California recall: Latino voters could be key to Gavin Newsom keeping job



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A mix of Democratic campaigns, super PACs and predominantly blue statewide organizations worked for weeks to get Latino voters in the September 14 recall election, battling a mix of apathy, anger and confusion in their efforts to get what has been a reliable voting block to get the party to run for an out-of-year election.

“You can’t win California without reaching out to Latinos, so from the start there was an effort to connect with Latinos and Latino leaders to emphasize how important the recall was,” Angelica said. Salas, director of the CHIRLA Action Fund, an immigrant rights organization that opposes Newsom’s recall. “We are doing everything in our power to defeat this recall.”

Salas, whose organization has seen more than 20 volunteers knocking on doors almost every day since early August, said its organizers found some people unsure of why they had to vote in a non-traditional election year – as well as ‘a certain apathy in the face of the effort.

That’s a problem for Newsom: Given California’s overwhelming Democratic leanings, Republicans will need both increased turnout from their side and depressed turnout from traditionally Democratic voters to stand any chance of it. ‘oust the governor of the first term. If the recall is successful, voters will be asked on the same ballot to choose from a series of Newsom challengers, including Republican Larry Elder, a prominent right-wing competitor who has been fighting the coronavirus pandemic of Newsom the center of his campaign.

Newsom himself has sought to increase Latin American turnout ahead of the recall elections, telling Latino leaders on Thursday that the echoes of Proposition 187 – California’s now void 1994 proposal that banned undocumented migrants from using a series utility – is on the ballot with him.

“You mentioned Proposition 187 – xenophobia, nativism. It’s on the ballot on September 14,” Newsom said. “I never thought we would have to relive this.”

“I don’t think he really understood”

Republicans like Elder are hoping that frustration with the coronavirus pandemic and the way Newsom has handled the response could lead to his ouster. Newsom, like other Democratic governors, implemented tough rules in response to the pandemic, receiving politically motivated backlash from Republicans who argued it was costing the state vital jobs and business . That flashback was further accentuated when Newsom was seen dining inside French Laundry, an upscale restaurant in Napa Valley, California, during the pandemic.

For Gary Montana, a maintenance technician in Los Angeles, the scene smelled of hypocrisy and white elitism.

“I just saw the lack of leadership skills,” said the registered freelance. “And that’s what I thought when we had to call the governor back.”

Gary Montana, a maintenance technician in Los Angeles, thought Newsom's dinner at French Laundry was hypocritical.

The issues around Covid are personal to Montana. Every member of his family – nuclear and widespread in the state – has contracted the virus. As essential workers, like many Latino voters in California, Montana and her relatives continued to work or suffered when their employers closed businesses during stay-at-home orders. “I don’t think he really understood that the average person voted you out,” the tech said. Montana added that his daily schedule is so busy that he doesn’t care much about the recall effort. If he sends his ballot, he plans to vote for former or former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer.

Latinos make up about 30% of all eligible voters in California, a significant portion that can easily make or break the success of any Democratic politician. Pro-Newsom groups ran Spanish-language TV ads urging voters to arrest the recallers and raising questions about their motives.

This week, the California Latino PAC released a four-minute video featuring more than a dozen Latino members of the state legislature. Elected officials equated not voting with a vote for an anti-Latino governor.

“All roads to victory on September 14 will pass through the Latino neighborhoods of the state of California,” said Kevin de León, a Los Angeles city councilor who previously served in the State Senate as a Pro Senate. -Tem, at an event in Los Angeles. Angela.

And Newsom has counted on the support of Latino voters before. In 2018, when he won his first term as governor, 64% of Latinos voted for the Democratic nominee, in a resounding victory that propelled Newsom into the governor’s mansion.

Newsom’s policies during his tenure, especially during California’s recovery from the pandemic – which directed aid to Hispanic neighborhoods and businesses – targeted Latinos. But analysts fear that working Latinos may feel a mismatch between the policies and the governor who defended them.

Concerns over Latinos missing from recall elections peaked last month when a series of polls were released, suggesting a lack of interest among the main Democratic voting blocs. The most recent polls, however, show Latino voters are likely to broadly support Newsom’s retention in power. But the concern for Newsom and its main agents is that voters – including Latinos – will either not be aware of the election or be at all interested in voting.
Groups opposed to the recall have appealed to neighborhoods to encourage Latino voters to return their ballots.

“This happens in a lean year, a month without – it’s late summer – so there were a lot of manual rings in the summer, but no one paid attention to the reminder. was no lack of enthusiasm because there was no enthusiasm, “said Matt Barreto, professor at the University of California at Los Angeles and senior adviser to President Joe Biden’s foreign policy group, Building Back Together “The fact that everything has happened in the last month is normal and it makes sense to me.”

Barreto said, however, that just because polls and data agree with Newsom doesn’t mean Democrats can slow down all communication with Latin American communities: “He’s never going to be on autopilot, you have to keep going. remind people to vote. ”

“We could end up with something worse”

To avoid a worrying scenario, outside political organizations are calling voters and going door-to-door to encourage Latino voters to send in their ballots or go out and vote.

Organizers like Stephanie Avalos Villa, an 18-year-old student who works for PowerCA Action, called voters from top to bottom in the Central Valley of California, with a particular focus on engaging young Latino voters.

“A lot of (the people she’s spoken to) want to keep Gavin Newsom in her job because they feel it will have a better impact on their communities, especially during Covid,” she said.

On a recent scorching 95-degree day, two volunteers from Lucha Action – a grassroots group in Los Angeles formed to eliminate the Latin vote – walked through the Boyle Heights neighborhood, using quarters to knock on the iron gates that guard homes in the predominantly Latino, working-class community. “We could end up with something worse,” a voter told the volunteers. “Something like Donald Trump.”

"We could end up with something worse"  a voter spoke about Newsom's recall.

While almost all voters told Lucha Action that they would vote against the recall, almost none of them had sent their ballots yet.

“It’s designed to catch you asleep,” Newsom said Thursday in San Francisco at an event where he called the recall, due to the spread of Covid-19, a “life or death” decision. “for Californians.

Although Latino voters in California have shown little willingness to break away from Democrats in favor of Republicans – in part because of the galvanizing impact Proposition 187 has had on Latino communities – key segments of the electoral bloc have come together. turned out to be a problem for the party in 2020, with Trump making inroads among Latinos in South Texas and South Florida. The impact of this Republican success has led Democrats to question both their approach to Latino voters and the way they counter Republican messages.

Republicans are looking to seize a possible opening with a series of campaign ads in Spanish and door-to-door efforts to get Latino voters frustrated with the governor out. “Yo soy Kevin Faulconer,” the former Republican mayor of San Diego said in a commercial. Elder also published his own advertisement in Spanish.

And Republican state agents are hoping former Newsom voters will eliminate their frustration with the governor, even if that means voting for a party they have rejected in the past.

“Sometimes we show up and sometimes we don’t, it depends on the nature of the problem,” said Luis Alvarado, the state’s Republican strategist. “And sometimes it’s us who can change the whole paradigm and sometimes we just don’t show up and everyone is wondering what happened?”

For Democratic agents like Salas, it’s perfectly valid that voters are angry with Newsom, even if she disagrees with that anger. That said, she argued, putting on a Republican governor is not the way to express frustration.

“We have a right to be upset and we deserve so much more,” she said. “The question is whether our anger is going to be channeled to Gavin Newsom. Or are we going to channel our anger to the people who are really behind this recall and the people who are actually harming us?”

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