Fantasy intel for the 32 NFL teams before the second week



[ad_1]

The Fantasy 32 analyzes the NFL in a fantastic perspective, with at least a mention of each of the 32 teams in the league. Although efficiency is widely discussed, the column will strongly rely on usage data because volume is king (by far) in fantastic football. Use this information to make the best decisions about waiver, exchange, and alignment for the week ahead and beyond. Make sure to check every week of the season for a new version of the Fantasy 32.

Opportunity alert

Throughout the team team recaps below, I will refer to "OFP" and "OTD". OFP is synonymous with fancy points adjusted according to the possibilities. Imagine a league in which players are created equal. OFP is a statistic that weighs each pass / report / target and converts the data into a number that indicates the possibility for a player to score fantastic points, or his total of "expected" fantasy points. For example, if a player has an OFP of 14.5, it means that an average player in the league who saw the same workload at the same place on the field would have scored 14.5 fantasy points. FORP is the difference between the total fantasy points of a player and his OFP. OTD works the same way, except that, instead of fancy points, it is affected. Volume is king in fantasy football, so this is not information you want to overlook.

That said, here is the ranking of the week 1 of the PFP:

Week 1 OFP Ranking

Player Real Pts OFP FOR P
1. Christian McCaffrey, RB 43 30 12
2. Josh Jacobs, RB 24 28 -3
3. Kyler Murray, QB 22 26 -5
4. DeAndre Hopkins, WR 31 26 5
5. David Johnson, RB 26 25 1
6. Jamison Crowder, WR 24 24 1
7. Evan Engram, TE 29 24 5
8. Chris Carson, RB 24 23 1
9. Robert Woods, WR 17 22 -5
10. Larry Fitzgerald, WR 25 22 3
* Full OTD and OFP position rankings will be published on ESPN + this week

Here are the players who have far exceeded their PPA last week and who are therefore candidates for a drop in fantasy production, assuming that they assume a similar workload:

Exceeded his PPP by the highest margin of week 1

Player Real Pts OFP FOR P
1. Sammy Watkins, WR 47 22 25
2. Marquise Brown, WR 31 ten 21
3. DeSean Jackson, WR 35 15 20
4. Lamar Jackson, QB 34 14 20
5. Dak Prescott, QB 33 14 19
6. Austin Ekeler, RB 39 21 18
7. Phillip Dorsett, WR 26 9 16
8. DJ Chark, WR 25 9 16
9. John Ross III, WR 35 19 16
10. Derrick Henry, RB 29 16 13

And those players who missed their PFC by far the widest margin last week, so you should not be too quick to overreact to their performance when making the decision about alignment. Exchange or waiver:

Falled below his PFC by the highest margin of Week 1

Player Real Pts OFP FOR P
1. Donte Moncrief, WR 4 19 -15
2. Jameis Winston, QB 7 18 -11
3. Mitchell Trubisky, QB 8 18 -ten
4. Gus Edwards, RB 6 15 -ten
5. Christian Kirk, WR ten 19 -9
6. Ben Roethlisberger, QB ten 18 -9
7. Travis Kelce, TE 12 20 -8
8. Phillip Lindsay, RB 11 18 -8
9. Miles Sanders, RB 4 11 -8
10. Jakeem Grant, WR -1 5 -7

Team Rundowns

Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals had a fourth broad receiver on the field for 76% of their offensive catch on Sunday. Coach Kliff Kingsbury's offensive has resulted in only 33 shots and two tight targets, Charles Clay and Maxx Williams, that have nothing to do with fantastic relevance. Larry Fitzgerald (78 shots, target share: 24%) and Christian Kirk (76, 24%) remain flexible weekly options, although Damiere Byrd (72, 14%) and KeeSean Johnson (63, 18%) need more. 39 a slight lash match the snaps before they push for a flexible call. Both are good hiding places in the deeper leagues.

Atlanta Falcons

RB Devonta Freeman (33 snapshots) had a tough week (11 touchdowns, 31 yards) while anything but splitting with Ito Smith (34). Of course, Freeman was facing a very good Minnesota defense that has been great for slowing down opponents in recent seasons. Life will not be easier against the Eagles' strong defensive against the run in the second week, but Atlanta's senior back will certainly be running for a bigger role. Do not panic – Freeman is still a solid RB2.

Ravens of Baltimore

WR Marquise Brown exploded for 5 receptions, 147 yards and 2 touchdowns during her NFL debut, but keep in mind that it was limited to 12 shots (the fifth among Ravens outsiders) and to five targets. The gap between his fantastic points total (31) and OFP (10) was the second highest in the league. Brown will not be able to stand anything close to fantasy with this playing time. Yes, it's possible that he's playing more during the second week, but that's nothing more than the speculation. It should be added to all the benches, but it's a very risky start against Arizona.

