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One of the biggest surprises of this primary season so far is the way two white men (Biden and Sanders) have continually led a group with a record number of women. I certainly thought that women would have an advantage after the record number of Democratic women elected to the House of Representatives last year.
One of the reasons the candidates are not doing better is that there has been no gender gap so far. In other words, female and male voters have similar preferences. According to our survey, Biden and Sanders get almost identical percentages of women's and men's votes. None of the candidates are in double digits with women or men.
(An average of other surveys is generally our survey.)
This trend is very different from that of 2016. In this primary, Clinton beat Sanders by more than 20 points in the middle or primary caucus with a ballot at the entrance or exit. Both were basically even among men. In other words, the voters secured the first victory of the first presidential candidate of the female major party.
Indeed, the trend is also different from that observed in 2008 when Clinton was running for the first time. Clinton would have won the primary if only women had voted. Barack Obama came out victorious after winning the majority with the men.
Maybe things will change later. Democrats have claimed in other polls that they would feel enthusiastic about a female candidate.
For the moment though, both men and women have the men's candidates at the top of their preference list.
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