CNN poll: Joe Biden regains double-digit advance on 2020 on democratic ground

by



[ad_1]

This represents a rise of 7 points compared to a CNN survey at the end of June. No other candidate has made significant gains during this period.

In addition to Biden's increase, the only statistically significant change in candidate rankings is a 12-point drop in support for California senator Kamala Harris, who rose to 17% in the June poll, but now benefits from support 5% of potential Democratic candidates. the electors. This looks like the level of support that she had in the spring before a skyrocketing after her first debate.
CNN's June poll took place in the days immediately following the first round of debate among the presidential candidates, approved by the Democratic National Committee. Biden's performance in this debate was largely overshadowed, while Harris had a remarkable moment challenging him for his views on the integration of school buses. Biden's numbers have since rebounded in other polls as well, and Harris's numbers have come back to where they were before the debate.

Biden's advantage in the survey is reinforced by stronger support from self-identified Democrats (31%) than self-employed (23%), older voters (34% of those 45 and over) than more young people (23% of those under 45). ) and moderate and conservative voters (34%) than the Liberals (22%).

In fact, among the Liberals, the race is almost tied: 23% choose Warren and 22% each, Biden and Sanders. No other candidate reaches even 5% in this group.

Biden is also backed by voters who say their top priority is to pick a candidate with a strong chance of beating President Donald Trump, a group that represents 54 percent of Democrat and Democrat voters (35 percent). group support Biden). . This group has decreased slightly since June, while 61% of respondents said that defeating Trump outweighed the appointment of a candidate who "shares your positions on major issues".

Although Democrats do not appear sharply divided on this issue by ideology (53% of Liberals and 57% of moderate or conservative Democrats believe that Trump is more important), race (54% of whites and non -Blancs give priority to victory) or partisanship (52% of self-identified Democrats give priority to beat Trump, as 59% of independents of democratic tendency), there are notable divisions between ages and studies of whites This highlights the challenge that candidates face when trying to appeal to both sides. of this line.

Among those under 45, 56% think it's more important to nominate a candidate who shares your positions on issues, while 66% of those 45 and over say that it's more important to name someone who can defeat Trump. Of whites without a university degree, 49% think it's more important to name someone who shares their point of view about the problems, while 45% say it's more important to beat Trump, but among whites with a university degree, 65% say it's more important to beat Trump.

The survey – which is part of the polls used by the DNC to determine which candidates will qualify for the debate phase in September – is the fourth qualification poll in which former HUD secretary Julián Castro reached 2% , thus ensuring its place at the next stop in Houston next month.
Castro is the 10th candidate to qualify for a place. Two other candidates say they have already reached the fundraising threshold for their appearance on stage in September, but have not yet gone to the polls: the businessman, Tom Steyer, has not yet gone to the polls. not yet managed to qualify and the Hawaiian representative, Tulsi Gabbard, now counts two after landing at 2% in this poll. She needs two more to move the debate forward.

New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won 2% of the vote in an eligible ballot and is the only other active candidate to reach this threshold in all eligible polls, but she did not meet the criteria for collecting of funds.

8 Democrat Presidential Candidates to Attend CNN City Hall on Climate

Asked about the candidates they would most like to hear about, Democratic and Democratic voters are focusing mainly on who will participate in the September debate.

The 10 candidates nominated by at least 5% of respondents have now qualified to participate in the debates. Warren tops this list, named at 20%, despite a slight decline in interest in hearing more about her compared to June. She is followed by Harris at 18%, Sanders at 16%, Biden at 15%, Buttigieg at 13%, Booker and O. Rourke at 10%, Yang at 6% and Castro and Klobuchar at 5%.

The CNN survey was conducted by SSRS from August 15 to 18 on a random national sample of 1,001 adults obtained from landlines or mobile phones by a live interviewer. The results for the full sample have a sampling error margin of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, for the subsample of 402 Democrats and Independent Democrats registered to vote it is 6.1 points.

[ad_2]

Source link