Do not look for 'Crawl & # 39; or & # 39; Stuber & # 39; to ignite the summer ticket booth



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by Brad Brevet
July 11, 2019

Last Sunday, it appeared that the weekend box office had finally outperformed the same weekend compared to the previous year, after three consecutive performances. However, once the actual numbers have arrived, the weekend has plunged below the same weekend in 2018 for the fourth consecutive weekend and, unfortunately, this week will be five.

Looking to repeat at the top of the box office weekend, Sony and Marvel Spider-Man: far from home is in a position for the first time after starting on a Tuesday last week with the landing of the July 4th holiday on a Thursday. Watch movies like Transformers and The amazing spider-man, movies plunged 47.5% and 44.2% respectively after six days of opening, but both came out on July 3rd rather than July 2nd. Far from homewhich leads to the hypothesis Far from home will have a little stronger second weekend drop. As a result, we expect a low between 54 and 57% and about three days $ 41-42 millionwhich would put the film's domestic expenditure at nearly $ 270 million after 13 days of release.

Second place will also be a title in reserve at Disney and Pixar Toy Story 4, which is expected to bring in nearly $ 350 million in the domestic market by the end of the weekend, or barely a million short. In the absence of new competition in the family market this weekend, we expect a decline of about 35% over three days. $ 22 million. On Sunday night, the movie will rank fifth among the largest Pixar sales ever recorded.

We expect to find the first of the new weekend outings in Paramount's Paramount-rated Paramount alligator thriller. Crawl. The studio expects a weekend performance of about $ 10 million for the production of $ 13.5 million, which is essentially consistent with what we see, although we expect a potential d & # 39; improvement. A glance at the data on the IMDb page shows that the pace is very similar to that 47 meters lower, which debuted with more than $ 11 million in June 2017 from 2,270 sites. Crawl starts in more than 3,100 locations, which leads us to expect a performance that can at least $ 12 million.

We then arrive at Disney's outing of the Fox comedy comedy, rated R Stuber, which opens in more than 3,000 sites. Although the studio does not provide expectations for this weekend, the expectations of the industry make the film debut between $ 7 and $ 15 million, many of which amount to $ 11 million. of dollars. According to the information we are looking at, even the lower end of this range could be too high. A preview of IMDb page views for movies such as American Ultra, Keanu, Dogs of war, The nice guys and even Happy murders show Stuber trailing well behind all five in the two weeks leading up to release. In fact, the best composition at this stage seems to be that of 2017 Chips, which Stuber is also late in terms of IMDb pageviews. This film was opened with $ 7.7 million from 2,464 locations, which is exactly what we expected. Stuber and do not expect any criticism – 43% on RottenTomatoes and 38 on Metacritic – to help you.

Universal completes the top five Yesterday, which adds 141 sites to the opening of its third weekend of release. At this time, we expect a trough of about 40% or so for a $ 6 million three days and a national consumption of around $ 48 million.

In limited version, Bleecker Street will debut The art of defending yourself in seven rooms this weekend before being extended to more than 500 venues next weekend. In addition, Entertainment Studios will debut in documentary Bethany Hamilton: unstoppablein 205 rooms and A24 will be released L & # 39; farewell in a theater

The forecast for this weekend is directly below. This article will be updated on Friday morning with the results of Thursday night's preview followed by Friday's estimates on Saturday morning and a full weekend's recap on Sunday morning.

  • Spider-Man: far from home (4,634 theaters) – $ 41.7 million
  • Toy Story 4 (4,210 theaters) – $ 22.0 million
  • Crawl (3,170 screens) – $ 12.5 million
  • Stuber (3,050 rooms) – $ 7.5 million
  • Yesterday (2,755 theaters) – $ 6.2 million
  • Aladdin (2,557 theaters) – $ 5.3 million
  • Annabelle comes home (3,209 theaters) – $ 4.7 million
  • Middle (2,707 screens) – $ 3.0 million
  • The secret life of pets 2 (2,308 theaters) – $ 2.8 million
  • Avengers: End of the game (1,443 theaters) – $ 1.9 million

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