[ad_1]
The withdrawal of PRB pre-candidate Flávio
Rock, must be understood as part of the desperate effort
Geraldo Alckmin toucan for toning
their candidacy, ensuring the support of the
Centrão and preventing them from concluding with Ciro Gomes,
of the PDT. With the support of the four means and
the extended television time Alckmin believes that
you can fight for a place in the second round. If the
election would be today, the final dispute would be between Bolsonaro
and the PT candidate
The value of Rocha's gesture goes beyond
1% he always had in the polls. In the video
who announced the decision, he condemned the "flirtation with
extreme, "advocates" a single convergence project "
and "a more balanced proposal for Brazil".
He did not say the name of Alckmin, but for him the
the movement was done.
In his attack, the toucan did another try this week
announcing that he has reached an agreement with the PSD. O
Ad surprised Guilherme Afif Domingos, who
was placed as the pre-candidate of the legend. The PSD
already closed with the candidate tucano to the government
from São Paulo, João Dória, but not with Alckmin. Yes
the agreement is confirmed, the Tucan coal
four small parties: PTB, PPS, PV
and PSD. Now the fight is for the support of the four parties
Center: DEM, PRB, PP and SD.
With the dismissal of Flávio Rocha, he became more likely
the membership of the PRB, regardless of
others. The Temer government has also started to help
the Toucan, threatening the parts of the Centrão with the
loss of positions if they opt for Ciro Gomes, as the Plbadto
called a "hostile candidate". Cyrus calls the MDB
gang and Temer quadrille. Good shows
it is understood: Alckmin did not want the support of Temer
neither the BMD, but this help is welcome.
The four parties meet today
the course to take, now with a new suit on the table,
the desistencia of Rocha. The PR, coveted also by
Bolsonaro and PT should not participate. The unity of the
center-right around a single candidate is difficult to
will occur but a greater aggregation around Alckmin
may have started. If it will improve your performance
in the polls, there are still five hundred. One thing is
to attract parties, another is to win voters.
NEW RESEARCH
Two searches were carried out yesterday on the square. The first,
Ipespe Institute, commissioned by the
XP and published by the website Infomoney, was realized
between 9 and 11 July. This confirms the
that the legal maneuvers last Sunday at
avoid the release of the former president Lula preferred him
electorally. It preferably reaches 30%, which
in the series is its highest level, in an oscillation
two percentage points compared to the survey
from the previous week.
Next are Jair Bolsonaro (PSL), who
its 20%, Marina Silva (Network) with 10%, and Geraldo
Alckmin (PSDB) and Ciro Gomes (PDT) with 7% each.
White, null and undecided total 15%. In the scenario
without Lula, we repeat the already seen in this research: the former mayor
Fernando Haddad goes from 2% to 12%
is highlighted as Lula's candidate.
A survey conducted for a major bank circulated
very closely in the political arena yesterday. In his
underlines the difference between the spontaneous vote in Lula
(22) and Bolsonaro (10%) and the other candidates: Marina,
3%, Ciro and Alckmin, 2% each, Álvaro Dias, 1%.
Spontaneous voting is the best indicator of strength
of a candidate.
In the scenario with Lula, it reaches 36%, Bolsonaro
13%, Cyro and Marina, 5% each, Alckmin, 4%. In one
simulation without Lula, Fernando Haddad only gets
1%. In another simulation, the name of the former president
is replaced by "Lula candidate", and this is achieved
14% compared to 17% in Bolsonaro. Follow Marina
(12%), Cyro (10%), Alckmin (4%) and Dias (4%). Nothing
again to the board, for parties that are at auction
the support according to the chances of victory.
[ad_2]
Source link
