens also had a difficult off-season with a loss of important players, C.J. Mosley, Za Darius Smith, Terrell Suggs and John Brown, in the independent player mode.

    Both teams still have some quality defensive pieces, which is why this game should result in low scores. This is also why you might want to think twice before spending more than just money in your pocket for a road team carrying 6.5 or 7 players.

    This is probably another game to avoid, but our experts lean towards the implosion of the Dolphins after the tumultuous weekend of Labor Day in which they have abandoned several key players.

    predictions
    Davenport: Baltimore (-6.5)
    Gagnon: Miami (+6.5)
    Sobleski: Baltimore (-6.5)
    Consensus: Baltimore (-6.5)

    Score forecast: Ravens 23, Dolphins 13

4 out of 16

    Tom Szczerbowski / Getty Images

    The similarities between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets are undeniable. Not only do they represent cities in the same state, and not only are they trying to break free from the prison that is dominated by the AFC East, dominated by the New England Patriots, but both teams have been reloaded in the off season and are looking for top 10 picks of the year at the quarterback.

    It makes sense for the hometown Jets to set three points for their opening meeting of the season on Sunday, because that basically means that the betting takers and the public figure are tied.

    Although Sam Darnold's Jets beat Josh Allen's Bills at Orchard Park in December, most of our experts are with Buffalo.

    "Although I think the element of surprise will help the experienced Packers on Thursday, I wonder if big changes could slow down the young Jets against Buffalo a bit," Gagnon said. "It could take a little while for Darnold to get used to Adam Gase's offensive and new running back Le Vein Bell, who may also need some time afterwards." months without action at the game. The Bills have done a lot (very exciting) The staff are also changing during the off season, but they are not making such an important adjustment. "

    The Bills also beat the Jets 41-10 at this point last season, but Darnold did not play for Gang Green that day and has not yet experienced his breakthrough at the end of the rookie season.

    Davenport has a dissenting opinion.

    "I can not help but think that if Darnold took a step forward in his second season in the NFL, these Jets could be a better team than many think," he said. "Of course, this could also be the rest of Burger King that I ate at 2 am making this choice."

    For what it's worth, these hamburgers served Davenport well last year. He beat the pitch of his two colleagues with a record of 133-116-7. And TAmong the members of this group who chose the majority, solitary wolves were 64-61-1 in the 2018 regular season.

    predictions
    Davenport: New York (-3)
    Gagnon: Buffalo (+3)
    Sobleski: Buffalo (+3)
    Consensus: Buffalo (+3)

    Score forecast: Bills 21, Jets 20

5 of 16

    Matt Ludtke / Associated Press

    The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the gap only five times during an extremely disappointing 2018 season, but they are now getting more than a goal for their first home game and debut quarterback Nick Foles in Jacksonville.

    It's not enough for the majority of our experts to stand alongside the Jaguars against a Kansas City Chiefs team that shares the same best odds to win the AFC with the New England Patriots.

    The chiefs had the third highest score attack in the history of the NFL last season, and all their key offensive players (save Kareem Hunt) are back and healthy. In addition, they added a pair of intriguing rookie weapons in Mecole Hardman and Darwin Thompson, as well as veteran LeSean McCoy. Their defense was problematic last year, but they have early talents and are opportunistic, which could be a problem for a Jags offense that was prone to errors in 2018.

    Yet, it is unlikely to be an eruption.

    "The Jaguars have gone from Blake Bortles to Foles, and this defense is still one of the best in football," Gagnon said in disagreement with his colleagues. "They've had a whole season of preparation for Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's cumulative attack, and they should be mobilized to send a message.This is likely to be a field match."

    This hook is really terrifying. So, if you are on the heads and you can buy half a point of insurance, strongly consider doing so in order to at least increase your chances of moving forward.

    predictions
    Davenport: Kansas City (-3.5)
    Gagnon: Jacksonville (+3.5)
    Sobleski: Kansas City (-3.5)
    Consensus: Kansas City (-3.5)

    Scoring forecast: Chiefs 28, Jaguars 23

6 of 16

    Grant Halverson / Getty Images

    Are the Carolina Panthers back? If this is the case, bookkeepers may feel ridiculous for making Carolina an underdog for the game for a duel at the opening of the season with the Los Angeles Rams.