Buffalo Bills

The instant distribution of the latest Bills bills was: Devin Singletary (43), Frank Gore (18), T.J. Yeldon (2). This of course resulted in a two-headed attack, with Gore managing much of the rushes (11 litters, 0 targets) and Singletary most of the receiver work (four litters, six targets). Especially considering that Singletary produced 98 yards against 20, the rookie is undoubtedly the preferred fantasy option and a flex option this week against the Giants.

Carolina Panthers

WR Curtis Samuel was disappointed by Week 1 (4 targets, 3 receptions, 32 yards), but do not panic for the moment. Samuel was on the field for 59 of the team's 64 offensive shots, which was only one behind DJ Moore. Moore, Christian McCaffrey and Greg Olsen have amassed 81.1% (or 30) of the team's 37 targets in this target – a much lower figure (close to 60%) most weeks. Samuel remains a flexible option.

Chicago Bears

While Chicago let slip the race as he played from behind Thursday, RB Tarik Cohen paced the ground with 46 shots on target. Mike Davis missed 38 and rookie David Montgomery had 23. This is not ideal for Montgomery, whose PDA climbed to the fourth round in the offseason. Nevertheless, Chicago has been limited to three points, and it makes sense that its role will only increase in the coming weeks. Montgomery is a good option for benching and flexing fringes for the moment.

Bengals of Cincinnati

Is Tyler Boyd Third Grade WR John Ross III? His performance of week 1 suggests that this might be the case. Ross exploded for seven catches, 158 yards and two touchdowns by 12 targets in Week 1. He was second among the receivers of the touch-up team (57) and was on the field for 46 of the 56 assists in the # 39; team. Although FORP tells us that it was a bit on the head, the 19 OFP of Ross ranked ninth among wide receivers, which means that there are plenty of opportunities for great fantasy production. Especially with A.J. Green should miss a few more weeks, the big day of Ross is enough to place on the radar of the WR3 against the 49ers in the second week.

Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb was part of a long list of disappointing supporters of Week 1, but the second year's play time is a cause for optimism for the future. Chubb has accumulated 17 spans and four targets in 45 clicks. The backup RB's Dontrell Hilliard and Dr. Ernest Johnson combined for two scopes and four targets in 18 clicks. Chubb still ranks in the top 20 OFP, and he will get closer to the top of the standings once he's inevitably managed to win some races near the goal line. He remains a RB1 at Jets this week.

Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas offense blew up for five touchdowns against the Giants on Sunday, but Ezekiel Elliott was not very important (14 touchdowns, 63 yards, 1 touchdown). After spending most of the offseason, Elliott was limited to 34 shots, which was not far from rookie Tony Pollard (21), and his 10 OFP barely made the top 30 As Elliott's role increases over the next few weeks, there is therefore no reason to panic. He is a fantasy of the first four.

Denver Broncos

With a week in the books, it seems like we have a background committee consisting of two people in Denver. Phillip Lindsay made 31 saves against Royce Freeman in the Oakland defeat of the Broncos. Lindsay had a slight lead in litters (11 to 10) and, more importantly, now seems to be the main setback of the team. Lindsay was targeted on six of her 17 routes, while Freeman managed a goal on 13 routes. Meanwhile, Devontae Booker did not play dry game. Lindsay is a fringe RB2 and Freeman a non PPR flex option.

Detroit Lions

The tight ends of the recruits are almost never relevant in fancy terms, but T. Hockenson makes a case that he will break the mold. Hockenson was on the field Sunday for 57 of Detroit's 80 clutch shots, catching six of nine targets for 131 yards and a score. Hockenson should be listed in all formats, but shallow and is a TE1 fringe.

Green Bay Packers

After Green Bay's win over Chicago, in Week 1, there is no longer any debate on the identity of the # 2 wide receiver of the team. Marquez Valdes-Scantling played 38 shots, ahead of Davante Adams (55), ahead of Geronimo Allison (28), Trevor Davis (17) and Jake Kumerow (one). It's best to leave Valdes-Scantling off the bench against Minnesota this week, but he has the advantage over WR3 / flex in his current role.

Houston Texans

Will Fuller V was limited to three targets in his debut in 2019, but do not worry. The former first-round pick was on the field for 58 of the team's 59 offensive clash shots, which corresponds to DeAndre Hopkins' playing time. Fuller seems locked in duty # 2 and therefore constitutes a WR3 / flex option going forward.

