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Friday night was not a good thing for the NCAA tournament bubble teams, as we still have a lot of potential winners of the automatic bid. The evening was animated by a trend started early afternoon with the Atlantic 10 tournament. This conference will almost certainly place a second team on the field, because of the quarter-final loss of VCU Rams against the Ram Rhode Island.
Note: all hours are in the east.
- Nevada's top-seeded Nevada Wolf Pack fell to the San Diego Aztecs in the semi-finals for the third time in Eric Musselman's four seasons. But a thief bid is not guaranteed in tonight's championship game (6 pm, CBS), Utah State Aggies, seeded second, easily battled the Fresno State Bulldogs in the second match of the evening in Las Vegas, 85-60. Bubble fans will struggle to make the Aggies win their tie against the Aztecs tonight.
- In the MAC semifinal at Cleveland, the first-ranked Buffalo Bulls defeated the Central Michigan Chippewas 85-81. Tonight, they will seek to defeat the Bowling Green Falcons (19:30, ESPN2), one of two teams that beat them in conference, for the Mid-American to become a league again to an offer.
- There are two potential usurpers in the American Athletics Tournament in Memphis. The first is the host of the Tigers, who is now 10-1 against home league opponents this season. But a notable team has not been welcomed by FedEx Forum – the top-ranked Houston Cougars – and this is changing this afternoon (3pm, ESPN2). The Wichita State Shockers are the other surprise champion. They have won 11 of their last 13 games, including Friday night's quarter-final victory over the Temple Owls. Gregg Marshall's team will face the second-seeded Cincinnati Bearcats at the last drink (5:30 pm, ESPN2).
- Then there is the Pac-12, which could now place Three NCAA tournament teams after Friday's results. (That's it for my # Pac1Bid .) While the top-seeded Washington Huskies were able to stand up to the Colorado Buffaloes in the first game of the night in Las Vegas, 66-61, the No. 1 seeded Arizona State Sun Devils ° 2, were able to defeat the Oregon Ducks falling 79-75 after overtime. This is a remake of last week's regular season finale (10:30 pm, ESPN), when Dana Altman's team eliminated Mike Hopkins in Seattle, limiting to 18 points the first-half victory over a victory of 55-47.
The late American and Pac-12 results last night, combined with Alumna Crimson Tide's previous loss to the Kentucky Wildcats at the SEC tournament, have all blurred the prospects. But, hey, at least we do not have to wonder how the selection committee will create a potential champion of the 16-19 Big 12 tournaments in West Virginia!
Note: Team records and NET data reflect games played until Friday, March 15, 2019. (Info de WarrenNolan.com.)
Go to the pole full day to see where are the last four occupants on the ground.
Last four byes: Ole Miss, TCU, Florida, state of Ohio
St. John's (21-12; 8-10 Big East)
NET: 72; Recording of quadrant 1 (Q1): 5-7; Recording of quadrant 2 (Q2): 5-3; route / neutral record: 7-7; robustness of the calendar (SOS): 73; non-conference work schedule (NCSOS): 216
Thursday's loss to a Marquette St. John's team that was treated twice in the regular season put them in a dangerous position, especially because of the NET ranking below the top 70. Despite the defeat and the consecutive decline in ranking, St. John's should to be on the field, thanks to a 10-10 record against Quadrants 1 and 2, highlighted by these victories on the Golden Eagles, as well as others on Villanova and VCU. However, a relatively weak program outside the conference and some serious inconsistencies in the game of Big East, including a regular season sweep at the hands of the same DePaul team that the Red Storm won in the first round of Wednesday, will give reason Johnnies to sweat.
State of Arizona (22-10; 12-6 Pac-12)
NET: 63; Recording Q1: 3-3; Recording Q2: 8-3; route / neutral record: 9-7; SOS: 70; NCSOS: 48
For the second consecutive season, Bobby Hurley's team could qualify thanks to its excellent non-conference performances, highlighted by a home win against Kansas and two victories in Las Vegas on the states of Mississippi and Utah. These victories outweigh the inconsistent game of the Sun Devils in a bad Pac-12 and a disturbing pair of defeats off the leagues, against Princeton and a Vanderbilt team that failed to win a game against the SEC. The defeats, two of the five Arizona State registrations against teams outside the top 100 NET, deflate their own rankings and could make their choice much tighter than it would have been.