    The wheels of the Panthers' team fell in the middle of the 2018 season, in part because quarterback Cam Newton lost the ability to throw the ball even at about thirty yards from the field. But before their release in November / December, they were 5-0 at home with an average of 31.6 points per game, a performance that resulted in impressive wins over the Dallas Cowboys and Baltimore Ravens.

    With this in mind, the majority of our experts believe that the Panthers will not be respected enough in Vegas this week.

    "The Rams have received no favor from the NFL with a getaway across the country to open the 2019 campaign at 1 pm ET," said Sobleski. "On top of that, the betting line still favors the visiting team.The logistics do not even take into account the viability of the Panthers as the team improved after the 7 to 9 effort of Last year, Newton should be in good health, the Panthers now have more offensive weapons, while the defense has added Gerald McCoy and Brian Burns.

    The Rams are perhaps the defending champions of the NFC, but nothing says how the half-offensive Todd Gurley apparently arthritic the knee will look, and they took shots in the trenches when they lost veterans Ndamukong Suh and Rodger Saffold in free will.

    Nevertheless, Davenport is not convinced that they are going to take a step back and he will have to see him to believe him regarding the awakening of the Panthers. And so we lack unanimity.

    predictions
    Davenport: Los Angeles (-2.5)
    Gagnon: Caroline (+2.5)
    Sobleski: Caroline (+2.5)
    Consensus: Caroline (+2.5)

    Score prediction: Panthers 26, Rams 24

7 of 16

    Ron Schwane / Associated Press

    The Cleveland Browns: So hot right now.

    They are so hot that for the second time in the last four years they are entitled to five points or more. This is despite the fact that they are facing a relatively talented opponent after three consecutive winning seasons.

    Even with five points to go against a Tennessee Titans team that had the NFL's third best defense last season, the majority of our experts are riding with the Browns at home.

    But not everything is about the hype of burnt orange.

    "This choice has less to do with the Orange Kool-Aid in Cleveland and more with a lack of confidence in the Titans," said Davenport. "The Tennessee offensive line has instilled all its vigor as part of a general rehearsal defeat against the Pittsburgh Steelers, and I do not expect it to be much better Sunday with Taylor Lewan sitting in his bedroom thinking about what he did.

    "Myles Garrett, Olivier Vernon, Sheldon Richardson and the Cleveland D-line will win the day in the trenches, and the Browns will win the game with at least one touchdown."

    That said, the Browns' offensive line could also be a handicap this season, and nothing says how this young team will face considerable pressure in the pre-season. Freddie Kitchens makes his debut as head coach and his team faces an opponent who defeated the Dallas Cowboys, New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles in 2018.

    It was enough to convince Gagnon that it should be close and deprive us of a unanimous decision in favor of the Browns.

    predictions
    Davenport: Cleveland (-5)
    Gagnon: Tennessee (+5)
    Sobleski: Cleveland (-5)
    Consensus: Cleveland (-5)

    Score forecast: Browns 27, Titans 20

8 of 16

    Mitchell Leff / Getty Images

    The Washington Redskins were beaten 52-13 by the Philadelphia Eagles in two humiliating defeats in December last season. Since then, the Eagles have become healthier and stronger, while the Redskins have had another tough season.

    Thus, while the two-figure spreads for the season opener between division rivals are scary, the majority of our experts continue to fall behind Philadelphia minus 10 points on Sunday.

    "Such gaps make me particularly nervous at the start of the season because we know so much about the teams," said Davenport. "But the Redskins look like a mess, the talent in the offensive position is extremely mediocre, the only thing that adds me more than this talent in the position of talent is the prospect of Case Keenum at the quarterback, and the left forward Trent Williams was not found. "

    Still, this is not unanimous, and Sobleski defended his decision to support the dog.

