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The Eurasia Group, one of the world's largest political risk advisory firms, predicted the outcome of the 2019 presidential election.
The Eurasia group, which predicted outgoing president Goodluck Jonathan will be defeated by Muhammadu Buhari in 2015, again predicted the outgoing president's victory in Saturday's elections.
He also explained that Senator Bukola Saraki, general director of the Atiku campaign, was distracted by the battles he is facing in the National Assembly and by the weak campaign run by Southeast governors , who are not very happy to see President Atiku emerge. Peter Obi, his companion, is the main reason why Atiku could lose against Buhari.
The group, founded in 1998 by American political scientist Ian Bremmer, said Buhari had a 60% chance of winning.
These appeared in the latest political forecasts published on his official website before Saturday's race.
"The opposition candidate, Atiku Abubakar, has regained some momentum in recent weeks, but President Muhammadu Buhari remains privileged to win (60% probability)," the group said.
"On polling day, the control of the power of local political structures and resources by all Progressives (APC), governing 23 states, against 12 on the opposition, will stimulate the mobilization of voters and consolidate the advantage of Buhari .
"Wike was upset that Atiku could not consult him on key decisions. Saraki remains distracted by the hard battle for the re-election of the Senate in Kwara State. openly challenging the federal government) and distrust of Atiku Vice President Peter Obi, former governor of the southeastern state of Anambra, whom they regard as a political outsider.
"The lack of enthusiasm of some PDP governors is a problem for Atiku because these officials control large state-level discretionary funds (called" security votes ") that are easier to access without raising concerns. of corruption. "
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