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Lila Blanks holds the coffin of her husband, Gregory Blanks, 50, who died of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), before his funeral in San Felipe, Texas, United States on January 26, 2021.
WASHINGTON – An influential coronavirus model predicted an estimated 599,000 cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the United States by July 1.
This represents 75,000 additional deaths from March 8 to July 1, according to the latest forecast from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.
The IHME estimated that 87,200 lives would be saved thanks to the planned deployment of the COVID-19 vaccine by July 1.
Daily infections are expected to remain stable at over 125,000 a day through the end of March, then decline steadily, according to the projection.
At some point, from March to July 1, 18 states will experience high or extreme stress on hospital beds, according to the IHME.
COVID-19 cases and daily deaths continue to decline across the country. However, transmission is increasing in 19 states, according to IHME data.
Experts have warned that transmission could easily increase enough to counteract the effect of scaling up vaccination if people relax protective measures such as wearing masks and social distancing.
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