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The NFL regular season is finally here and we have an interesting fight planned in Nashville. Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals head to Music City to take on Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans this Sunday, as the two teams begin their respective trips to earn a playoff bid.
The Cardinals added some intriguing veterans on both sides of the ball in wide receiver AJ Green and passer JJ Watt. What impact will they have on Arizona in week 1? The Titans have also added a star receiver in Julio Jones, but his role will be different as the No.2 receiver who also has a star returning to work.
The Cardinals lead the series all-time, 7-4, and have won the last two games. Below, we’re going to break down this match from a gaming perspective and look at line movement, Over / Under props, and players to consider. First up, here’s how you can watch Sunday’s game.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Dated: Sunday September 12 | Time: 1 p.m. ET
Site: Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
TV: CBS | Flux: Paramount + (click here)
To follow: CBS Sports app
Chances: Titans -3, O / U 53.5
Line movement
Latest odds:
Tennessee Titans -3
This line opened at TEN -2.5 on May 12 and was increased to TEN -3 on June 7, where it remains.
The choice: Titans -3. I didn’t mark this game as a “best bet” in my weekly column, but I will score the points with the Titans. While Tennessee have a new offensive coordinator, Todd Downing has a lot of work to do with Ryan Tannehill, AJ Brown, Jones and Henry. The Arizona defense will need to consider these four players in every game. As for the Cardinals, I really like what their attack looks like on paper, but it could be a few weeks before it all kicks in. Attacking Tennessee high school is how you win, but will Murray come out swaying in Game 1 of the season?
Excited for the bigger one NFL Calendar in history? Follow the CBS Sports app and get the latest information from our NFL Insider Team, as well as news from our team of experts, as well as information on each player’s data.. If you already have the CBS Sports app, be sure to bookmark your favorite team so you don’t miss a thing!
Over / Under 53.5
Latest odds:
Less than 53.5
This total has seen a good movement. It opened to 51.5 on May 12, fell to 51 the next day, then rose a full point to 52 on June 6. Friday was a crazy day for this line as it increased two full points to 54 in the afternoon.
The choice: Less than 53.5. I am split on this line. My initial projection was Over, but SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh says there is value in Under. The Cardinals averaged 23 points on the road last year without having to deal with crowd noise, and also limited the teams to just 18 points per game on the road. It is possible that Tennessee is looking to beat Henry and dominate possession time. Oh convinced me to lean towards the Under.
Player Accessories
Ryan Tannehill’s passing touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-125). Tannehill pitched for at least two touchdowns in 11 of 16 games last season. That includes low-scoring affairs, like the Titans’ Week 1 game against the Denver Broncos last season, when he scored two goals in a 16-14 victory. The focus will always be on Henry, which opens up opportunities in the passing game – especially with the addition of Jones.
Receptions DeAndre Hopkins: Over 6.5 (-160). Juice is like that for good reason. Hopkins failed to register seven receptions in a single game just six times last year. I’m not sure Green is going to pose a threat when it comes to target actions, so go ahead and take this one.
Chase Edmonds to score a +200 touchdown. Here is a little flyer for you. Edmonds is the Cardinals’ new starting running back, but it’s unclear how much his role will be affected by James Conner. Edmonds is a dual threat weapon, so I like an aerial bet to score once on the ground or in the air.
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