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Barry was downgraded to a tropical depression late Sunday afternoon as the soggy storm continued its slow northward advance in Louisiana. The amount of rain from Barry was generally lower than it was feared, but the depression still presents a risk of flooding as it ramps up in Arkansas on Monday.
The flash floods cover Louisiana (with the exception of the northwestern part of the state), Mississippi, much of eastern Arkansas and the United States. West Tennessee. Rains of up to seven to ten inches of rain have fallen in parts of southern Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama, although forecasts do not exceed 25 inches.
"Sudden life-threatening floods are expected along Barry's trajectory from Louisiana inland, pbading through parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, southeastern Ontario. Missouri and western Tennessee, "announced the National Weather Service.
Between Sunday night and early next week, total rainfall of at least one to four inches is forecast for Louisiana and Mississippi in western Tennessee, with locally higher amounts ranging from six to 10. inches.
Some of the most abundant rainfall is expected in southern Louisiana until Sunday evening, and then in eastern Arkansas, northwestern Mississippi and western Canada. Tennessee until Tuesday.
While Baton Rouge and Louisiana could receive one to two inches of rain (perhaps more if violent storms pbad) above the two inches already fallen, these amounts are rather low forecasts and floods have not occurred. usually not produced. a problem.
Because of reduced precipitation forecasts, many rivers are no longer expected to reach the flood stage in Louisiana.
RIVER UPDATE: The river forecast has been significantly reduced * this morning, with almost all the sites having no plans to reach the flood stage at this stage. We are still waiting for updates for French Settlement & Maurepas and will share them as soon as we receive them. #LAwx pic.twitter.com/yKVIoEsm3S
– Steve Caparotta, Ph.D. (@SteveWAFB) July 14, 2019
The most recent (updated at 5 pm Eastern Time)
The depression is centered 20 miles north-northeast of Shreveport, Louisiana, and heads north at 9 mph. Its maximum sustained winds have dropped to 35 mph, and further weakening is expected.
The radar has abundant rainfall in some areas, covering much of Louisiana, Mississippi, eastern Arkansas and western Tennessee. Among the most important activities are found in southeastern Louisiana, just east of Baton Rouge, and in south central Mississippi, where sudden flood warnings are in effect. Two to four inches of rain could fall in this area in the evening, with rainfall rates of one to three inches per hour in the heaviest showers.
Some tornadoes could also form in the storm bands, mainly east and north-east of the center. A tornado watch is in effect for parts of southeastern Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi until 8 pm. (19:00 Central).
Mainly because of high winds, with bursts above 60 mph on Saturday and around 50 mph on Sunday, more than 100,000 customers are without power in Louisiana, according to poweroutage.us.
What happens after
Due to the slow movement of the storm, it will not rain much in Louisiana and Mississippi until Monday afternoon or night. Rains could persist in Arkansas and western Tennessee until Tuesday, when six to ten inches of rain could fall and cause flooding.
On Wednesday and Thursday, the remnants of the storm will cross the Tennessee and Ohio valleys towards the center of the Atlantic coastline.
Barry up to now
After spending only three hours at the first hurricane of the Atlantic in 2019, Barry landed near Intracoastal City, Louisiana, just before 2 pm. Saturday before weakening quickly in a tropical storm.
The heaviest rainfall was concentrated in southern Mississippi and Alabama, where up to 10 inches fell, and up to seven inches in southern Louisiana. Here are the heaviest totals by state:
- Fairhope, Al .: 8.32 inches
- Abbeville, La .: 6.78 inches
- Ocean Springs, Miss .: 9.95 inches
Other notable totals include Mobile, Ala: 5.95 inches; Lafayette, La: 4.97 inches; Hattiesburg, Miss .: 3.42 inches; New Orleans: 2.13 inches; Baton Rouge: 2.43 inches
These quantities were generally lower than predicted computer models because of the dry air sucked into Barry that their simulations did not handle well.
weird #Barry came from Kansas – and that, rather than the tropics, have played a determining role in the results achieved so far. The air continental dry at altitude penetrated by the northeast, then hidden north, now infiltrated by the northwest. This shear limits wind intensity and precipitation. But still the threat of flash flood. pic.twitter.com/bEeXcz0S9i
– Stu Ostro (@StuOstro) July 14, 2019
As Barry approached the coast, the maximum wind gusts reached 100 km / h in Louisiana, while New Orleans reached 49 km / h. In Morgan City, where gusts reached at least 55 mph, structural damage to buildings was reported, as well as felled trees and power lines.
The storm surge on the coast from south-central Louisiana south to the Mississippi River pushed water to a height of three to six feet above a normally dry land, with reports isolated exceeding seven feet. The wave exceeded two lifts in southeastern Louisiana.
The storm in the historical context
Barry, the first hurricane of the 2019 season, reached such resistance about a month before the average date of the first hurricane on August 10.
"#Barry will be the first July land landing in the US in July in 5 years (Arthur '14) and the eighth hurricane that will hit the American continent since 2016," Jonathan Erdman from Weather.com tweeted.
Phil Klotzbach, Tropical Meteorologist at Colorado State University, tweeted"This is the first hurricane to hit Louisiana since Nate in 2017 and the first in July since Cindy in 2005."
he added: "#Barry is the 4th #hurricane on record (since 1851) to land in July in Louisiana. The other three are: Bob (1979), Danny (1997) and Cindy (2005). "
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