Colts of Indianapolis

Who is the tight end of the Colts you want in your fantasy lineup? Well, maybe no one will follow the combined effort of Sunday's six targets and 31 yards. That said, it seems that Jack Doyle remains the team's No. 1 at this post. Doyle played 42 shots (14 lanes), against 25 (16) for Eric Ebron and 13 (two) for Mo Alie-Cox. Ebron has a little more potential in the touchdown department, but he sees the goals inconsistent, while Doyle is the safest PPR option.

Jacksonville Jaguars

It was not particularly surprising because of their terrific match, but WR perimeter Chris Conley (7 targets, 6 receptions, 97 yards, 1 touchdown) and DJ Chark (4-4-146-1) made their debut in the fantastic scene Sunday. Conley (39 shots) and Chark (36) both played a generous role and were followed only by Dede Westbrook (41) among Jacksonville passers-by. The duo should be added to the benches (Conley is the preferred addition), although both starts are risky against Houston in Week 2 with rookie Gardner Minshew in place of Nick Foles, injured.

Kansas City Chiefs

As expected, Damien Williams surveyed the Chiefs' background in two games (39) during the first week, but LeSean McCoy (18) was significantly more efficient on defense (81 yards in 10 innings). Williams' 26 yards for 13 attempts), leaving Williams to do most of his damage as a catcher (39 yards on seven targets). The important role played by Williams in Kansas City's offensive game makes it a fantastic choice at the moment, but McCoy is also a viable flex, especially as his role is expected to grow.

Los Angeles Chargers

So much for a 50/50 split. Austin Ekeler has been one of the league's most effective defensemen since joining the league, which appeared very quickly (44-15 on Justin Jackson) and on the scoresheet against the Colts. Ekeler was his usual electric game, racking up 58 yards and one touchdown on 12 runs, as well as six catches, 96 yards and two more touchdowns on seven targets. As long as Melvin Gordon is absent, Ekeler will be among the top 10 fantasies, while Jackson will be a fragile game.

Los Angeles Rams

All eyes were on Todd Gurley II Sunday, and it's fair to say that the results have been mixed. On the negative side, he was limited to one target and reported two hurried ground touchdowns to Malcolm Brown. On the plus side, he dominated the backfield shots (51 compared to 19 for Brown and two at Darrell Henderson) and was effective (14 runs, 97 yards). Jared Goff has targeted his halfbacks only once in the match (a figure that will certainly increase significantly in the future), so do not panic for Gurley for the first time. ; moment. Think of it as a good RB2 against the Saints in the second week. Brown should be added, but can not be launched with confidence for the moment. Playing 26.4% of the snaps, including a minimal receiving role, does not cut it for a flex value.

Miami dolphins

The dolphins were a disaster almost everywhere in the first week, and that includes the backfield. Kenyan Drake (25 strikes) had an advantage over Kalen Ballage (19), but Drake was limited to 27 yards after six hits, while Ballage held off 12 yards with six hits. Drake is the favorite fantasy game, especially in PPR, but it's more of a flexible option against New England this week. Those of you who play in the deep leagues may want to throw the third goal, Mark Walton, on your bench.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings only needed 10 pass attempts to beat the Falcons on Sunday, but at least we looked at the backfield. Dalvin Cook (33 snapshots) was the main man, with Alexander Mattison (11), Ameer Abdullah (four) and Mike Boone (two) scooping up the remains. No surprise here: Cook has been extremely productive, totaling 120 yards and two touchdowns. Consider cooking a viable RB1 against Green Bay in the second week and lock Mattison as a handcuff.

Patriots of New England

WR Josh Gordon was on the field for 45 of the 67 shots when he returned to the game in the first week. Gordon ran behind Julian Edelman (64 snapshots) and Phillip Dorsett (60) and was only targeted four times, but the numbers to operate in three sets with Edelman and Antonio Brown starting in the second week. Brown is considered a marginal WR1, Edelman as WR2 and Gordon, who has more value in non-PPR leagues, a WR3.

Saints of New Orleans

Believe it or not, Ted Ginn Jr. is back on the fantasy radar. The 33-year-old field stretcher was on the field for 33 of the Saints '44 assists Monday night, which was enough to beat Tre' Quan Smith (30 roads) for the second goal behind Michael Thomas (39). . Ginn delivered the goods, catching each of his seven goals for 101 yards. Consider Ginn as an option for fringe bending and Smith as an end of bench chest.

New York Giants

WR Sterling Shepard was disappointed with his debut as No. 1 wide receiver in New York (7 targets, 6 receptions, 42 yards), but on the plus side, he was on the court for 65 of 66 offensive shots. 39; team. Evan Engram (14 targets) stole the show, but Shepard's six receptions punctuated the team's broad receptions. Shepard is back at the workstation (at least until the return of Golden Tate), so he will duck CB Tre & Davious White and play in the same place as Jamison Crowder did when he hosted 14 receptions against Buffalo, a league summit. in the week 1. Shepard is in the concussion protocol, but if it's ok for Sunday, it will be a WR3 play.

