France, world champion of … the economy



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Experts from the Euler Hermes group had fun dividing the eight teams still competing in the World Cup on economic criteria.

 Frenchman Benjamin Pavard after his goal against Argentina on June 30 2018, in the eighth finals of the World Cup in Russia

Embellished, clouds, thunderstorms, climate (business) … Economic badysis willingly files metaphor weather. If the horizon gets darker, she sometimes defers to medicine. More exceptionally to painting. Never in football

We do not talk about the counterattack of investment, unemployment that kicks in touch or offside games with repeated consumption. However, Euler Hermès is formally: among the eight countries still in contention in Russia, France is best placed to win the World Cup … economy.

The credit insurer, which occupies the field as it can, is based on five elements: growth, unemployment rate, government deficit, current account balance and digital agility index ranking, which measures the ability of countries to provide businesses with a favorable digital environment to their development "Every time an economy gets the upper hand in an indicator, it scores a goal. "

" The Uruguayan pbadion will not be enough "

Result, if the quarter-final between the Blues and the Celeste promises to be sportingly tight, " the Uruguayan fury will not be enough to take the upper hand ": 3-1 for the homeland of Benjamin Pavard slice Euler Hermes. Brazil, which has returned to growth after several years of recession, would, however, bow to Belgium. A 4-1 victory of the Red Devils, whose public finances and current account are in much better shape than those of La Seleçao

 If France won the World Cup economy

The score is also without appeal for the match Russia-Croatia, thanks to the rebound of the course of the black gold, which benefits the organizing country. Tighter, the face-to-face between Sweden and the United Kingdom (yellow card for forecasters who confuse with England, well-qualified) results in a 3-2 in favor of the British. "If Sweden has better fundamentals than its opponent, it is done at the post because of lack of progress, especially in terms of unemployment" warns Euler Hermes.

After the semi-finals panting , France should ultimately win 3-2 "on tactics" against his best enemy. Brexit weighs on Albion's crampons, although the depreciation of the pound and British attractiveness for new technologies favor the British.

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