Popular vote: is a second referendum on Brexit inevitable?



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There will be a vote tonight on a project called Cooper Bill. If successful, Brexit will be permanently removed from the discussion by making it illegal under UK law. This could have the (probably unintended) consequence of making a second referendum inevitable.

Here is how it could happen. If the May-Corbyn process does not result in a compromise that can be swiftly ratified, the UK government would have to ask for an extension of the Brexit process beyond April 12, the current deadline. And without the prospect of an agreement before May 22, the day before the start of the European Parliament elections, supporters of a second referendum will press for a long delay.

Here is the logic.

First and foremost, any significant change in the May agreement on the Brexit should be the subject of appropriate parliamentary scrutiny. Many of the Brexit alternatives discussed by the Commons earlier this week were fanciful options that were either unprecedented or unprecedented.

Tom Brufatto, activist of the People's Vote, said: "It is very late in the day to vote on alternatives without proper consideration.Parliament must have the opportunity to consider carefully these options in order to avoid a blind Brexit and to commit to placing everything deal with people ".

Second, in these indicative votes, a second referendum was more popular than anything else. And the Prime Minister is committed to respecting the will of Parliament.

Thirdly, and most importantly, in case of long extension, the UK will always be an EU Member State, with legislators in the European Parliament and no definitive plan of departure. At this point, it would be absurd that a public vote does not have the opportunity to stay in the EU.

Fourth, the EU has repeatedly said that it would need a good reason to grant a long extension. A referendum or a general election would probably be sufficient reason. And a referendum is much more likely to clarify than an election.

Finally, even if the withdrawal agreement pbades quickly, members could insist that the May agreement be made public anyway. "A referendum on the deal seems more likely than ever, which in itself is a remarkable feat," said Labor MP Wes Streeting. "It is very clear that this provides a way, perhaps the only one, to break the stalemate in Parliament and restore some democratic legitimacy in a deeply discredited process."

So this is it. Brexit, it seems, should not disappear any time soon.

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