Betting lines, odds and game selection in the NFL: first week



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NFL Betting Lines
CHICAGO, IL – DECEMBER 16: Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, 12, plans to throw the football at a NFL game between the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears on the 16th. December 2018 at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. (Photo by Robin Alam / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)


The NFL season is imminent, which means it's time to make money. The betting lines and odds are already in, so let 's review every game, make some game choices and find the best way to make money quickly and easily. The season starts Thursday with the Green Bay Packers against the Chicago Bears, so get into those bets now before the action starts.

NFL Week One: betting lines, odds and choice of games

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (-3)

Vegas loves the Chicago Bears in this one, but the Green Bay Packers have the upper hand. Aaron Rodgers battled with injuries throughout 2018 and has never really been himself. Rodgers, now healthy, should live up to his old form and his new head coach Matt LaFleur should only rejuvenate the offense. Green Bay has added several key defenses in the offseason, which should ultimately give Rodgers a solid defense.

The Chicago Bears of 2019 are going to be hit hard by the regression. Mitchell Trubisky was one of the luckiest quarters in 2018 based on expected turnovers compared to actual numbers. It will not be so productive this year. In addition, Chicago's elite defense lost the brilliance Vic Fangio and replaced it with the non-inspiring Chuck Pagano. The Bears will take a step back in attack and defense, while the Packers should only improve in 2019.

Choice: The Packers win, beat the gap

Confidence interval: 7/10

Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Carolina Panthers

Cam Newton should play, making it a difficult decision to make. The Panthers were 6-2 last year before Newton got injured in the shoulder and added several key pieces in the off season. That said, you should always choose the rams. The offensive is much better with Cooper Kupp on the ground, and he is apparently very handsome. C.J. Anderson proved that you do not need a Todd Gurley Run the ball in this attack, and the Rams should again be one of the best teams in the league.

Choice: Rams win, coverage is extended

Confidence interval: 5/10

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-5.5)

The Cleveland Browns will win, but they will not cover the gap. Tennessee is a ball control team, which naturally leads to lousy affairs and tight games. Marcus Mariota is in good health and Ryan Tannehill is a backup capable if Mariota had to hurt herself again. The Browns have one of the best league offenses on paper, but they have had a lot of turnover in the off season. Asking all these new parts to work as a complete machine in the first week requires a lot.

Choice: The Browns win, do not cover the gap

Confidence interval: 6/10

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at the Jacksonville Jaguars

Nick Foles is an improvement of Blake Bortles and the Jacksonville defense should be better in 2019. That said, it's easy money. Patrick Mahomes has another year of experience to his credit and possesses the best weapons in the league. How any defense is supposed to cover Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Sammy Watkins, and Hardman mole is beyond me, and having Andy Reid calling the games is just unfair. The Kansas City defense should be better with Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieuand it's hard to imagine the Jaguars sticking to that.

Choose: Chiefs win, cover the gap

Confidence interval: 8/10

Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) at the Miami Dolphins

The dolphins in Miami are going to be bad. Like, really bad. Miami's lineup is probably the weakest of the NFL and they spent Saturday trading their good players. Ryan Fitzpatrick we will not have the time to launch behind the worst offensive line in the NFL, and there is no one to throw, even if it had blocked. The first seven are a mess, and the only good players in defense are Xavien Howard and Minkah Fitzpatrick. Unfortunately, both players play the pass and Baltimore wins by rolling the ball. The Ravens will win this one in an eruption.

Choice: crows win, cover the gap

Confidence interval: 8/10

Atlanta Falcons against the Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)

Do not bet on this game. The Atlanta Falcons should be in better shape than a season ago with their new defense. The offensive remains one of the best in the league and has the ability to assist one-on-one with any NFL team. The Vikings, meanwhile, should also improve with better defense and a reinforced offensive line. Kirk Cousins is able to exploit the offense and Dalvin Cook is finally healthy and ready for the start of the season.

Choice: Vikings win, do not cover the spread

Confidence interval: 3/10

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3)

The bills will be better than people realize this year. The defense was one of the best in the league by DVOA and should only improve with the addition of Ed Oliver. The jury is still on Josh Allenbut Buffalo has given him powerful complementary weapons to bring out the best in his game. The offensive line should return to the average to create a well-balanced team. The Jets are in a similar situation, but it's hard to trust a team led by Adam Gase and Gregg Williams.