New York Jets

RB The & # 39; Veon Bell had to be brought slowly during his debut in the Jets. So much for that. Bell was in the field during 66 instant attacks in New York. Bell racked up 60 yards in 17 carries, adding six receptions, 32 yards and one touchdown receiver. The efficiency was not very good, but the misuse of Bell confirms that he remains a good weekly RB1 player.

Oakland Raiders

Offensive back Josh Jacobs was expected to play an important role as a running back as a rookie, and this was certainly the case in the first week. Jacobs had 85 yards and a pair of touchdowns in 23 runs, adding a 28-yard catch. on his only target. As shown in the OFP chart above, only Christian McCaffrey overtook OFP in the first week of Jacobs and, in fact, Jacobs was actually below the expected total. What does all this mean? This means that Jacobs is about to start a massive rookie season and is therefore an RB1 fringe.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles used a three-header backstroke in the first week, but rookie Miles Sanders was clearly the head of the committee. Sanders played 36 times (12 hits), against 20 (12) for Darren Sproles and 16 (eight) for Jordan Howard. Sanders' snooker counts only numbers to increase over the course of the season, even though it will be limited to flexible numbers in its current capacity. He is expected to be in the lineup this week against an Atlanta defense that has just been cut to 120 yards by Cook.

Pittsburgh Steelers

WR James Washington shone at a 45-yard reception on Sunday night, but his play time leaves something to be desired. Washington is ranked fourth among the passers-by of the team (29), behind JuJu Smith-Schuster (41), Donte Moncrief (43) and Ryan Switzer (36), while deferring the work to the rookie Diontae Johnson (21). The ugly performance of Moncrief (7 meters out of 10 targets) should allow Washington to play a bigger role, so keep the explosive playmaker on your bench.

Seattle Seahawks

Rookie WR DK Metcalf was almost a full-time player in his Seahawks debut, completing 38 of 49 offensive shots. Metcalf made a run on 22 of the team's 24 assists, followed by Tyler Lockett (23) among the team's wide receivers. Metcalf only followed Chris Carson in the targets (six) and, in fact, no other Seahawk had more than two. The Metcalf 17.2 aDOT suggests that it will be a vertical threat of contraction / recession, but with Russell Wilson under center, it's enough to place it on the flex radar, especially in non-US countries. PPR.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers wide receiver depth chart was very difficult to solve during the off season, and week 1 did not help much. While Trent Taylor and Jalen Hurd were injured, Deebo Samuel (52 out of 60 possible clicks), Marquise Goodwin (45), Richie James (22), Kendrick Bourne (14) and Dante Pettis (two) carried the charge. The number of Pettis was the most shocking, so he should be far from ready to stand in line until further notice. Samuel should also be on the bench, but since the receiver at 49ers has not cleared three targets in this match, none of them should be in the starting line for the moment . Those of you in the 12-team PPR leagues may want to consider Taylor for a bench spot.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

After a rookie season as tough as ever, Ronald Jones returns to the fantasy scene with an impressive performance in the first week. Jones actually finished third among the team's halfbacks in cliches (21) but was significantly more effective than Peyton Barber (24) and Dare Ogunbowale (24). Jones put 93 yards on 14 hits, which means he's already cleared his yard total of the entire 2017 season (77 yards on 30 hits). Jones is the running back of the Buccaneers you want on your lineup, but considering that he was a non-factor factor as a catcher (four roads), the back of the second year is better perceived as a flex limit in 12-team leagues.

Tennessee Titans

WR Recruit ONE J. Brown produced 100 yards at the front desk during his NFL debut, but a deeper look suggests that we should not spend more money on waivers. Brown has been targeted only four times and his 22 shots were lower than those of Corey Davis (41) and Tajae Sharpe (29) and just ahead of Adam Humphries (19). On the plus side, Brown (16) had only Davis (19) behind the assists, suggesting a bigger role while the game's script does not call as many games in play. Brown remains more a reserve at the helm than a fantastic weekly starter.

Washington Redskins

WR Terry McLaurin was one of the many rookie goaltenders who made a lot of noise in the first week. McLaurin captured five of the seven targets for 125 yards and one touchdown in 49 catches. Trey Quinn (52) was ranked second among receivers, followed by Paul Richardson (43). McLaurin, who was on the field for 36 of 41 passes, is already a full-time player and manages a solid target share. His speed and his ability to play back (20.4 aDOT) were at the rendezvous. It should therefore be a waiver priority this week, despite Washington's fragile quarterback situation. Think of McLaurin as a dividing line in more than 12 team leagues, but there is room for more.

[ad_2]

Source link