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By Dirisu Yakubu
Abia
State of Abia, southeastern Nigeria is a stronghold of the PDP. Governor Okezie Ikpeazu wishing to get a new term of four years, the chances are significantly favorable to Atiku.
Although the APC boasts of an impressive presence in the state, Atiku is very favored to accept it, but with its recent support of the socio-cultural pan-Igbo organization, Ohanaeze Ndigbo?
Adamawa
Adamama, the state of origin of Atiku, is a state controlled by the APC, since Governor Jibrilla Bindo was elected in 2015 on the platform of the ruling party .
But the state also houses the wife of President Buhari, Aisha, who met with various stakeholders on the need to have her husband re-elected.
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In addition to the state government, Atiku is the largest employer of labor in the agrarian state. a factor that can give the president a run for his money.
Given the political permutations on the ground and that Atiku does not want Buhari to beat him in his lair, the former vice president is the favorite of the bookies to win here.
Akwa Ibom
Akwa Ibom, rich in oil, has been a fortress of the PDP since the return to democracy in 1999. His governor, Udom Emmanuel, is seeking to renew the mandate he received in 2015.
Although the former minority Senate leader, Senator Godswill Akpabio and Buhari's special badistant for the affairs of the National Assembly are now members of the APC, Atiku has better chances to win here than Buhari.
Bauchi
With a governor in office and a good number of federal and state parliamentarians, President Buhari prefers to occupy the state of the Northeast.
However, experienced politicians such as House Speaker Yakubu Dogara and PDP leadership candidate Bala Mohammed are certainly not idle and would do their utmost to give the ruling party the fight to all his life.
Bayelsa
There will be no election of governors in Bayelsa, a city rich in oil, but the governor, Seriake Dickson, is fully committed to providing the state to Atiku.
Working alongside Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, outgoing President of Nigeria, Atiku could just as well save a few hours of sleep, knowing that Bayelsa is in the bag.
Benue
Until his defection at the PDP, Governor Samuel Ortom was in President Buhari's camp. Today, he says his lost happiness is back and that he has instructed voters to rally behind Atiku.
The incessant killings mentioned above, which seem to have eased over the last few months, could be in favor of the PDP candidate as many believe that President Buhari has not handled the violent skirmishes well.
Borno
Here, President Buhari will likely struggle to convince the electorate to go under the tent with him once again in the face of the deteriorating security situation.
Today, there are fears that elections may not be held in some parts of the state, given how insurgents have launched ferocious attacks in recent times.
Cross River
Governor Ben Ayande is looking for a new term that would see his term as Governor expire in 2023 when he is elected in the 2019 governors' polls.
Like Akwa Ibom, APC is a newcomer to Cross River and will have trouble aligning with party structure in the state. Atiku is highly favored to win with a landslide.
Delta
The APC can boast of experienced politicians, such as incumbent Governor Emmanuel Uduaghan and perpetual governor Great Ogboru, but Delta is firmly under PDP's control.
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In addition to Governor Ifeanyi Okowa, Senator James Manager and former state governor James Ibori, who all work for the party's success, President Buhari faces a daunting task to defeat Atiku .
Ebonyi
According to rumors, Governor Dave Umahi would work for President Buhari, but he has demonstrated in recent weeks his commitment to winning the state for Atiku.
Umahi, who is seeking a new term, knows the difficulty of advancing her cause and that of a presidential candidate on the platform of another party.
Edo
Comrade Adams Oshiomhole, CPA National President, left a memorable infrastructure development in the state of Edo while he was governor.
Until now, he remains a popular figure in the three senatorial districts. Although like Bayelsa, no governors' polls are organized here, President Buhari is likely to lead Atiku to the state.
Enugu
Enugu is a state controlled by the PDP with Governor Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi and Senate Vice President Ike Ekweremadu, both of whom are seeking to return to office.
After the successful treatment of the breach caused by the choice of his vice-presidential candidate, Atiku, Peter Obi, Ekweremadu committed body, soul and spirit to the PDP's cause in this election. In addition, they have the Chimaroke Nnamani power plant at PDP. It's Atiku here.
Gombe
The second term of Governor Ibrahim Dankwambo will end on May 29, 2019 and his commitment to Atiku's victory is beyond doubt. He remains the strong man of Gombe's policy, given his management over the past eight years. Atiku should beat Buhari by a wide margin.
Imo
Usually, APC would have been privileged to have the chance to beat the other parties here, but the intrigues that characterized its congresses and its primaries put the state in a position to compete with each other.
Governor Okorocha is aggrieved, as is the president of the APC, who believes that the party does not receive the support it deserves from the governor. The chances of both parties are indexed at 50-50.
Jigawa
Governor Abubakar Badaru was elected on the APC platform in 2015 and is said to have been fairly successful in keeping his election promises.
However, Sule Lamido, the former state governor, is doing everything possible to ensure Atiku's victory at the polls.