Temple (23-8; 13-5 American Athletic)
NET: 54; Recording Q1: 2-6; Recording Q2: 6-2; route / neutral record: 10-7; SOS: 75; NCSOS: 220
The Owls affair is largely based on two victories, both at the Liacouras Center: one against the UCF last Saturday and another against Houston since 9 January. Highlights from Temple's profile are a decent 10-7 away record and a lack of disappointing defeats, and the Friday night defeat against Wichita State will dampen the brilliance of both. The Owls were likely to win two games in Memphis to send Fran Dunphy to a final NCAA tournament before retirement. But they did not do it, and now they have to wait to see if this dream can come true.
Belmont (25-5; 16-2 OVC)
NET: 47; Recording Q1: 2-2; Recording Q2: 2-1; route / neutral card: 13-4; SOS: 196; NCSOS: 74
The Bruins have pretty much everything the selection committee wants from a full fledged candidate, with the exception of an outstanding win. Belmont has a strong road / neutral record and a 4-3 mark in both Quad 1 and 2 games. Honestly, Rick Byrd's team would surely not be a choice if they had not lost twice against Jacksonville state in regular season. Although the Bruins' 17 Quad 4s are a major hurdle in the selection, 14 of them have been in the league, so a program of the top 75 non-conference games has done its part. And as I wrote Thursday afternoon, the presence of six middle class representatives on the committee could help the Bruins sneak in, especially in a year with so many imperfect power conference teams. in the race.
State NC (22-11; 9-9ACC)
NET: 34; Recording Q1: 3-9; Q2 record: 5-0; route / neutral record: 7-7; SOS: 178; NCSOS: 353
If the NET dominates the decisions of the Committee, the Wolfpack will have room and all this conversation will look extremely ridiculous. But if the selectors are really interested in NC State's profile, they will face severe red flags, at least based on the past behavior of the Committee. Although the Wolfpack has three victories in Quad 1 and 8 on quads 1 and 2, only two of them have probably won NCAA, Auburn and Syracuse tournaments, both in Raleigh. And while NC State finished 9-9 in ACC, the win over Orange was their only conference win over an NCAA competitor. Then there is the non-conference program, and while we can (and will discuss) the benefits of metrics, the committee still uses them. And eight huge home wins against teams ranked outside the top 200 largely fuel the NET ranking of the Pack. And it's the fact that the lack of ambition in planning is likely to burn Kevin Keatts' team in the end.
Alabama (18-14; 8-10 SEC)
NET: 61; Recording Q1: 3-10; Q2 record: 7-3; route / neutral record: 8-10; SOS: 14; NCSOS: 43
On Friday, in the quarterfinals of the SEC tournament, the Crimson Tide could not rely on their Thursday win over Ole Miss, while Kentucky won predictably, 73-55. Alabama could certainly have used a second win over the Wildcats, which would have been their fourth triumph in Quad 1 and their best result away from Tuscaloosa. That's because, just like in NC State, the away performance is one of the biggest factors that plays against Avery Johnson's team, their two best wins having been won at Coleman Coliseum. Being swept away by a Texan A & M program that has just sacked his coach, his loss to Florida, another team of the same name, and a home defeat against Georgia State on December 4 have also hurt to Tide's chances.
Indiana (17-15, 8-12 Big Ten)
NET: 53; Q1 record: 6-9; Recording Q2: 2-6; route / neutral record: 4-10; SOS: 59; NCSOS: 210
If the Hoosiers had overthrown Ohio State in the second round of Thursday's Big Ten Tournament, they would be on the ground for the moment. And thanks to five wins in the top 30 and no losses in Quad 3 and 4, Hoosiers still have a chance to win a surprise bid. However, the inconsistency, best reflected in Indiana's 2-6 mark in winning Quadrant 2 games, is likely to raise Archie Miller's club to NIT.
Texas (16-16; 8-10 Big 12)
NET: 38; Q1 record: 5-10; Recording Q2: 4-5; route / neutral record: 4-10; SOS: 6; NCSOS: 17
If the Longhorns had reached the final of the Big 12 tonight, they could were the first 16 outstanding lost teams selected for the NCAA Tournament Championship. However, Shaka Smart's team needed to defeat Kansas in the quarterfinals and win a semi-final to qualify for the title game. But Thursday's loss to the Jayhawks guaranteed a .500 record and I do not think the Committee will choose such a team to occupy one of the 36 spots available. This is probably the case even with the ranking in the top 40 NET Longhorns, five victories in Quad 1 and the impressive strength of the ranking.
Next four on: Oregon, Lips, UNC Greensboro, Clemson
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