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MIAMI – The National Hurricane Center has named the continued disturbance toward Florida as Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 so it can begin sending advisories to Caribbean islands that may be affected.
Forecasters expect the system to organize itself into Tropical Storm Fred as early as Monday evening, with southern Florida in the first cone of concern.
In the NHC’s first advisory for the potential tropical cyclone 6 a.m. to 5 p.m., the disturbance was located about 165 miles east-southeast of Dominica with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.
It was moving west-northwest at 15 mph.
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“On its intended track, the system is expected to pass through part of the southern Leeward Islands tonight, pass near or over the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico late Tuesday and Tuesday evening, and near or above Hispaniola Wednesday, ”the hurricane said. Center wrote in its 5 p.m. notice.
The track has the system approaching Florida this weekend.
Watch more analysis from hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross and chief certified meteorologist Betty Davis in the video at the top of this page.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for:
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Martinique and Guadeloupe
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Dominica
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Puerto Rico, including Culebra and Vieques
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US Virgin Islands
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Dominican Republic on the south coast from Punta Palenque to the east and all the north coast to the Dominican Republic / Haiti border
Tropical storm monitoring means that tropical storm conditions are possible in the monitoring area.
Here is the first cone of potential Tropical Cyclone 6 … soon predicted to be a tropical storm #Fred. Tracked across the Caribbean this week, with strengthening likely limited by dry air and land interaction. Still, a tropical storm could be near South Florida by Saturday #flwx pic.twitter.com/HIa1GlI5aW
– Luke Dorris (@lukedorrisWPLG) August 9, 2021
The system is expected to produce total precipitation of 2-4 inches over the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, with up to 6 inches in some areas. The precipitation could lead to sudden, urban and small stream flooding and potential mudslides in the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
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It has been over a month since this year’s fifth named storm, Hurricane Elsa, formed.
For the latest radar and forecast information for South Florida, click here.
Copyright 2021 by WPLG Local10.com – All rights reserved. The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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