Carson Wentz on warning for NFL teams about to draft quarterback



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GMs and football owners know how just one NFL Draft can prepare teams to succeed or fail for a decade. That’s doubly true if the guy they pick in the first round is a quarterback. Carson Wentz just reminded everyone that going the QB lane has proven to be a bad idea for a long time.

Patrick Mahomes, Deshaun Watson, Josh Allen and Justin Herbert can change the story. But an astonishing statistic from quarterbacks from 2009 to 2016 highlights just how risky it is to pick up signalers in the first round of the NFL Draft.

Carson Wentz was the last QB standing in the 2016 NFL Draft

The Philadelphia Eagles’ decision to trade Carson Wentz for the Indianapolis Colts last week ended the books on the first-round quarterbacks of the 2016 NFL Draft. Paxton Lynch lasted two seasons with the Denver Broncos, and The Los Angeles Rans dumped Detroit Lions top pick Jared Goff this month to acquire Matthew Stafford.

Taking Lynch was a mistake the Broncos admitted after four starts. Wentz and Goff are more complicated to assess as both were successful before something went wrong. The other common denominator is that their original teams signed them for important new contracts before 2020, which would have been the year they played under fifth-year options as the Philadelphia Eagles and Rams. of Los Angeles could have practiced in early 2019.

The fact that they fell from grace shortly after signing lucrative deals is an edifying tale for NFL teams. The Kansas City Chiefs gave in the 2017 first round Patrick Mahomes the Godzilla of all contracts in early 2020 instead of just exercising their fifth-year option. The Houston Texans also got Deshaun Watson a good deal under similar circumstances.

The Chiefs don’t have any complaints yet, but the number of teams that can absorb Watson’s future salary caps now that he wants to leave Houston is limited. The Texans can always count on a bunch of someone’s draft picks, but they could also have to pull a scent-smelling contract out of their trading partner’s hands to secure a deal for Watson.

Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills must decide next month how much money to hand over to Josh Allen, their rising star quarterback in the 2018 NFL Draft.

A wild NFL statistic project on quarterbacks

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After the Philadelphia Eagles traded Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts, there wasn’t a single quarterback caught in the first round in a 2009-16 NFL Draft with his home team. Twenty-two first injured are either out of the league or with a different team. They disappeared like the money invested in Gamestop or AMC stocks last month.

Part of the reason they became so easily disposable is that some of them were awful. Yes, Tim Tebow, Brandon Weeden and Johnny Manziel, we’re watching you. Others, like Robert Griffin III and Teddy Bridgewater, suffered serious injuries that forced their teams to move on.

But the general lesson is that the salary cap and collective agreements with the union save NFL owners and general managers from themselves.

With the NFL draft picks built into a pay structure for their rookie contracts instead of being free to negotiate immediate pinball deals, teams have at least three years to assess quarterbacks. Granted, it wasn’t enough time to get a final fix on Sam Darnold or Mitch Trubisky, but it knocked out Christian Ponder and EJ Manuel.

When teams find a quarterback worth keeping, the result is Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan making tens of millions a year. But the salary cap is forcing general managers to think seriously about committing so much money at the risk of skimping on other positions. The Miami Dolphins didn’t want to keep moving forward with Ryan Tannehill, but the Tennessee Titans decided he was an acceptable adjustment to $ 118 million over four years.

The complete list of early 2009-16 players who are gone and sometimes forgotten

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According to Pro Football Talk, these are the 22 quarterbacks taken in the first round of the NFL Draft from 2009 to 2016. None remain with the teams that selected them:

2009: Matthew Stafford, Lions; Mark Sanchez, Jets; Josh Freeman, buccaneers.

2010: Sam Bradford, Rams; Tim Tebow, Broncos.

2011: Cam Newton, Panthers; Jake Locker, Titans; Blaine Gabbert, Jaguars; Christian Ponder, Vikings.

2012: Andrew Luck, Colts; Robert Griffin III, Washington; Ryan Tannehill, dolphins; Brandon Weeden, Browns.

2013: EJ Manuel, Bills.

2014: Blake Bortles, Jaguars; Johnny Manziel, Browns; Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings.

2015: Jameis Winston, Buccaneers; Marcus Mariota, Titans.

2016: Jared Goff, Rams; Carson Wentz, Eagles; Paxton Lynch, Broncos.

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