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According to my calculations, there are nine possible outcomes tonight. I have summarized them below and their consequences.
Australia beat Jamaica; Brazil beats Italy
Italy, Australia and Brazil will all be first on six points first. The tiebreaker rule will apply. This one initially uses the difference of goals to separate the teams, then the goals scored, etc. Jamaica will fly home with zero points.
Australia beat Jamaica; Italy beats Brazil
Italy will lead group C with nine points. Australia will finish second on six points. Brazil will be third on three points and Jamaica will come home with one point.
Australia beat Jamaica; Italy and Brazil draw
Italy will lead the group with seven points. Australia will finish second on six points. Brazil will be third with four points, and Jamaica will come home with nothing.
Australia and Jamaica draw lots; Brazil beats Italy
Brazil and Italy will tie first on six points – the tie-break rules will be applied. Australia will finish third on four points, Jamaica will come home with one point.
Australia and Jamaica draw lots; Italy beats Brazil
Italy will lead the group with nine points. Australia will finish second on four points. Brazil will rank third with three points, while Jamaica will fly with one.
Australia and Jamaica draw lots; Italy and Brazil draw
Italy will lead the group with seven points, while Australia and Brazil will tie with four points – the rules of breaking the tie will be applied. Jamaica will leave France with one point.
Jamaica beat Australia; Brazil beats Italy
Brazil and Italy will finish tied first on six points – the tie-breaking rules will be applied. Australia and Jamaica will tie for third on three points – the tie-break rules will be applied.
Jamaica beat Australia; Italy beats Brazil
Italy will lead the group with nine points. Australia, Brazil and Jamaica will finish tied for second with three points each – the tie-breaker rules will determine points 2 to 4.
Jamaica beat Australia; Italy and Brazil draw
Italy will lead the group with seven points. Brazil will rank second on four points. Australia and Jamaica will tie for third on three points – the tie-break rules will be applied.
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