    "Last season, the Redskins were at the top of the NFC standings until Alex Smith got injured in the leg," he said. "The season quickly lost control of the situation, but last year showed that Washington was a better team than we deserve it, yes, Keenum does not attract much enthusiasm as only starting quarter, but the background is loaded and the defense is talented.Washington is good enough to keep a match against rival Eagles. "

    Gagnon, like Davenport, is not convinced that the Redskins can protect Keenum, which is just beginning because Smith is injured and Dwayne Haskins is not ready. He breaks the tie in favor of Philly.

    predictions
    Davenport: Philadelphia (-10)
    Gagnon: Philadelphia (-10)
    Sobleski: Washington (+10)
    Consensus: Philadelphia (-10)

    Scoring forecast: Eagles 24, Redskins 13

9 of 16

    Elaine Thompson / Associated Press

    The Seattle Seahawks of Washington State, who are still scared, start the 2019 season with a run of five home wins. Two of those wins were decisive at the end of the season against the Kansas City Chiefs and Minnesota Vikings. This is not new, as Seattle is by far the best home record in the NFC (44-12) since quarterback Russell Wilson entered the league in 2012.

    Bizarrely, Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton is 4-0 throughout his career in games played in the Pacific time zone, but he may be expected to lose to a team of Seattle must feel good after an exciting season.

    All of our analysts have the Seahawks beat the Bengals by a two-digit margin.

    "The gap could not be big enough for the Bengals to override the Seattle Seahawks," said Sobleski. "Cincinnati is arguably the worst football offensive line and the group must begin their journey by playing in one of the most noisy stadiums in the league." Jadeveon Clowney is expected to stage a dominant performance in his first appearance with the Seahawks In addition, Andy Dalton won AJ Green is not available to serve as a crutch in the passing game. "

    It appears to be a "wrong place, wrong time" scenario for a Cincinnati Crewed crew that will test a new offense without Green and lose two veterans offensive linemen due to sudden retirements out of season. These Seahawks may be even less powerful than the teams that participated in the consecutive Super Bowls at the beginning of this decade, but the reloading was done quickly and it looks like a game of utterance.

    Seattle will be a popular choice among survivors this weekend.

    predictions
    Davenport: Seattle (-9.5)
    Gagnon: Seattle (-9.5)
    Sobleski: Seattle (-9.5)
    Consensus: Seattle (-9.5)

    Score Prediction: Seahawks 31, Bengals 13

10 of 16

    Gary Landers / Associated Press

    When quarterback Andrew Luck of the Colts of Indianapolis retired unexpectedly at the end of last month, the Colts have gone from an outsider of about three points to a dog of about seven. points for their clash on the road with the Los Angeles Chargers.

    It seems that our panelists feel that this was an overreaction, especially givenHalfback Melvin Gordon, injured back Derwin James and veteran southpaw Russell Okung, who is recovering from a pulmonary embolism, were the only AFC team to have a worse record at home (5-3) than road folder (7-1).

    It is also believed that Luck's replacement can do a quality job.

    "Luck's retirement overshadows the fact that Indianapolis still has a qualified team for the playoffs," said Sobleski. "As long as Jacoby Brissett plays effectively behind the best offensive line in the game with many talented players in qualifying positions, the Colts should be counted among the best teams in the AFC.

    "The Chargers have also had to deal with low season adversity, which brings them back into the pack, with three major defeats – Gordon, Okung and James – having a major impact on the overall efficiency of Los Angeles. teams are much closer to quality than a 6.5 point gap indicates. "

    Davenport and Gagnon are in agreement. The Colts have a chance on what is essentially a neutral site in Carson, California.

    predictions
    Davenport: Indianapolis (+6.5)
    Gagnon: Indianapolis (+6.5)
    Sobleski: Indianapolis (+6.5)
    Consensus: Indianapolis (+6.5)

    Prediction Score: Chargers 21, Colts 20

11 of 16

    Rick Scuteri / Associate Press

    Nobody knows what to expect from the reorganized Arizona Cardinals and their rookie coach-quarter duo. That's why we do not recommend opening your wallet for the benefit of the Cardinals or their opponent the first week, the Detroit Lions.

    Our experts nonetheless reluctantly but unanimously support Lions slightly more predictable, reliable and accomplished with only 2.5 points at stake.

