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by Brad Brevet
March 28, 2019
This weekend's release of Disney's re-imagination live-action Dumbo will serve as the third new No. 1 in as many weeks at the domestic box office. Just behind, the movie n ° 1 of the last weekend, Weand the release of Disney's hard drives Captain Marvel will continue to perform well, contributing to the strength of March at the national box office. Meanwhile, Pure Flix will debut Unexpected and neon lights Harmony Korineof The beach bum, both in more than a thousand places.
Disney's latest live action is to reinvent one of their classic animated films around the world. Tim Burton-directed Dumbo, which takes the 1941 animated feature of 64 minutes and delivers nearly two hours later. Disney will debut in more than 4,200 theaters and the prognosis for its weekend opening performance is not at all clear. The studio predicts debut of more than $ 50 million, while other sources suggest starts approaching $ 60-65 million. The critical response was mixed up by 54 points at Metacritic and 55% of rotten at RottenTomatoes. On top of that, the IMDb page display performance leading to the publication gives a very confusing picture.
Looking at the two weeks before publication, IMDb page visualization performance for Dumbo is just ahead of Christopher Robin (Opening of $ 24.6 million), just behind Alice through the mirror ($ 26.9 million opening) and well ahead of Pete's Dragon (Opening $ 21.5 million). Of course, the reasons could be many, including the fact Dumbo is a more recognizable title and may not be something that the public must necessarily look for before its release. It may also be better able to compare it to an animated feature film such as The Bob film sponge: a sponge out of the water, which debuted at $ 55.4 million in February 2015. Regarding this comparison, Dumbo hides behind this title also, even though it will open in about 600 other places and will offer the advantage that children spend the spring break.
For those looking for evidence of an opening performance on the high expectations, and weighing a little more weight than the pages viewed by IMDb, considering that it deals with tickets actually sold, comes from the ticket retailer in online Fandango.com, which informs BoxOfficeMojo that Dumbo is in advance The grinch ($ 67.5 million opening), Bob sponge and 2015 Cinderella (Opening $ 67.9 million) at the same time in the sales cycle. In all, even though we would not be surprised to see a performance of between $ 43 and $ 65 million, we are coming out with $ 52 million forecasts and we'll see how things move.
internationally, Dumbo makes its day-to-day debut in all major territories.
Second, look for a solid performance for Jordan Peeleof We, which continued to dominate throughout the week and could bring in more than $ 40 million during its second weekend after a dazzling debut last week. We expect a fair performance on this figure, indicating a drop of -44% and gross GDP exceeding $ 135 million by the end of the weekend.
Disney Captain Marvel bronze at the weekend, probably plunging around -40% for a $ 20 million and more three days and domestic consumption quickly approaching $ 355 million. Globally, the film has grossed more than $ 938 million worldwide and is expected to reach $ 1 billion after this weekend.
Fourth will go to the publication by Lionsgate of CBS Films Five feet apart, which had a strong hold last weekend and should hold even better this week. At present, we expect a drop of about -26% for three days in a row. $ 6.5 million and an internal expenditure of about $ 36 million on Sunday nights.
Rounding in the top five will probably be that of Paramount Wonder Park All around $ 4.7 million for a national consumption approaching $ 38 million by the end of the weekend.
Apart from the top five, we have for the moment two other novelties, one or both of which could outperform and compete for a place in the top five.
We will start with the release of Neon Harmony Korinethe stoner comedy The beach bum featuring Matthew McConaughey, Snoop Dogg, Isla Fisher and Martin Lawrence Just to name a few. The studio will begin the film in 1,015 places and even if the critics are relatively weak (51% on RottenTomatoes), it seems sufficiently resistant to criticism as we expect a performance from $ 2.5 to $ 3.5 million.
The next release is the first full-length R-rated Pure Flix, the anti-abortion drama Unexpected, whose studio will debut in 1,059 locations. The industry's expectations for the current situation are around $ 3 to $ 4 million. We will stick to the bottom of the range, although it is worth mentioning. Gosnell Last October, 673 theaters had already debuted for $ 1.16 million. It is possible that the marketing reach of Pure Flix exceeds that of GVN to the point of generating increased interest.
In addition, Bleecker Street will expand the reach of Hotel Mumbai 924 destinations (+920) this weekend. Right now, we expect a performance of $ 1 million to $ 2 million, which should be enough to put the film in the top 10 or the limit.
In limited edition this weekend, IFC will open Diana in three places while Atlas will debut Trinity Seven: Heavens & Crimson Lord library and Greenwich publishes the documentary crazy.
The forecast for this weekend is directly below. This article will be updated on Friday morning with the results of Thursday night's preview followed by Friday's estimates on Saturday morning and a full weekend's recap on Sunday morning.
- Dumbo (4,259 rooms) – $ 52.0 million
- We (3,743 rooms) – $ 40.0 million
- Captain Marvel (3,985 theaters) – $ 20.4 million
- Five feet apart (2,845 rooms) – $ 6.3 million
- Wonder Park (3,304 theaters) – $ 4.7 million
- How to train your dragon: the hidden world (2,783 theaters) – $ 4.3 million
- The beach bum (1,015 screens) – $ 3.2 million
- Unexpected (1,059 rooms) – $ 3.0 million
- The funeral of the Madea family of Tyler Perry (1,923 theaters) – $ 2.7 million
- Hotel Mumbai (924 theaters) – $ 1.2 million
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