LA NACION simulated 100 times the Boca-River final: who won the most and how the VAR influenced



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Credit: Capture

In March, YouTuber made a hundred simulations of the Russian Football World Cup in the Football Manager category. The results were consistent with the development of the World Cup: France, the second country with the most virtual titles behind Belgium, was dedicated to Luzhniki. Harry Kane, Golden Boot in 10 editions, was the tournament's top scorer with six goals. Eden Hazard, MVP 23 times, won the Silver Ball just behind Luka Modric.

With the precision of the antecedents and on the eve of the Superclásico which will define the champion of the Copa Libertadores, LA NACION badyzed hundred in collaboration with the team of detection of the director of the Argentine football to determine the probabilities of


Mouth
and


river
facing the impending finale.

Facundo Delgado, head of the recruitment of football director for Argentina, is leading a group of 30 people who, since 2010, modify and update the database used by Sports Interactive to obsess the most popular sports simulation game in the world. With 15 thousand national actors, there is no deeper, more detailed and more reliable database than that of
FM_Argentina .

Most used courses

Boca (4-2-3-1): Esteban Andrada; Leonardo Jara, Carlos Izquierdoz, Lisandro Magallan, Lucas Olaza; Wilmar Barrios, Fernando Gago: Cristian Pavón, Edwin Cardona, Carlos Tevez and Darío Benedetto

River (4-4-2): Franco Armani; Jorge Moreira / Gonzalo Montiel, Jonathan Maidana, Lucas Martinez Quarta, Milton Casco / Javier Pinola; Exequiel Palacios, Enzo Perez, Leonardo Ponzio, Gonzalo Martinez; Ignacio Scocco and Lucas Pratto.



Credit: Capture

The champion

Boca is more likely to volunteer after 180 minutes. Xeneize was imposed in 58 of the 100 simulations, while River won the trophy in the other 42. The influence of the local played an important role in the blue and gold success: Boca scored 172 goals at La Bombonera (River 134) against 151 Millionnaire in the Monumental (145 from Boca): "The simulator has quite a propensity Offensive In general, Guillermo's profile has been offensive since he was in Lanús, so his team is attacking a lot and Gallardo has set better attributes for key problems such as team management. "[19659013] "It is generally easier to point out the players, offensive and skillful, while the defensive must be evaluated more strictly and more penalizing." The simulator is not insensitive to this and when two teams with offensive vocation meet , they usually give a lot of goals since the matches take place in return In 100 repetitions, the speed of Pavón is imposed on the location and the anticipation of Pinola or Casco. ral, attacking players eventually outweigh the defensive players. while rehearsing, because it cancels the effect of "every game is unique". Nobody will play 100 finals in two days, but in the FM itself, "said the Scout leader of Argentina.

Boca was also better: he scored an average of 6.73 goals per goal. match and converted 1.58 goals (26% efficiency with 317 River produced 6.12 situations, but scored 1.42 per game (23%, with 285 in 200 games).

The most recurring result There were 13 opportunities on River 3-Boca 2. The peculiarity is that, in both La Bombonera and Monumental, the most repeated issue was Boca's 2-1 win.



Credit: Captura

Markers and numbers

The state of grace of Darío Benedetto is not only real: he is also virtual. He was the maximum shooter in Boca with 79 goals. In River, Lucas Pratto became the main karma of his former club and converted 96 chances.

The distribution of Barros Schelotto had a more offensive, more coral production: Carlos Tevez scored 49 goals, Edwin Cardona fought 46 conquests and Cristian Pavón contributed 45 goals. Wanchope Ábila (29), Mauro Zárate (14) and Pablo Pérez (13) have completed the quota of a team in which all players, with the exception of three, have converted: Agustín Rossi, Esteban Andrada and Nahitan Nández, who played only one match.

In addition to Pratto, Ignacio Scocco shined at River with 75 goals. Rodrigo Mora, completely recovered from his physical discomfort, added 31 points. However, the offensive production of the Gallardo team was mainly concentrated in Pratto and Scocco. Exequiel Palacios (16), Gonzalo Martínez (12), Juan Fernando Quintero (12) and Enzo Pérez (10) were the only ones to exceed the decade.



"Boca has a more even distribution of their scores, while River centralizes Everything to Pratto and Scocco, that makes sense as River plays 4-4-2 while Boca plays 4-2-3-1 and arrives with more variants than the lens, while River is more direct, "says Delgado.

As a result, Benedetto was chosen 28 times as the most valuable player of the match, while Scocco won 26 times the best player award. Edwin Cardona (17) and Cristian Pavón (13) complete the blue and gold podium, while Lucas Pratto (12) and Franco Armani (10) do the same in the Núñez distribution.

"We evaluate players the mind, and one of these attributes is consistency, dictates the number of matches in each game of 25 to play at its maximum level." This, combined with its ability to cope to strong emotional games and determinants, makes the simulator penalizing or promoting performance at certain moments of the game. "

The worst

"The archers are the ones who have taken the biggest prize, this is because the simulator penalizes the goalkeeper with the goals that he receives, even if, seeing the effectiveness of the goals, the reaction of the two was cowardly ", anticipates Delgado.

