Answer the big questions of the NBA of Sion now



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Duke, Zion Williamson, likely played in his last college match on Sunday, after a 68-67 loss to Michigan State in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight. So what's next?

We have never seen a comparable Williamson-based candidate whose combination of productivity, athleticism, competitiveness, skill, and sense of the game makes him the absolute favorite of the 2019 NBA Selection # 1. Combine that with its star power and you will easily understand why no other prospect is currently studying, regardless of the winning Zion lottery team on May 14th.

Williamson may remain seated until the night of the draft after his freshman season, as he will have no obligation to prove anything before hearing his name called by the NBA commissioner, Adam Silver, shortly after 19:30. HE June 20th. The selection of an agent will be the first area of ​​activity of his camp, although there is a chance that a family close to get a certification and negotiate his agreement on sneakers. .

It is highly unlikely that Williamson will do more than a photo shoot in a team 's premises, regardless of the outcome of the choice, as it is up to him to decide whether he will do it. he wants to undergo a medical exam for the NBA teams. It's also difficult if we see nothing more than a symbolic appearance of Williamson at the NBA in May, apart from some media obligations.

Basically, as Williamson is a player of choice, fans can forget to see him with a basketball in his hands until the NBA summer league in Las Vegas in early July. – Jonathan Givony

More: model project | Top 100 prospects | Choice exchanged Initiated


Who has the best chance to write Williamson?

Short answer: New York Knicks, Phoenix Suns and Cleveland Cavaliers.

Longer answer: many teams can convince themselves that they have some stroke.

This is the first year with the new lottery rules, making it much less likely that a worse league team, such as the Knicks, wins first choice – and much more likely than not. a middle team gets up.

Here are the new probabilities for the 14 lottery slot machines compared to the old ones:

New lottery odds 2019 (compared to previous odds)

N ° 1 (%) Top 3 (%) Top 5 (%) Planned choice
Team 1 14.0 (25.0) 40 (64) 100 (100) 3.7 (2.6)
Team 2 14.0 (19.9) 40 (56) 80 (100) 3.9 (3.0)
Team 3 14.0 (15.6) 40 (47) 67 (96) 4.1 (3,4)
Team 4 12.5 (11.9) 37 (38) 55 (83) 4.4 (4.0)
Team 5 10.5 (8.8) 32 (29) 44 (55) 5.0 (4.7)
Team 6 9.0 (6.3) 28 (22) 37 (22) 5.5 (5.5)
Team 7 7.5 (4.3) 23 (15) 32 (15) 6.2 (6.5)
Team 8 6.0 (2.8) 19 (10) 26 (10) 7.0 (7.6)
Team 9 4.5 (1.7) 15 (6) 20 (6) 8.0 (8.7)
Team 10 3.0 (1.1) 10 (4) 14 (4) 9.2 (9.8)
Team 11 2.0 (0.8) 7 (3) 9 (3) 10.3 (10.8)
Team 12 1.5 (0.7) 5 (3) 7 (3) 11.4 (11.8)
Team 13 1.0 (0.6) 3 (2) 5 (2) 12.5 (12.8)
Team 14 0.5 (0.5) 2 (2) 2 (2) 13.7 (13.8)
top four choice chosen by drawing lots

And with just over five games to play for each team, here are the projected lottery odds, via ESPN's basketball power index.

These new probabilities are one of the main reasons why you do not see the teams panicking with each victory in the stretch that costs them a chance to be so talented. It's going to be a huge blow.


Is it a recruitment of unprecedented sneakers?

The first step in Williamson's emerging marketing profile will be to sign a mbadive endorsement agreement for sneakers. His star power and explosive play should put him among the highest annual winners of all time for beginners, right next to the seven-year contracts signed by LeBron James for $ 87 million and Kevin Durant for $ 60 million. dollars.

No less than six brands will seek to sign, including Nike, Adidas, Under Armor, New Balance, Puma and Anta. Williamson is expected to sign his agreement before the May 14 lottery project, at which time the draft decision will be made.

"In my lifetime, I think it will be the biggest bidding war ever," said former head of the sneaker team, Sonny Vaccaro. "I'll put them all on the road."

Vaccaro signed Michael Jordan at Nike in 1984 and then sought to offer James a $ 100 million contract at Adidas. Sources from several industry brands expect Williamson's deal to potentially reach this astronomical level. – Nick DePaula

to play

1:02

Striker Duke Zion Williamson explains why he has become a human actor since high school.


Williamson is the best prospect since …?

In February, I asked who was the most recent university prospect we had considered as statistically promising as Williamson. According to my consensus, the preliminary screenings of the NBA, which used both player statistics converted into NBA equivalent and rank of the player in the top 100 Givony, had found Anthony Davis in 2012 before Williamson in my database, which brings together most of the best academic candidates as far back as 2003.

At this point, I badumed that Williamson could pbad Davis if he was able to play at the same level for all remaining parts of Duke. His knee injury prevented this possibility and, as Williamson's strength was slightly down, especially in defense, he averaged only 1.8 interceptions and 1.0 block after his return, compared with 2.2 and 1.8 before his injury. amount.

Nevertheless, Williamson will always enter the project as the best collegiate prospect since Davis by my projections. – Kevin Pelton

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