Borisov politics before the election of Tsvetanov and GERB's future

© Georgi Kozhuharov

The way in which he will continue or complete Tsvetan Tsvetanov's political career after a scandal with ruling flats will be decided today or tomorrow. The scandal has already caused three resignations, but Tsvetanov is close to GERB leader and Prime Minister Boyko Borisov, the party's second man, his builder, the head of the pre-election headquarters, the leader of the parliamentary group and the chairman of the national committee. the National Assembly. The decision will be made at a meeting of the executive board, which will meet after Tsvetanov's capture of the United States – Wednesday or more likely on Thursday.

The executive committee is the leader of the party, his deputies of the Tsvetanov party, the mayor of Sofia Yordanka Fandakova and the mayor of Burgas Dimitar Nikolov, as well as deputies Krasimir Velchev, Menda Stoyanova and Daniela Daritkova – Prodanova, Deputy Prime Minister Tomislav Donchev, Mayor of Stara Zagora Nunev, Rumyana Bachvarova. According to anonymous politicians quoted in the media, most of them were of the opinion that Tsvetanov should suffer the consequences. But everyone is waiting for Borisov's decision. Until now, he said he was sad and mean to wait for the checks and quickly accepted the quits caused by the scandal.

Until now, Tomislav Donchev has publicly stated that Tsvetan Tsvetanov owed more information about this regarding his apartment and his relations with the sales company. The media spoke of Deputy Prime Minister as the GERB wing leader, who is against Tsvetanov.

Despite the statement of the Speaker of the National Assembly, Tsveta Karayancheva, according to which the GERB is a united party and up to now, there is no separation, informal discussions with the deputies show that GERB is no longer so united.

Unit or two camps

While Tsvetanov is in the United States and therefore does not respond to calls or announcements, several editions have already announced that he would leave the Parliament, but would remain president of the pre-election headquarters and continue to occupy l & # 39; election. There is no confirmation or denial of this "news" by GERB. The deputies with whom Dnevnik talks are saying that they are not going to risk predicting what their president, Boyko Borisov, will decide.

In the party, there are supporters of the hypothesis that Tsvetanov will retain all his posts. They draw arguments from his great influence on staffing decisions. Some predict that there will be a wave of local structure statements in its defense.

On Facebook, the group "Tsvetan Tsvetanov is innocent", inactive for about 5 months. It was created in the previous property and judicial problems of Tsvetanov 6 years ago. The group has issued several statements to support, including one from the regional branch of GERB – Blagoevgrad.

The deputies say that although Tsvetanov controls a large part of the structures because they created them personally, there is dissatisfaction with centralism on the ground and purely personal dramas emerge. The parliamentary group was also angry because they were used as voting machines. Ropot was also forced to register as an importer of laws that they did not even read. What the party will do under different laws is very often known to Tsvetan Tsvetanov and the head of the Committee on Legal Affairs, Danail Kirilov, and other MPs can not answer such questions. The criticism also prompted Tsvetanov's departure for the United States at the height of the scandal.

Why is Borisov angry?

The deputies added: "The amendments to the Electoral Code, whose amendments were modified at the last moment before the vote of the Parliament under the pressure of the MRF, as well as the law on religious denominations – explain the damage caused by the GERB before the European elections, added:, which was also a joint work of Tsvetanov and the Movement, and the Prime Minister is very careful not to "enter" into a coalition with the MRF, and in both cases Borisov intervened and has imposed a new change to both laws – returning to the old preferential rules, instead of simplifying the 8 million surveys in the state of the mufti's office, the debts will be deferred.A deputy noted that Borisov might like the Deus ex machina intervention, but that he began to adjust too much fights, which could harm the good result.

The GERB group says it will not be a good signal if Tsvetanov retains all his posts, given that Tsetska Tsacheva has already resigned from his post as Minister of Justice and that there are two other resignations. They are reminded that Borisov is able to perceive the mood of the public and that is why Tsvetanov will have to lose at least some of his power and influence.

What will happen to Tsvetanov?

The GERB deputies believe that Tsvetanov can leave the parliament but retain the functions of the party. According to some, the party can exist without it. An example of this is the MRF after Cbadim Dahl, who, like Tsvetanov, held all the structures, but the Movement retained its results after his departure. It is also one of the examples of unsuccessful attempts to break a new party, even by a politician with the experience of building a party.

Only two months later, however, the vote for a European Parliament and local elections will also take place in the autumn. A radical change in the pre-electoral headquarters, which Tsvetan Tsvetanov directed only in his 12 years of existence, is likely to make Mr Borisov think. In addition, the European elections are considered a decisive moment for the holding of early elections in the National Assembly.

If Tsvetanov leaves the parliament, Borisov must find a politician who will manage to maintain the fragile quorum. GERB and their United Patriots partners have 122 of the 121 seats needed to start a meeting. The division between NFFS, IMRO and Attack is such that they often vote against GERB and have a different opinion within the coalition. This is why the support of the two independent MPs "Will" and more and more of the MRF is needed. Tsvetan Tsvetanov is the one who creates the temporary coalitions necessary for the quorum, the adoption of laws and the support of the Cabinet.

The election to Boyko Borisov is difficult, but most of the predictions of the last days are against Tsvetanov. According to sociologist Andrei Raichev, quoted by Focus, if Borisov leaves Tsvetanov, it will be the last injection of life in GERB's attempt to obtain his mandate. Commenting on the Deutsche Welle of the political scientist Daniel Smilov, Tzvetan Tsvetanov seems to be "removed from his register". "The statements of Tomislav Donchev and other GERB spokespeople suggest that Tsvetanov will step down from his leadership positions and his resignation is only a matter of time – at least as president Yes, the GERB will suffer a serious blow to its reputation, will also suffer serious organizational damage, but this is the only way to present itself in an acceptable form in the next elections, "Smilov said.