    "Giving points to take Detroit down the road creates a sense of anticipation," Davenport said. "Despite all Kyler Murray's remarks in the quarterback and Kliff Kingsbury's air raid offense, the Cardinals remain an all-out offensive team in 2018. Lions ranked among the top 10 in terms of defense. total last season, and I'm waiting for Kerryon Johnson to succeed on the field against the Redbirds. "

    Johnson is indeed a potential centerpiece and he is completely cured of the knee injury that has cost him the last six games of his rookie season. He thinks he has a lot of work in Darrell Bevell's offense, especially against the vulnerable player of Arizona, D.

    This could be the key to what is likely to be an unprofitable business.

    predictions
    Davenport: Detroit (-2.5)
    Gagnon: Detroit (-2.5)
    Sobleski: Detroit (-2.5)
    Consensus: Detroit (-2.5)

    Prediction of score: Lions 21, Cardinals 13

12 of 16

    Bill Kostroun / Associated Press

    The Dallas Cowboys have beaten the New York Giants in each of their last four meetings, and NFC East rivals seem to be heading in opposite directions after divergence.

    Dallas, center star, Travis Frederick, is back from sickness and escapes potential potential from Ezekiel Elliott's regular season, while the Giants undertake a rebuild by exchanging Odell Beckham Jr. and Olivier Vernon leaving Landon Collins walk.

    In this spirit, the majority of our analysts believe that the Cowboys can erase a gap of 7.5 points at home against the G-Men Sunday.

    "Because of the recent history of the division, I think we started to assume that all NFC East games will be tight," said Gagnon. "But there's no chance the Philadelphia Eagles and Cowboys will win 10 and 7.5 points against the Washington Redskins and Giants, the train wreck, respectively.

    "Dallas is really one of the most talented teams in the NFL with a lot of strength in all positions, offensively and defensively." Meanwhile, until Daniel Jones is shot in the middle, the Giants are the Saquon Barkley and just about anything else. "

    That's a problem when you face a stacked race defense featuring unmatched players Leighton Vander Esch, Jaylon Smith and DeMarcus Lawrence.

    That said, Sobleski still claims a tight match. It's something you can never rule out in a battle between these two familiar enemies.

    predictions
    Davenport: Dallas (-7.5)
    Gagnon: Dallas (-7.5)
    Sobleski: New York (+7.5)
    Consensus: Dallas (-7.5)

    Score Forecast: Cowboys 26, Giants 17

13 out of 16

    Chris O 'Meara / Associated Press

    Our panel does not trust the San Francisco 49ers, who crisscross the country to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their first game.

    They are all on the Bucs to take care of business directly.

    "Even if we try not to read too much in Jimmy Garoppolo's pre-season fights, it should be wondered how badly it could be rusty and uncomfortable when he returned from an ACL operation" said Gagnon. "And it is also interesting to note that Garoppolo completed less than 60% of his passes while the 49ers scored twice before knee injuries last year.

    "I'm not convinced that he's special, while I still believe in quarterback Bucs Jameis Winston." New Tampa Bay head coach, Bruce Arians, is a magician with passersby, and Winston should be well supported by his team of coaches, a decent offensive line and a solid team-forwarding corps.I think they will go to town against a 49ers defense in transition during the match. ;opening. "

    Even without Jason Pierre-Paul and Vita Vea status in the air, the Bucs' defense could be well equipped to face star striker San Francisco George Kittle and the rest of the 49ers offensive. Our experts are looking for newcomers, Ndamukong Suh, Shaquil Barrett and Devin White, who will become the big winners of Tampa Bay's victory in Arians' debut.

    predictions
    Davenport: Tampa Bay (PK)
    Gagnon: Tampa Bay (PK)
    Sobleski: Tampa Bay (PK)
    Consensus: Tampa Bay (PK)

    Score Forecast: Buccaneers 27, 49ers 24

14 of 16

    Justin Berl / Getty Images

    The New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Steelers have both suffered heavy losses this season, but both heavyweights resist. They have played two tight games in the last two seasons. Pittsburgh beat Pats 41-37 by far in a 1-1 division.

    These two games were played in Pittsburgh, while it takes place in Foxborough. It's no surprise then that the home-dominant Super Bowl champions are favored, but the majority of our analysts believe they are racking up 5.5 point points.

