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The people at SportsBetting.ag have been busy in recent days tweaking this Alabama-Duke line.
Line manager, Adam Burns, told AL.com that he had changed lines twice since the announcement of the news of Dylan Moses' ACL injury on Wednesday.
Earlier in the week, AL.com announced that offensive midfielder Najee Harris and Brian Robinson would start the game on the sidelines, and the money seems to have moved slightly.
"Moses' suspensions and injury have definitely affected the Bama line," Burns said on Thursday. "The action had pushed the gap up to -35, but yesterday we started to see Duke's money, so we went to -33.5". This morning, two sharp players have bet Duke, so we adjusted again, this time to -32.5, the current number. I think, however, that number could go up to 34 as we get closer to the send-off. "
At the same time, the gap in the first half rose from -22.5 to -21.
Moses' injury, he said, had no impact on the futures contracts, such as odds for the college football game, odds to win the SEC or win totals.
It's been almost four years since Alabama was no longer an outsider.
The tide will extend the longest streak of the nation as a favorite of the 55 games when she will be on the field Saturday. During the series, which includes the playoffs, Alabama was a double-digit favorite in 44 of 55 games.
The last time Alabama was not favored was October 3, 2015, when it was a 1.5-point underdog in Georgia. Previously, the tide had been favored in 72 consecutive games, so it has been favored in 126 of the last 127 games.
During the current series, the team is at 30-24 against the spread. Alabama should have at least 7 points in all regular season games this year.
"A $ 10 bettor would raise $ 36 if you bet on Alabama at every game in this category, so this system has not really been extremely profitable," Burns explained. "The tide is going to be massive favorites, and inflated favorites, in most games still this season, so there's usually not much value in supporting them."
Mark Heim is a sports journalist for the Alabama Media Group. Follow him on Twitter @ Mark_Heim.
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