Before the elections in Hesse: Peter Beyer, politician at the CDU, makes an incredible misstep

Update: 28/10/18 11:46 p.m.

Wiesbaden – An election day can be quite long. Apparently too long for Peter Beyer, member of the CDU in North Rhine-Westphalia. The politician has published on his Facebook page exit polls, the first figures on the election results, already in the afternoon, as well as the report "Spiegel Online". Even before the closing of the polls. "First polls Hessen: CDU: 27, SPD: 18, Greens: 21, AfD: 13, FDP and Left 8".

Exit surveys are, on the one hand, still unreliable forecasts, and on the other hand, the publication of these figures can affect voter behavior and therefore the voting process. Beyer probably noticed his misstep and deleted his Facebook page for a short while. (Here you can see the screen capture)

Election of Hesse: the result of the elections after the closing of the polls

Thus, after the closing of the polling stations, the real figures seem to be the following: after the figures of 18 hours of ARD and ZDF, the decision since 1999 of the CDU is between 27 and 28% (2013: 38.3%), which is less favorable for the party in Hesse for the last time in 1966 with 26.4%. The race in second place is exciting: the SPD slips to 20% (2013: 30.7). The greens of the best candidate, Tarek Al-Wazir, jumped from 19.5 to 20% (2013: 11.1). The AfD has almost tripled its result in five years, from 12 to 13% (2013: 4.1). The FDP reaches 7 to 7.5% (2013: 5.0), the left one 6.5% and achieves its best result so far in Hesse (2013: 5.2).

According to forecasts, the distribution of seats is as follows: CDU 33 to 36, SPD 23 to 27, Greens 23 to 27, AFD 14 to 18, FDP 9 and left 8 to 9. Voters were entitled to vote at 4, 38 million men and women voters for the first time. But that can still change a lot. Follow the current extrapolations: Hesse Election 2018: Launch of AfD in the evening

Election badysis for the election of Hesse: the strong CDU only for pensioners

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