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by Brad Brevet
May 30, 2019
The box office continues to improve as we move into the summer movie season. At the start of the month, the box office in 2019 was -11.7% behind last year, but with the end of May, we are currently at -9.4% late compared to May 2018 and the summer. The film season is currently taking place just before the summer of 2018, which is the fourth most important summer of all time. Seeking to maintain the positive trend, this weekend will see Disney Aladdin Following a strong debut at Memorial Day weekend, three new outings are competing for a top five spot. Among them, the publication by WB of Godzilla: the king of monsters should offer a # 1 finish while Paramount Rocketman debuts after a strong opening in the UK last weekend and the latest Blumhouse thriller My also seeks to attract the public attention of horror.
Warner Bros. will debut in 4,108 sites Godzilla: the king of monsters, following the rebirth of 2014 Godzilla, which opened with a whopping $ 93 million. The studio followed this film with Kong: the island of the skull in March 2017 and he opened with $ 61 million in the country and now King of monsters serves as the third film in the studio Monsterverse franchise and WB expects an opening of 50 to 55 million dollars.
A glance at the performance of the IMDb page views leading to the publication shows the Godzilla following pacing well behind the original as well as behind Skull Island. In fact, he is getting closer to rampage, which opened in April with US $ 35.7 million spread over 4,101 sites. Fandango.com, an online ticket retailer, says the film exceeds expectations. Skull Island at the same time in the sales cycle. In all, we currently have a trend in the middle of the expected range of the studio, we are looking for an opening all around. $ 53 million. Screenings start today with surveys starting in about 3,600 locations and starting at 4 pm.
internationally, Godzilla opens day after day with the United States on virtually every international market, including China and Japan, where the film is distributed by Legendary East and Toho, respectively. Spain and Poland are among the few markets open later in June.
Disney Aladdin opened with the fifth most important Memorial Day edition of all time last weekend and the question is whether it can hold a little better than recent movies that have ended with similar openings. The tastes of Fast & Furious 6 and X-Men: Days of Future Past dipped -64% in their second weekend while Disney Pirates of the Caribbean: at the end of the world In fact, you look at most of the recent Memorial Day openers and their second weekends have more than 60% declines in their second session. The question is whether the most family Aladdin manages to appeal to a wider population and can hold a little better. For our forecast, we will therefore badume a drop of about -58%, although we would not be surprised if the performance is closer to the average or even maybe even reverse with a level close to -50% . down and challenges for a second weekend of $ 45 million.
Paramount Rocketman is looking for a third place at that time, while the musical fantasy inspired by Elton's life, inspired by R, seeks to find a similar place among the releases of 2019 to that of last year Bohemian Rhapsody and A star is born. At this point, while Rocketman do the paces behind A star is born and Bohemian Rhapsody when looking at the IMDb page view data, it fits perfectly with the Mom Mia! Here we go again, which opened with close to $ 35 million in July 2018, which bodes us for a first performance well above the $ 18 to 20 million anticipated by Paramount. In fact, with the launch of the film in 3,610 locations and the majority of positive reviews – 73 on Metacritic and 90% on RottenTomatoes – we see no reason to expect much less than $ 30-35 million if not, more.
internationally, Rocketman opened in the UK last week and reported more than $ 8.6 million last Tuesday. This weekend, the film extends to 39 other markets, including France, Italy, Australia, Brazil, Germany, Mexico and Spain. .
The latest collaboration between Universal and Blumhouse Productions is the release of this weekend's My, which is expecting a good start for production of $ 5 million, with its debut in more than 2,700 sites. With Octavia Spencer, the thriller unfolds in a similar way to the January release of this year Escape Room (Opening $ 18.2 million) when viewing IMDb page visualization data while exceeding the likes of L & # 39; intruder (Opening $ 10.8 million) and 2018 Breaking in ($ 17.6 million opening) and slightly down compared to April 2018 Truth or Dare (Opening of $ 18.6 million). The studio anticipates an opening in the mid-teens and all we see suggests the same thing, which leaves us glimpse an opening of about 15-17 million dollars.
internationally, My opens day by day with North America in 36 international markets, including Brazil, Germany, Mexico, the United Kingdom and Ireland, and additional markets will be deployed while throughout the summer.
Lionsgate completes the fifth John Wick: Chapter 3, that we expect to dive -45% or more for about three days $ 13.5 million, bringing the movie closer to the $ 130 million film as it enters its third week of release.
Overall, we expect the top twelve in the standings to outperform the same weekend last year, generating more than $ 185 million for the weekend, while continuing to narrow the gap. annual compared to 2018.
The forecast for this weekend is directly below. This article will be updated on Friday morning with the results of Thursday night's preview followed by Friday's estimates on Saturday morning and a full weekend's recap on Sunday morning.
- Godzilla: the king of monsters (4,108 theaters) – $ 53.0 million
- Aladdin (4,476 rooms) – $ 38.3 million
- Rocketman (3,610 rooms) – $ 32.0 million
- My (2,808 theaters) – $ 17.0 million
- John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum (3,604 theaters) – $ 13.5 million
- Avengers: End of the game (3,105 rooms) – $ 11.2 million
- Pokemon Detective Pikachu (3,147 theaters) – $ 8.3 million
- Brightburn (2,607 theaters) – $ 4.0 million
- Booksmart (2,518 screens) – $ 3.7 million
- The journey of a dog (1,674 theaters) – $ 1.9 million
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