WASHINGTON – Former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., Lead the field of the Democratic presidency, according to the inaugural NBC News / Wall Street Journal national survey on the 2020 horse race.
Biden is supported by 26 percent of voters who say they want to attend the next year's primaries or caucuses, while 19 percent agree with Warren.
They are followed by the Senses. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., And Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Who are tied at 13%.
Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, gets support from 7% of the Democratic primary voters. Former Texas Congressman, Beto O'Rourke, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang, represent 2%.
No other candidate receives more than 1%.
Biden behaves best among African-Americans, senior Democrats and moderate or conservative politicians, while Warren is the strongest with the so-called Liberals and 18- to 49-year-olds.
Sanders also behaves best among the youngest Democratic primary voters.
The NBC / WSJ survey ran from July 7 to 9, after the first democratic debates and subsequent clashes of candidates on race and health care issues.
New candidate Tom Steyer only entered the race on July 9 and the investigation did not test the support of the militant billionaire.
The poll also polled voters in the Democratic primary on their second choice to the presidency. The main answers were: Harris (14%), Warren (13%), Sanders (12%) and Biden (10%).
Most importantly, only 12 percent of primary-school voters said their decision was finally made, indicating how malleable these numbers are.
"Every result looks so meaningful, so meaningful. And in truth, we are only in July 2019, "said pollster Peter Hart, who led the investigation with Republican pollster Bill McInturff.
"They are looking for a lot of candidates," McInturff said of these voters, "and they do not need to make a choice now."
A tale of two different Democratic primaries
The poll also shows how the Democratic electorate is divided – between voters who want substantial change and those who want a more modest change.
Fifty-four percent of Democratic primary voters say they prefer a candidate who proposes policies on a larger scale that may be more expensive and more difficult to adopt – but that could still lead to major changes.
Among these voters, Warren is in the lead (29%), followed by Sanders (18%), Biden (16%) and Harris (14%).
On the other hand, 41% of Democratic primary voters say they want a candidate who advocates policies that are smaller, cheaper and easier to pass on, but which bring less change.
And among these voters, Biden holds a substantial lead (at 35%), followed by Harris (14%), Buttigieg (8%) and Sanders (7%).
Similarly, the voters of the Democratic primary are divided on what is most important to them: a candidate who comes closest to their views on issues or who has the best chance of defeating President Donald Trump.
Fifty-one percent say the problems are more important and voters leave Biden (18%), Warren (18%), Sanders (17%) and Harris (11%).
These are compared to 45% who believe it is more important to defeat Trump and defeat Biden (34%), Warren (21%), Harris (16%), Buttigieg (8%) and Sanders (6%). %).
Democrats support government-run health care – others do not
In addition, the poll found that more than 7 out of 10 Democratic primary voters favor a single payer health care system, in which all Americans receive health insurance from a government plan funded in part by taxes.
But this is only 36% of independent voters and 14% of Republicans who support government-run health care.
44% of voters support it, against 49% who oppose it.
Divided on the dismissal
At the same time, voters in the Democratic primary remain divided over Trump's dismissal: 41% of respondents believe there is enough evidence to begin impeachment hearings now, compared to 39% who feel that Congress should continue to investigate to see if there is enough evidence to hold impeachment hearings in the future.
Only 19 percent of Democratic primary voters think Congress should not hold impeachment hearings and that Trump should finish his term as president.
21% of voters support the start of the impeachment process; 27% want more hearings; and 50% think that the country should go ahead.
Who impressed most during the first debates?
Fifty-one percent of Democratic primary voters say they have watched or listened to some of the first two presidential debates, and 29% said they paid close attention to their coverage in the press.
When these respondents were asked who were the most impressed candidates (they had three choices), the main answers were Harris, Warren, Buttigieg and Biden.
And interest in the Democratic primary race remains high, with a combined total of 82% of primary voters voting to say they are following the ballot "very closely" or "somewhat closely".
"We know that they are attentive," said McInturff, the GOP sounder.
The NBC / WSJ survey ran from July 7 to 9 over 800 registered voters – more than half by mobile phone – with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Among the 400 Democratic primary voters polled, the margin of error is plus-minus 4.9 percentage points.