Elections here will be fiercely contested but President Buhari could pick him up, as he did in 2015.
Kaduna
Kaduna has been embroiled in a crisis in recent years; The manner in which Governor El-Rufai acted in the same way profoundly divided the people.
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The governor's war with some pillars of the APC, like Senator Shehu Sani, eventually resulted in the departure of the latter in favor of the People's Redemption Party, PRP, where he continues to launch his brand vitriolics against the President Buhari and El-Rufai. This is the state of APC and Buhari dominates. But a surprise is possible.
Kano
It is one of the states where Nigerians and election observers are lighting up because of the huge population and dynamics of the last few months and weeks.
With a governor, Abdullahi Ganduje, who carries a heavy burden of credibility following allegations of corruption; his reelection and that of Buhari would not be easy here.
Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso, from his Kwankwasiyya movement, is in the process of making Atiku, who literally closed the ancient city with his rally for the campaign, less active. It's Buhari, but Atiku is likely to be very upset here.
Katsina
This is the country of origin of President Buhari. With a governor in place running for reelection, APC has the preference to win but that will not be easy.
Ibrahim Shema, a former governor of the state alongside PDP national secretary Ibrahim Tsauri, has been able to turn the tide, so much so that there is no doubt about the popularity of the PDP among the population.
Kwara
Is the popularity of President Buhari enough to break the Saraki stronghold in north-central?
For Senate Speaker Bukola Saraki, the APC should forget to take Kwara in 2019 because, according to his words, the people know his leader. It will be hotly contested here especially with the movement O te ge. Saraki is strong and should win for Atiku but parity should not be ruled out.
Lagos
Apart from the intrigues that have almost torn the APC, Lagos remains his stronghold.
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Although governor Akinwunmi Ambode had problems and was sidelined to pave the way for Babajide Sanwo-Olu, the opposition remains weak and the party in power remains the party to be defeated, but the elections of today They could be different. This is the state of APC, but it will still be difficult to ensure that Buhari has a large non-native population, many of whom have complained that they have not been able to collect their PVC.
Nasarawa
The state of north-central is almost doomed to follow the path of President Buhari, given the popularity of Governor Tanko Al-Makura among his people.
Niger
Niger on paper is a state of the APC; However, a combination of factors may work in favor of Atiku, without which
Ogun
Here is a state that the APC will want to recover even though it has a practicing governor, Ibikunle Amosun.
Like the scenario that played Imo during controversial primaries, the governor, who is yet committed to working for Buhari, is working for a rival party to produce his successor. All of this may work in Atiku's favor, but Buhari may be here.
Kebbi
Governor Atiku Bagudu has been hailed by many for his agricultural footprints in the state. He was elected to govern in 2015.
His popularity and that of the APC in the state should worry the PDP, who however has Tanimu Abubakar, a former presidential aspirant to admire in the North West State.
Give and take, President Buhari is favored to win at Kebbi.
Osun
The controversies that led to the election of governors here are still fresh in the spirit.
Those whose words have weight in politics have promised to get a maximum of votes for Atiku in today's elections.
Oyo
This is a 50/50 competition here, neither the ruling PCA nor the opposition PDP can afford to sleep.
However, the incumbent power of the position can play to the advantage of the PCA.
Ondo
Ondo has a governor and prominent members of federal bademblies and states.
Unless of a dramatic turn, the odds are in favor of the ruling party.
Tray
Governor Simon Lalong will likely struggle to get re-elected for another four-year term.
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The murders that swept through many villages in recent years would likely play a major role in determining the winner at the end of the polls. The chances of Atiku here are pretty good.
rivers
Unless a change of fortune occurs, the CPA will not nominate candidates for elective positions to be filled.
Those who would have voted Buhari because of other APC candidates in other elected positions would probably turn to Atiku.
PDP is certain to win wide, with Governor Nyesom Wike almost certain of a new four-year term.
Sokoto
The North West State became PDP when Governor Aminu Tambuwal withdrew from the CPA.
Benefiting from a considerable number of voters, Presidents Buhari and Atiku would look with keen interest on the results achieved here. In the current state of things, Sokoto is a PDP to lose.
Taraba
PDP has never lost Taraba since 1999 and this record is not about to change, at least for the moment.
Atiku will rely on his political visibility and the popularity of Governor Ishaku Darius to win a large victory in the Northeast State.
Be
Yobe will provide an interesting scenario to both candidates even though the state is currently controlled by the APC.
In 2015, President Jonathan lost here because of what no one thought was being treated by the Boko Haram insurgency.
Under Buhari, the mbadacres continued on a worrying scale.
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It remains to be seen what choice the electorate will make but APC is rather like that here.
Zamfara
Just like Rivers, CPAs are not likely to run for election here, leaving President Buhari alone in the dangerous fortress.
This is the APC, but Atiku may be upset, even though Governor Abdulaziz Yari has threatened to shoot. He was elected on the platform of the APC.
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