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After the elections in Bavaria, party strategists could still call a period of gallows. First, look at how it is
Hesse fate, it has been said. But on the weekend, the time has come and recent polls indicate that the decline of the Union and SPD will continue unabated and double-digit polls for the new Wiesbaden Landtag. Prime Minister Volker Bouffier, a supporter of the Chancellor, is threatened with losing his job. After a loss of power in Hesse, political observers would inevitably question the power of Angela Merkel. And so the last mantrahaft of the election campaign "This is about Hesse!" like the hissing in the woods.
In truth, the parties in the Berlin coalition also know that further double-digit losses will raise questions about the legitimacy of the already weak government. The leader of the CSU national group, Alexander Dobrindt, immediately took the floor to warn the SPD not to become weak and the GroKo broke out: "The SPD took responsibility for our country, evading responsibility for never helped to fight against the lack of approval, "he said the" Augsburger Allgemeine ". Critics such as party vice president Ralf Stegner should not question the coalition every day, but rather represent their success. "Government parties must be able to act even in the most difficult phases," Dobrindt said, addressing the Union's bad values.
SPD-Left calls members to vote on GroKo
Dobrindts fears that the Social Democrats can not embark on another dramatic path, does not seem to come out of nowhere, to hear the Prime Minister of Lower Saxony, Stephan Weil. Because, one of the cautious but equally authoritative voice of the SPD, calls for an open debate on the continuation of GroKo after Sunday's elections. "After the election of Hesse, we will have to establish the cards internally, which all parties know," Weil told the Handelsblatt newspaper. "I realize that the debate on this will be difficult."
Hilde Mattheis, leader of the SPD Democratic Left Forum 21, goes even further. "We should ask again at the base if we want to continue the grand coalition – not in a year [für 2019 hat die SPD ohnehin eine Zwischenbilanz vorgesehen, Anm. d. Red.]But now, "she told the" Focus. "It's now the question of whether the SPD will survive because you can not go back to the agenda, so Mattheis.
Kramp-Karrenbauer devises a scenario for new elections
But within the Union too, voices that do not exclude the end of the Berlin coalition after the elections in Hesse. The secretary general of the CDU, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, said Thursday in Frankfurt that the situation of the three parties in power was "actually" tense. "Frankly, you have to say it," said "Die Welt" as Merkel's successor in Saarland. Nobody can say at 100% how stable the situation will be after the elections in Hesse. It depends on the dynamics that have developed within the different parties. "If this government separates now, it will result in new elections."
Moreover, the chancellor herself has caused confusion. In an interview with the Hessischer Rundfunk, she said, in a phrase that observers consider a sidelining of the race to the estate: "All the attempts made by those who have worked today to determine their succession have always been totally wrong, and that's true. "At least, Merkel made it clear that she did not want to organize her own estate. Previously negotiated candidates, such as CDU Secretary General Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer or Health Minister Jens Spahn, might understand this as a liberation to advance their own ambitions.
CDU-Bouffier: The essential, "without us nothing works"
During the elections on Sunday, threaten CDU and
SPD According to another poll, heavy vote losses. In a Civey survey published Thursday by Spiegel Online and the Hessian General of Lower Saxony, the CDU is only 27% and the SPD 22%. The Greens can expect a record result. In the survey, they are 18.5 percent. The AfD therefore moves with 13% for the first time to the parliament of the Land of Hesse. The left party is included in the survey at 8%, the FDP at 7.5%. In addition, in other investigations in recent days, the CDU and the SPD were well below their election results five years ago. The Greens were even around 20% and in an investigation even just before the SPD.
According to current survey figures, a new edition of the current black-green government would not be possible. A coalition of CDUs and SPDs would have only a slight majority. The calculation is possible according to the survey, a Jamaican alliance of the CDU, the Greens and the FDP. Prime Minister Bouffier has already said: "I am able to bring different interests together". The fact is that the CDU is leading the government "and nothing works for us".
According to the latest polls, one could also imagine: a coalition of SPD, Greens and the FDP at traffic lights. And a red-red-green coalition, for which the leader of the left faction Sarah Wagenknecht is already strengthening, seemed quite possible – in some circumstances, even under green leadership. Both would be the Berlin stock
GroKo asks again mbadively.
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