Choose: The bills win, cover the gap

Confidence interval: 6/10

Washington Redskins at the Philadelphia Eagles (-8.5)

Generally, it's a good idea to bet against a gap of this size. Regardless of the quality of the team, it is difficult to completely escape the NFL competition. Strange things happen in football, and bad teams can score unnecessary time points to make the score appear closer to the game than this one. That said, the Redskins will be terrible while the Eagles are a favorite of the Super Bowl. Normally, this wide is a trap, but this one feels good.

Choice: The Eagles win, cover the gap

Confidence interval: 7/10

Indianapolis Colts to Los Angeles Chargers (-7)

It is easy money. Losing Andrew Luck It hurts, but the Indianapolis Colts still have one of the best full-line aligners in the league. Jacoby Brissett what it takes to be among the top 20 and should allow the team to remain competitive and respectable. Under no circumstances will 2011 be the year for the Indianapolis Colts. The Chargers, meanwhile, have already lost Derwin James and not having Melvin Gordon for the beginning of the season.

Choose: Chargers win, do not cover the spread

Confidence interval: 9/10

Cincinnati Bengals in the Seattle Seahawks (-9.5)

It's another game where the Seahawks will win, but the gap is too important. Seattle wants to put shit on the ground, which naturally leads to inconclusive results. Any wide receiver with the exception of Tyler Lockett is injured, so the Seahawks may have trouble moving the ball in the air. Plus, the Seahawks' defense does not have a lot of good pieces outside of Bobby Wagner and Jadeveon Clowney. The Bengals will be able to throw the ball, even if A green J. it's not on the ground. Seattle will win, but it will not be ridiculous.

Choices: Seahawks wins, does not cover the spread

Confidence interval: 7/10

Detroit Lions (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Why would anyone want to bet on this game going beyond me, so we will keep that fast. The Arizona Cardinals are one of the least talented in the league and Detroit should be able to move the ball as they please.

Choice: Lions win, cover the gap

Confidence interval: 7/10

New York Giants at the Dallas Cowboys (-7)

The giants are going to be bad, but not as much as everyone thinks. The offensive line is better and the offense has managed to work without Odell Beckham in the old days. Both teams love to run the ball, which means the score will not be too crazy. Seven Cowboy wins were scored by one or fewer touchdowns last season, so bet on a relatively tight game.

Choices: Cowboys wins, does not cover the spread

Confidence interval: 7/10

San Francisco 49ers against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (EVEN)

This is another game that nobody in the world bet on. Jimmy Garoppolo seemed bad in the pre-season and probably needs a few weeks to regain its old form. Bruce Arians is one of the best football coaches and still improves teams around him.

Choice: Filibusters win

Confidence interval: 7/10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots (-6)

The 2019 Patriots are, on paper, better than their counterparts of 2018. New England has one of the most important groups in the league, Tom Brady the execution of the offense, and Bill Belichick call the shots. Although the Steelers won this game last year, New England has always had the advantage over this game. When the Steelers are taken into account, they will play their first match without Antonio BrownIt's easy to see the Patriots win more than one touchdown.

Choice: the patriots win, cover the gap

Confidence interval: 8/10

Texans from Houston to the Saints of New Orleans (-7)

Nobody knows what the Houston Texans are doing, and it shows in the spread. Even though Texans may have destroyed their future, they have improved in the very near future with the addition of Laremy Tunsil and Kenny Stills. This offense should be good, and the defense will be fine as long as J.J. Watt is on the ground. It will not be enough to beat a stacked alignment of the New Orleans Saints, but it will be enough to keep him close.

Choice: the saints win, do not cover the spread

Confidence interval: 7/10

Broncos from Denver to Oakland Raiders (EVEN)

Vegas gives Jon Gruden far too much credit in this one. While no one likes to bet on Joe Flacco, the Broncos are clearly superior team. The defense is full of talent and head coach Vic Fangio knows how to make the most of each player. Flacco is an upgrade on the 2018 starter Keenum case and the offense should see the growth of Coutland Sutton and the return of Emmanuel Sanders. The Oakland defense is still messy while Derek Carr and Antonio Brown will need time to develop chemistry. Choose the broncos to win.

Choice: Broncos win

Confidence interval: 9/10

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