Fast food companies are betting big on delivery. It might not pay



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Years ago, most people who wanted food to come to their door were just pizza. But delivery platforms such as DoorDash, Uber Eats, Postmates and GrubHub (WORM) People can order breakfast at Panera, coffee at Starbucks, a burrito at Chipotle, a hamburger at McDonald's among countless other options.

Delivery represents a great business opportunity for restaurants. According to David Portalatin, National Food and Beverage Analyst for NPD Group, restaurant restaurant visits have been about steady over the last five years until May, but shipments have increased by 17% at the same time.

And the delivery has plenty of room to grow. It represents only 3% of all orders for American restaurants, said Portalatin.

The move to delivery is "profound," said Noah Glass, founder and CEO of Olo, a business-oriented food ordering platform that works with restaurant chains and delivery aggregators like Uber Eats. "It's incredibly fast and the stakes are incredibly high."

The partnership with distribution platforms can give restaurants a new set of customers. But some, like Domino & # 39; s (DPZ), think it's a bad idea.

Commissioning on third-party platforms could hurt restaurants by reducing profits and eroding customer loyalty. By partnering with them, the restaurants could hurt themselves.

Restaurants must pay a commission when they collaborate with delivery aggregators.

Go while

To take advantage of the growing trend, restaurants are relying heavily on delivery.

Pizza Hut plans to close 500 restaurants in the United States to "accelerate the transition" to locations better suited for delivery and takeaway delivery, said outgoing CEO, Greg Creed, during 39, a recent call for results with analysts. Starbucks (SBUX) announced this summer to expand its partnership with Uber Eats at the national level. Many big chains, like McDonalds (MCD), work in partnership with several distribution aggregators to reach customers loyal to each of them.

Some only offer vivid promotions via third party delivery services.

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Burger King has proposed a "taste test" of limited duration when he launched the Impossible Whopper without meat nationwide. The promotion, which allowed customers to order the $ 7 Regular and Impossible Whopper, was only available through DoorDash. Wendy (MAGNIFYING GLASS)Similarly, celebrated receiving two million likes on a tweet by distributing spicy chicken nuggets via DoorDash.

By restructuring their operations to enable delivery and directing customers to third-party platforms, restaurants are hoping to reach new customers loyal to these services. Most restaurants also offer deliveries via their own sites and apps, as well as partnerships with multiple platforms.

Chipotle (GMA), which has added a second assembly line for order deliveries and take-outs, says its partnerships are boosting sales.

"Delivery remains one of the main drivers of our digital growth," said managing director Brian Niccol during a recent call for results. We found that there was little overlap between our own integrated applications and the applications of our third party partners. "

But some companies, like Starbucks (SBUX), do not capitalize as much as they hoped with the delivery.

"The delivery of food and beverages in the United States is still in its infancy," said Chief Executive Officer Kevin Johnson at a recent earnings conference call with analysts. "We do not yet see Starbucks Deliver making a significant contribution to our US earnings, but we believe this delivery represents a significant growth opportunity in the long term."

Not all restaurant chains think that delivery partnerships are the way to go. Domino's, in particular, decided not to work with delivery sites.

Domino does not collaborate with third-party vendors.

The holdout

For Domino, delivery is a big problem.

Not only has the company been delivering for years, but it is using this service to tout its technical capabilities: it has tested self-taught delivery cars, studied drone delivery and is now considering using e-bikes to bypass traffic.
But even Domino is blocked by delivery platforms.

Sales of the pizza chain have recently suffered in part due to "the aggressive activity of third-party aggregators," said CEO Richard Allison, in an interview with analysts regarding second quarter earnings.

He added that Domino continues to "come under significant pressure" from these services, and that he "does not expect this activity to diminish in the short term".

Despite the pressure, Domino does not foresee a partnership with a delivery site.

Allison said that he did not think that partnering with third-party platforms would create additional sales, and that these platforms would ultimately hurt the profits of the restaurants.

Whether third-party platforms generate new sales or simply redirect customers is essential.

What could go wrong

Extra sales are good for restaurants. However, if customers who order, for example, in the McDonald's app, go through a partner like Uber Eats, McDonald's generates less profit because it has to pay a commission to Uber Eats.

It could also lose these customers to the benefit of competitors.

Someone using the application of a restaurant can only order in this restaurant. When they visit a delivery aggregator, they can sort by distance, delivery time, cost or kitchen, and end up ordering at a different location based on these statistics.

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"It has become clear to restaurant brands that they have to work very hard to have their loyal customers place their orders directly to the brand," said Glass.

And if something goes wrong with the order, customers are more likely to blame the restaurant than the delivery service. By outsourcing deliveries, companies in the food sector are also outsourcing the management of their brand.

Nevertheless, restaurant brands should not avoid working with delivery services, said Morningstar analyst R.J. Hottovy.

"I think at the moment there is enough consumer demand for you to do it," he said.

But "you have to know who controls this data," said Hottovy. "It's the biggest thing."

Ultimately, Hottovy predicts that restaurants will offer a "hybrid" approach, relying on outside delivery services during off-peak hours and using their own drivers otherwise.

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