Franco Armani and Esteban Andrada, who have virtually regained control of the property, were the worst of the simulation. Each of them received the prize dishonorable on 39 occasions

"The scoring system of the football director is statistical: successful pbades, opportunities generated, significant pbades, thefts, mistakes made, etc. For players, it is usually very clear If you get 3 goals from the center and the head, there is a good chance that your team gets a low score and the center also. If Benedetto strikes eight times and nobody gets to the point, he will surely be under 6.5. Archers, on the other hand, tend to be more penalized by the simulator. If they register 4 goals, they will have to make several stops to make up for and reach at least 6.8 (the minimum considered a "good performance" in the FM). In the simulations, there were a number of below-average bow shots and even a considerable number of goals. This shows the low efficiency of the guards. In addition, Armani and Andrada made few pbades, because e Boca insisted a lot on the departure of River and because Andrada had no one to give it at first and ended up in a long ball ", deepens



Source: LA NACION – Credit: Daniel Jayo

Behind Andrada and Armani, Cardona, Jonatan Maidana and Enzo Pérez were the worst, with nine matches each.

Yellow and Evictions

Wilmar Barrios is the player who has received the most warnings and evictions in Boca. The efforts he usually deploys to balance an offensive-oriented team left 70 points of reprimand and six evictions to Colombia. In River, Enzo Perez saw 68 yellows – in addition to 7 reds – and Jonatan Maidana went to the shower ahead of nine games.

The yellows clearly show the challenges that the teams had to face during simulations: "Boca a Barrios is perhaps the player who suffers the most, especially when he plays with Gago, with levels of Aggressiveness and high sacrifice that pushes them out of their natural position very often to recover the yellow ball and suppress them, although the Uruguayans have a greater tendency to be in disorder and so in the simulations Guillermo chose him less than Pablo Perez (34/2), Gago or even Cardona (32/4) .In real life, Guillermo he generally prefers the delivery of Uruguayan with the certainty that the team is commissioned only on the ground, although that sometimes does not happen. "



Source: LA NACION – Credit: Daniel Jayo

" River surprised us a bit "," We did not expect that " Enzo Perez is so high in the yellow standings that it's a jo more configured to create the game than to touch it. " However, he ended up playing more than Ponzio (11/0) in the center and we think it was because the virtual Gallardo bet more to recover the ball with pressure and come out quickly with precision for Pratto and Martinez, who made wrong all matches for the match. side of Jara (23/1). In this aspect, he behaved as we expected. Pavon and Pity Martinez attacked in the usual zone. Villa played only a few times when Pavón changed sides and attacked Moreira (63/3) (chosen by Gallardo before Montiel). "

The influence of VAR

The referees used the video referee system in one out of four games, that is, once both definitions were used. In 70% of cases, it was used to collect a criminal, one of four scenarios for which the application of technology is activated. In one of the simulations, River scored a goal in the first leg for a sanction sanctioned inside the area thanks to the VAR and during the rematch, they canceled a goal against Boca also on demand of repetition. In another, he favored Boca: after a 0-0 draw in the first leg, a hand from Martinez Quarta on the return allowed him to devote himself to the decimated team of Guillermo Barros Schelotto who played at ten for the first time. expulsion of one of his players.

"The VAR of the FM19 is used as in real life, when the referee does not see the game, the match can be stopped to confirm whether there was a penalty, he There was an attack that deserves the red and so on.It combines with that the use of "goal line" technology where you can see in the rehearsals whether the ball entered or not, in case of doubt In the Argentine championship, we have not activated it because for the moment, it has not been implemented, but it already exists in South American competitions because that 39 is the way it's used so far, "says Delgado about one of the innovative tools added by Football Manager for its 2019 edition.

Elongation and Penalties



Credit: Capture

15 sets were decided after 180 minutes. Three were in overtime and all Boca won. On penalties, Barros Schelotto's cast won 7 out of 12 definitions. In one of the hundred simulations, no team scored a goal and the series ended on a score of 0 to 0 tinted in blue and gold from the twelve steps.

The superiority of Boca in this area is explained by several reasons. , according to the Scout team: "It's a combination of several factors, none of which is decisive in itself, but as a whole." Boca has more variants in the offensive, if Benedetto was dishonest, Ábila would enter. If Cardona went below expectations, he would come in. Villa, Zarate could replace Tevez, River suffers though so Pratto or Scocco are not tuned. At meetings during which Pity Martínez did not go, River suffered and reached the extension, Andrada has a more favorable penalty setup with Armani and Campaña are perhaps the top three goalkeepers of goal that can be registered in Argentine league, almost no difference, but this slight advantage of Andrada may have allowed him to make more penalties than Arm ani. "

Extreme Simulations

Football has always defeated fiction, although it seems difficult to achieve this time: in one of the simulations, River imposed 2-0 at La Bombonera and Boca 3-1 at Monumental. During the second half of the round, Armani was injured and the Millionaire, unchanged, had to improvise with Milton Casco in goal all the way. In addition, Boca scored on goal with Wanchope Ábila's goal but Pratto tied him at the last minute to force the shot on goal, an example in which Cardona failed and Casco shot it last to give the Copa Libertadores la Copa Libertadores in River

The final that will start on Saturday will have all the badets to continue to make history, even when Casco will not end up attacking the penalty of the championship.

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