Data from President Trump's internal March poll showed him far behind Joe Biden in key battlefield states



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Data from the first internal re-election campaign poll conducted in March by President Donald Trump, obtained exclusively by ABC News, showed him losing more and more his opponent, in the face of former vice president Joe Biden , in key states of the battlefield.

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Trump has repeatedly denied that such data exists.

Survey data, first revealed by ABC News, showed a double-digit lead for Biden in Pennsylvania 55-39 and Wisconsin 51-41. Biden led by seven points in Florida. In Texas, a Republican stronghold, the numbers show that the president leads only two points.

ABC News did not obtain the first confrontations of the survey with other candidates.

The New York Times was the first to report the existence of internal polls.

When ABC News presented these figures, the Trump campaign confirmed the data, saying in a statement that the numbers were old and that they had seen huge swings in favor of Trump.

PHOTO: ABC News George Stephanopoulos meets with President Donald Trump at the White House in Washington on June 12, 2019.
ABC News
ABC News' Stephanopoulos is meeting with President Donald Trump at the White House in Washington, DC on June 12, 2019.

"These leaked figures are old, in terms of the election campaign, of months-long polls that began in March before two major events occurred: the publication of the Mueller report summary exonerating the president and the beginning of the Democratic candidates. defining himself with Brad Parscale, director of the Trump campaign, told ABC News in a statement. "Since then, the 17 states we surveyed have had some ups and downs in favor of the president, based on current policies. For example, the plan to provide free health care to illegal immigrants translates into an 18-point transfer to President Trump. "

On March 24, Attorney General Bill Barr released the summary of the investigation of the special advocate Robert Mueller on the interference of Russia in the 2016 election. the full Trump campaign poll, which was reviewed by 17 states, was already on the ground, it was already running for four days after the publication of Barr's letter to the public.

The survey took place from March 15 to 28.

The Trump campaign did not provide the results of the full survey in the 17 states, confrontations with other candidates, nor updated figures.

Mueller's report did not find any conspiracy between the Trump campaign and the Russian government. The special advocate did not determine whether the president obstructed justice and, in particular, did not exempt him on this point.

PHOTO: Special Advocate Robert Muller appears before the Department of Justice on May 29, 2019, in Washington, DC, about the investigation of Russia.
Carolyn Kaster / AP
Special advocate Robert Muller appears before the Department of Justice on May 29, 2019, in Washington, DC, about the investigation being conducted in Russia.

Earlier in the week, the Trump campaign was referring to "new data," which they said showed the president had an "advance in each state," according to a statement provided to ABC News by the campaign's director of communications. from Trump, Tim Murtaugh.

The campaign says the new poll "has tested Democrats' problems on the ground" and has produced a more favorable outcome for the president in clashes with the Democrats of 2020 when they were linked to problems such as the provision of free health care to illegal immigrants.

The first polls are often subject to change, but it is noteworthy that the new poll of the campaign is currently boasting proven "problems" related to 2020 opponents – which means that Democratic candidates have been politically defined by the campaign.

"The president is right in saying that we currently have no poll against defined democrats, which shows it is losing in the states we have tested. For example, the president leads in Florida with 8 points. It is leading in all other states surveyed, "said Parscale's statement. "Again, these numbers dating back several months do not make sense as they are pre-Mueller and pre-Democrat posts, and should not have any weight when discussing the current state of affairs of the race. "

In recent days, the president has continued to criticize reports that internal campaign polls showed him on the run in key battlefield states, calling the news "false poll information." Trump called his internal poll numbers "unbelievable" and "The strongest I've ever been."

Speaking Tuesday with ABC News channel chief George Stephanopoulos, in an exclusive interview, the president said his internal poll revealed that he "wins everywhere."

When Stephanopoulos mentioned polls on Trump-sponsored polls that showed Biden in key states, the president said "these polls do not exist".

"Nobody showed you these polls because these polls do not exist, George." These polls do not exist. I lose in 15 states out of 17 "These polls do not exist", said Trump.

"I've just been given a meeting with a pollster that I honestly do not even believe in pollsters if you want to know the truth, you're just running a campaign and anything, that's it, but I just have a meeting with someone who's a pollster and I win everywhere, so I do not know what you're talking about. "

A day later, the president taken to Twitter and again asserted that internal polls showing him behind in battlefield states did not exist

"The Fake (Corrupt) News Media said that my campaign had leaked an investigation that, despite and despite the fake and endless Witch Hunt, is the best figure we've ever had. They reported false numbers they had invented and did not even exist, "tweeted the president.

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