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The share of diesel in sales keeps decreasing. And this is not about to stop, according to a new study. A phenomenon which is not without consequence on the emissions of CO 2 of the fleets and which complicates the life of the industrialists to reach the objectives fixed by Europe.
In his annual car study, AlixPartners is not confident about the future of diesel. The figures, published Tuesday, July 10, indicate that the share of diesel will fall below the 25% by 2020 to reach only 5% of the European automotive market in 2030, against 52% today. In France, it could even fall to 4%. A vertiginous fall which is not without problem to the manufacturers.
Because if the diesel is known for its high emissions of particles and oxides of nitrogen (NOx), it appears as more virtuous than the essence on the carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) . The decline in sales of diesel cars thus makes " the achievement of emission reduction targets even more problematic, sending industry three to five years back ," writes the cabinet. [19659006] Fines will soon come into force
Car manufacturers are therefore under the threat of European sanctions for non-compliance with the new standards set for 2021 (reduce emissions of CO 2 at 95 g / km). " Manufacturers have improved their emissions performance by one to two grams per kilometer from year to year. With the abandonment of diesel, the European fleet will have to reduce by approximately five grams its emissions of CO 2 to reach the objectives set for 2021. The fines for excessive emissions of CO 2 (95 euros per gram of CO 2 and per vehicle sold, Ed] will soon come into force and may represent several hundred million euros by manufacturer ", the research firm recalls
In response, industrialists invest heavily in electric vehicles. The global amount allocated to this alternative technology is expected to reach around 255 billion euros between 2018 and 2022. Nearly 200 new models would be launched in the next few years, according to AlixPartners.
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