    "The Patriots have started to slow down in the last two seasons," said Sobleski. "New England started the 2018 campaign with a record of one to two, while the Chiefs clubbed the Patriots to start the 2017 campaign. Bill Belichick's team has a tendency to improve over the course of the year.

    "It's a likely lane again this season since the Pats still have to figure out who will be the first target of the pass game and how they will replace the center, David Andrews.Also, the Steelers have something to prove without Antonio Brown and The & # 39; Veon Bell "

    While the Steelers had almost the entire off-season to adapt to life without Brown, the Patriots just lost Andrews last week. Since they still do not know what to expect from new left tackle Isaiah Wynn, the line responsible for protecting the league's oldest quarterback is a bit worrisome.

    The Patriots have won 16 consecutive home games in the regular season and playoffs since October 2017, but elite opponents such as the Chiefs, Jaguars and Chargers have all stayed at Gillette Stadium. Davenport is therefore on the same side as the dominant home team, but Gagnon and Sobleski give him the upper hand over this 5.5 point gap.

    predictions
    Davenport: New England (-5.5)
    Gagnon: Pittsburgh (+5.5)
    Sobleski: Pittsburgh (+5.5)
    Consensus: Pittsburgh (+5.5)

    Score forecast: Patriots 24, Steelers 21

15 of 16

    Wesley Hitt / Getty Images

    Speaking of Super Bowl contenders with 40-year-old quarterbacks known for their slow starts, the New Orleans Saints led by Drew Brees lost five players in the ensuing season. In fact, they only covered a week late since the beginning of the decade.

    Our analysts are therefore unanimously uncomfortable with the fact that New Orleans renounces a full touch Monday night against the Houston Texans, even if the Saints are at home and the Texans have just finished a brutal summer .

    "I know Lamar Miller is out for the season and the Texans may have been thrown out in two late deals," said Gagnon. "But there was a good chance that they were not going to have Jadeveon Clowney in the first week, and there is no denying that newcomers, Laremy Tunsil and Kenny Stills, have improved. attack.

    "The Saints are known for their slowness, and I'm a little concerned about the slowdown in Brees after posting a meager smuggling score of 84.7 in the last four games of the 2018 regular season, then losing to the Rams in series should be a tight game. "

    The Saints form a powerful team at the Superdome, but the Steelers, Rams and Browns led them there last season. Tampa Bay beat them in New Orleans during the opening match of 2018. Even though Houston is not following Monday, a seven-point gap is pushing him.

    predictions
    Davenport: Houston (+7)
    Gagnon: Houston (+7)
    Sobleski: Houston (+7)
    Consensus: Houston (+7)

    Prediction Score: Saints 28, Texans 24

16 out of 16

    Justin Edmonds / Getty Images

    The Denver Broncos still have work to do to close Monday's week 1 against the Oakland Raiders. The majority of our analysts are thrilled to be in Denver's defense even on the road.

    "Je n'ai pas vraiment confiance en les Broncos en 2019", a déclaré Davenport. "Mais je pense qu'ils vont bien jouer la défense et diriger le football, ce qui devrait les garder dans beaucoup de matchs. Les Raiders Cela devrait être mieux, mais il reste encore beaucoup à faire. Je prendrai l'équipe de route dans un match où les paris se sont tournés vers les Broncos, même si c'est sans grande confiance. "

    Les Raiders ont une meilleure apparence sur le papier que la saison dernière et ils devraient être plus à l'aise lors de la deuxième saison de Jon Gruden. Mais Antonio Brown était à peine sur le terrain de pratique cet été et il reste plus de points d'interrogation à Oakland qu'à Denver.

    Cependant, nous manquons d’unanimité ici, car Gagnon n’a aucune confiance dans le nouveau quart-arrière des Broncos, Joe Flacco. Et il convient de souligner que les Raiders ont battu les Steelers et ces Broncos à domicile en décembre dernier.

    La semaine se termine sur une note délicate.

    Prédictions
    Davenport: Denver (PK)
    Gagnon: Oakland (PK)
    Sobleski: Denver (PK)
    Consensus: Denver (PK)

    Prévision de score: Broncos 23, Raiders 20

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