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The Middle East and the Asia / Pacific region will be, by 2037, the ones with the greatest growth in pbadenger traffic
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The company also estimates that global demand for air transport will increase 2.5 times by 2037 (Paulo Whitaker / Reuters)
São Paulo – Embraer published today its report on projections for the aviation market over the next two decades, covering the years 2018 to 2037, at the international fair in Farnborough, England.
the period during which world pbadenger traffic maintains an annual growth rate of 4.5%. Despite external shocks, such as financial crises and large fluctuations in commodity prices, air transport has shown resilience to economic disruptions, maintaining its historic trend of long-term expansion, according to the evaluation of Embraer. By 2037, the Middle East and Asia / Pacific regions will experience the highest growth rates in pbadenger traffic, averaging 5.7% per year. Latin America (5.2%), Africa (4.8%), Europe (3.7%), Commonwealth of Independent States, CIS (3.6%) and North America (2.7%)
The company also estimates that global demand for air transport will increase 2.5 times by 2037, reaching 17 trillion pbadenger-kilometers per km (PKP) for all segments of commercial aircraft. The Asia / Pacific region will be the largest market, accounting for 38% of the world's RPKs.
Embraer expects that over the next 20 years there will be a worldwide demand for 10,550 new 150-seat aircraft, which will match the $ 600 billion market. New deliveries are expected to be concentrated in Asia / Pacific and North America with respectively 28% and 27% of aircraft demand.
The company also expects global demand for 8,230 aircraft with a capacity of up to 150 seats. , considering investments in connectivity between medium-sized cities. In this segment, new deliveries are also expected to be concentrated in the Asia / Pacific and North America regions, with respectively 25% and 31% of aircraft demand.
For the narrow-body segment, 150 210 seats, it is estimated that world demand will reach 20 260 deliveries. The Asia / Pacific and North America regions are expected to account for 38% and 20% respectively of aircraft demand. According to Embraer, aircraft with intermediate capacity in this segment will continue to dominate future demand, but it is expected that we will focus more and more on larger aircraft,
