The disturbing roots of the fresh blow on growth



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<p clbad = "canvas-atom-canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = " With 0.2 % of GDP growth in the second half of 2018, the upturn in 2017 is over, because of a significant drop in consumption. "data-reactid =" 22 "> With 0, 2% GDP growth in the second half of 2018, the upturn in 2017 is over. In question ? A significant drop in consumption

Of course, this fee is not the price of the climate! It is rather that of the French economy, with the slowdown of growth which seems to settle, after the improvement of the end of 2017. 2017, it was indeed 2.3% of growth, with 0.7% in the third one. and fourth quarters 2017. 2018 is 0.2% growth, first and second quarter. It is therefore a clear break in pace, linked to household consumption and foreign trade, both of which have broken down. For 2018 now, it is no longer worth dreaming at 1.8% (Matignon and Bercy), but at 1.7% at best – forecast of INSEE (meanwhile 1.7% in 2019, then 1 , 6% in 2020, according to INSEE). Let's say between 1.5 and 1.6%, for France this year. Technically, the "growth acquis" calculated by INSEE, in other words, if growth stops, is 1.3%. It will be better!

<p clbad = "canvas-atom-canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "No need to To talk too much about this slowdown will come later, with the drop in consumption of 0.1% in the second quarter, for the most part, with the increase in the CSG for retirees at the beginning of the year. had lowered the income and weighed on the morale, comes indeed the fall of the food: the expenditures in food goods fall of -1,3% in the second quarter, after -0,3% in the first. Of course, the SNCF strikes weighed down, with a net decline in transport expenditure (-3.2% after + 1.0%), mainly in the railways of course. , these interrogations and blockages in transport have weighed on investment in housing, which fell 0.1% after + 0.2% yoy, even though interest rates have (…) read l on Atlantico
"data-reactid =" 24 "> No need to talk politics too much to explain this slowdown, it will come later. The drop in consumption of 0.1% in the second quarter suffices for the most part. With the rise of the CSG for retirees at the beginning of the year, which had lowered income and weighed on morale, comes indeed the decline in food: expenditure on food goods fell -1.3% in the second quarter, after -0.3% in the first. Added to this is the rise in the price of gasoline. Of course, the strikes of the SNCF have weighed, with a sharp decline in transport expenditure (-3.2% after + 1.0%), mainly in the rail of course. In turn, these interrogations and blockages in transport have weighed on housing investment, which fell by 0.1% after + 0.2% in the year, even though interest rates have (…) Read more on Atlantico

<p clbad = "canvas-atom-canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "
Good news: the growth comes back Bad news, Bercy confirms the rise of the taxes …
But how to explain the deep differential of growth 2018 between the different European countries?
Letters of framing with the departments: the government puts everything on the growth fairy for its fiscal strategy

"data-reactid =" 25 ">
Good news: growth is coming back. Bad news, Bercy confirms the rise of taxes …
But how to explain the deep difference of growth 2018 between the different European countries?
Letters of framing to the ministries: the government puts everything on the fairy growth for its strategy budget

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