The danger of playing with the tail of the lion> World> Granma



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Donald Trump again. Economically drowning Iran is the fundamental goal of the US president, who has already ordered the imposition of new sanctions against the Persian nation, which would prevent that country from exporting its oil and gas , key elements of its economy.

this last stage, precisely, the center of the current rarefied panorama, which could lead to disastrous consequences for mankind.

Before these measurements, last May – leaving puzzled European partners who may have discovered by a tweet – Trump has decided to abandon the commitment to the Iranian nuclear deal, signed in 2015, between Iran and six world powers: the United States, Russia, China, the United Kingdom, France and Germany.

The pact was reached after three years of intense negotiations and has been cataloged as one of the most important dialog diplomacy deals in recent decades. With the withdrawal and other actions, the US President has created a global scenario of uncertainty, fragile and with many opportunities to make catharsis and explode.

You can not play every day with the responsibility of those who bet on a world in peace The Islamic Republic of Iran has repeatedly demonstrated its firmness in its religious and revolutionary principles, its resistance and its ability of negotiation without yielding to the sovereignty of the nation

. another US president – very similar to the current one – has taken extreme measures and even issued an ultimatum to Tehran to end its nuclear development plans for peaceful purposes [19659006]. Washington and another president inclined to give up everything that has nothing to do with his poor ability to conceive of the world the way In this case, the Persian authorities, with all the right to defend themselves and to enforce the international agreements, could use the closure of the Strait of Ormuz, where more than 30% of the world's oil pbades each day. about 17.5 million barrels.

This possible measure seems unworkable because it would imply a potential war explosion, in addition to an unprecedented rise in oil prices that could reach more than $ 200 a barrel according to specialists.

Washington's new unilateral sanctions against Iran would begin, some the first week of August and others in November.

The highest Iranian authorities have demonstrated to the world not only their bargaining power as the nuclear agreement, but also their international responsibility. which goes through its military preparation and its economic development.

But even so, only with the perception of what this closure would mean, the price of a barrel of oil rose for the second day in a row and there are worries on the international scene

Let's forget not that the countries of the Persian Gulf, as a whole, are the largest producers of hydrocarbons in the world, and that they use this seaway, the only way out of international shipping routes, through a small part of the sea formed territorially by the Musandam Peninsula, which is an enclave of Oman, at the eastern end of the Emirates. The United Arab Emirates – and, on the other hand, the extreme southwestern Iran, which connects the Arabian Sea and directly to the Indian Ocean.

According to the dispatches of the Argentine daily La Nueva, they cross Ormuz every day between 14 and 16 tankers. The vast majority are VLCCs (Very Large Crude Carriers) and ULCCs (Ultra Large Crude Carriers), with a capacity of 200,000 to 320,000 tons of travel.

According to some sources, the Strait of Ormuz is between 55 and 95 kilometers wide, although the lane space for the pbadage of ships in any direction is only three kilometers. Having the only alternative route before a possible closure of Ormuz, there is a pipeline, the Abquaiq, which runs through Saudi Arabia, to the Red Sea, but it only has a maximum capacity estimated at five million barrels a day.

The United States, not only as a consumer of this oil, but for its role as "world policeman", has already applied its philosophy of viewing this region as a determining factor in the national security of the United States . For this reason, former President George W. Bush has ordered to permanently maintain two aircraft carriers in the seas near the strait in the Persian Gulf, while the fifth fleet, based in Bahrain, is responsible for guaranteeing the free shipping, to view Americans' access to hydrocarbons from the Persian Gulf as a matter of national security.

Photo: Internet

Now when the tycoon becomes the president trying to get to the Persian nation through the sanctions, the Iranian president, Hbadan Rohani, warned: "Mr. Trump, we are the worthy people who have guaranteed the safety of the region's outlet channel through history.Do not play with the tail of the lion, you will regret it. "

Trump in his official Twitter account said in uppercase that Iran would face "CONSEQUENCES that have suffered in history."

Trump plays with the lion's tail and the tycoon's hobby can be very dangerous. Let us hope, but without losing sight of this problem

IN THE CONTEXT:

– In July 2015, the five permanent members of the UN Security Council (USA, Russia, China ), UK and France), besides Germany, have sealed an agreement by which Tehran has reduced its nuclear program in exchange for lifting international sanctions that have significantly damaged its economy.

– Entered into force in January 2016. [19659002] – Iran has promised to unplug two-thirds of its centrifuges, take 98% of its enriched uranium out of the country and fill its main plutonium reactor cement

– According to the UN, Tehran fulfilled these conditions, although some of the restrictions should only be valid for 15 years.

– In May 2018, Donald Trump announced the withdrawal of the United States from the Accord, which was heavily criticized by other signatories.

– The new sanctions is from the United States against Iran will begin to be applied on August 7.

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