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WASHINGTON – The summer preceding the competitions in Iowa and New Hampshire, a Liberal candidate from a New England state climbs to the polls, attracting a large crowd (over 10,000 people in Seattle), raising a lot of money from small donors and campaigning in bright colors.
It sounds like the summer of 2019 of Elizabeth Warren, is not it?
That's also true for Howard Dean in 2003. Check out this August 27th 2003 New York Times report: "The bewildering, seemingly spontaneous crowds gather [Dean] – about 10,000 in Seattle on Sunday and a similar number to Bryant Park in Manhattan last night – are unknown at the time of the race, while most of the candidates were focused on the early-voting states of the day. Iowa and New Hampshire and seemed formidable even in October 2004. "
More: "Yesterday morning, the campaign took a bold new step: it will broadcast television ads in six new states starting Friday and plans to raise $ 10.3 million in the three months ending September 30 – more than any other democratic party. in a similar period except for President Bill Clinton in 1995. "
There are now important differences between Dean and Warren. She is much more disciplined, for example. In addition, the figures for Bush 43 were much higher than those for Trump at the time, while the eligibility of the former governor of Vermont raised concerns.
But at the moment, Dean and Warren have a common theme: to their credit, they have captivated white Liberal Democrats.
As Dean, Bernie Sanders and Gary Hart have discovered, this is not enough to win a Democratic nomination – even more so now that the Democratic Party is becoming more diverse.
As Obama was able to do in 2008, you have to combine this "wine trail" with another part of the Democratic coalition.
And that's why Bernie Sanders is not the candidate for democracy standing in Warren's place at the moment.
That's Joe Biden – with the support of African-American voters.
The house is retiring
Earlier this week, we told you that we would be watching more and more retirements in the House of Commons. And yesterday we had two more – representatives Bill Flores, R-Texas and Jim Sensebrenner, R-Wis.
That's 14 House Republicans – and only five from Texas – who said they would not stand for re-election in 2020 (not counting those who resigned and will be allocated a seat by a special election) . .
Yesterday, we also welcomed the fourth Democrat in the House who will not run for re-election – Representative Susan Davis, D-Calif.
The good news for the Republicans is that the Flores and Sensenbrenner seats should be easy to defend by 2020; Trump won them by about 20 points each in 16.
The bad news is that these retirements are unlikely to be the last we'll see.
Vision 2020: recapiterate the climate of yesterday-palooza
Last night, the 10 Democratic presidential candidates who will participate in next week's debate took part in a climate change forum, a seven-hour marathon. Amanda Golden, Jordan Jackson, Priscilla Thompson, Benjamin Pu, Marianna Sotomayor, Gary Grumbach, NBC's Maura Barrett, Deepa Shivaram and Julia Jester present the main points of each candidate:
Julián Castro: Towards the end of his appearance, he acknowledged that he might have done some things differently as mayor of San Antonio, but that he had beaten for water clean (a story in which he left his job as a lawyer to vote against a land agreement on the city council).
Andrew Yang: He has often mentioned his idea of a flagship universal basic income campaign, saying it would help galvanize Americans by giving them financial security to spend time and money fighting climate change.
Kamala Harris: She began her appearance by saying that she would declare an urgency to have clean water. Harris added that she would tackle the problem through an executive action, in addition to returning to the Paris climate deal.
Amy Klobuchar: In its first week, she said, she would bring the United States back into the international climate deal, the rules of self-government put in place by President Obama, restore fuel efficiency standards. and work on legislation with mayors and Congress.
Joe Biden: He was tipped to find out if he could hold fossil fuel and energy companies accountable if he was attending a fundraiser organized by Andrew Goldman, an investor in the oil & gas industry. energy that co-founded Western L & G. responsible for fossil fuels. "
Bernie Sanders: He was asked how he would deal with Congress's obstruction of climate legislation. "If your question is, are we going to need 60 votes to save the planet, the answer is no, we will not do it," said Sanders.
Elizabeth Warren: She separated from Senator Sanders about the nationalization of public services, saying, "Good God, you know, I'm not sure that's what brings you to the solution."
Pete Buttigieg: He was asked about the $ 300,000 he spent on air travel in the second quarter of his campaign. Mr. Buttigieg said he was all in favor of decarbonizing jet fuel, but he did not think America would ever abolish air travel.
Beto O'Rourke: He said he would work towards a clear net emissions target by setting up a cap and trade system, not a carbon tax.
Cory Booker: He said his plan was to abolish the zero carbon by 2030 and ban drilling at sea, as well as the ban on fracking on public lands.
In the countryside today
Strains of Beto O'Rourke in Massachusetts … Michael Bennet visiting Iowa … Tulsi Gabbard and Tom Steyer are in New Hampshire … And Tim Ryan is campaigning in South Carolina.
News from NBC & # 39; s embeds
In an interview with Stephen Colbert last night, Joe Biden said he was not deceived on the merits of the policy, said Marianna Sotomayor of the NBC channel.
"I think it's fair to pick on a political figure for anything," he said. "But here is the market. All the blunder that I've done, and I've made blunders like all the politicians I know, are not related to the substantive issue, but to others – j & rsquo; Try to talk about what other people have done. "
Tweet of the day
Downloading data: the number of days is … 9 points
Nine points.
That's how Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in a hypothetical confrontation in Wisconsin, according to a new poll by Marquette University Law School.
In a confrontation with the parliamentary elections, Biden gets 51% of the votes against 42% for Trump.
Bernie Sanders leads Trump between 48% and 44%, while Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris have equal chances on Trump in the Badger State.
And / but … we have a long way to go. The same poll of September 2015 revealed that Hillary Clinton had beaten Trump at double digits. Trump won the state by less than a percentage point.
The lid: say "cheese"
Do not miss yesterday's module when we went into the question of why Wisconsin is such a huge state.
ICYMI: Clips not to be missed
Here is the NBC writing on Sharpie-gate.
And another … Representative Jim Sensenbrenner, second-highest member of the House, will not run again in 2020.
Representative Steve King said that he had been drinking at the toilet fountain cited by those who criticized the conditions of detention in migrant detention centers.
The founder of 8chan said that the current owner of the bulletin board would "bite between his teeth" during a deposition at Capitol Hill.
Boris Johnson's brother leaves politics in the midst of the Brexit turmoil.
Trump Agenda: Just another brick in the wall
Puerto Rico is about to lose more funds for the border wall.
The New York Times examines the impact of the Trump Border Wall on a senior community residing in Brownsville, Texas.
Former Obama lawyer Gregory Craig was found not guilty of lying to investigators who were interested in his work in Ukraine.
2020: The next battle of distribution
The GOP is afraid of losing a series of delineation battles after the dust of 2020 has calmed down.
Joe Biden defends the organization of a fundraiser by the co-founder of a liquefied natural gas company.
Marianne Williamson removed a tweet explaining how the "power of the mind" had helped turn Dorian to the west.
Bill de Blasio could leave the 2020 race if he did not participate in the October debate.
A Kansas GOP Senate candidate drops his bid, instead placing a key challenge against troubled freshman Steve Watkins.
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