J-Lo for the victory? Take a quick look at the pioneers of the Oscars 2020 | Movie

After a year in the rather terrifying cinema, the autumn festival season felt more necessary than ever, a warm hug after eight months of repeated slapping.

The impromptu speculation on the next race to rewards next year has been replaced by much more enlightened predictions, a guessing game still, but one that is already easier to play. Last year, at the same time, we had already seen six of the eight best film nominees. Thus, with Venice, Telluride and Toronto again apart, we can sift through successes and failures to find out what will be the movies and the performances. enough power to clear a path until February.

Let's start with Venice, a festival that has become a reliable springboard for the safest bets – in previous years, Birdman, Gravity, The Shape of Water, Roma and La La Land have all made their debut – although this year's harvest has been more varied than usual. The biggest story came from an unlikely place: a film by Todd Phillips, director of The Hangover, on DC. Originally ominous, the story Joker would have arrived with a question mark regardless of the place where he would have landed, but competing in the most prestigious festival in the world, it was a question of the an even more ferocious curiosity, the most prestigious slot ever reached by a cartoon movie. The critics were rather enthusiastic, especially for the star Joaquin Phoenix, who then won the festival's biggest prize, the Golden Lion, one of six American films to have made it in the last 30 years. He continued to impress in Toronto, although critics began to emerge and negative critics started pouring in, criticizing his superficial emptiness and his potentially disturbing effect on what should be a mbadive audience. At this point, I would bet heavily on an appointment and even a win for Phoenix, but the film may have trouble keeping up with voters who could be pushed back by his subject and (* whispers *) a vacancy of a note.

After winning the Golden Lion with Rome last year, Netflix returned with his second project Noah Baumbach, the bitter divorce drama Marriage Story. It has had universal success (after Venice and Toronto, it's one of the few films to get a 100% mark on rotten tomatoes) and, although Baumbach's films were not recorded at 'Academy (his first nomination was made in 2006 for squid and whale scenario), most agreed that it was his most complete and comprehensive film to date. The nominations for stars Adam Driver and Scarlett Johansson, both at the best career, seem safe, while Laura Dern's catchy trick as a tenacious lawyer should also give her a nod, largely to because of a powerful speech that she pronounced on the society judge mothers. There is a lot to do (this is also happening in the entertainment industry, which voters love), but it sounds like a movie genre that might not seem splashy or important enough for the Academy to give its first prize even though I can see it score with many circles of criticism.

Polite critics of James Gray's long epic, Ad Astra, and Steven Soderbergh's financial satire The Laundromat, but they were generally seen as non-starters in the rewards race, while the same was true of best Seberg.

Shortly after, Telluride, a much more trendy festival that tends to create a group of more star-studded and mainstream contenders – previous festivals have hosted Wild, The Imitation Game, Moonlight, can you forgive me ?, 12-year-old slave and ladybug.

This year, one of the surest conclusions is that Renee Zellweger will make a big comeback with her role as Judy Garland in Judy. The film received mixed reviews. Many critics criticized his narratives, but almost everyone agreed on Zellweger's performance, and the Academy loved off-screen stories, with the former winner returning to the fold after years spent in the desert. There was another sure bet in the form of Ford v Ferrari, starring Matt Damon and Christian Bale, who seems to take the boring competitor niche of this year, I think, so solid, the kind of movie for which no one really enthusiasm. no one really hates. The audience at the premiere in Toronto reacted with great enthusiasm, more than some of the latest critics. The recognition depends on how Fox decides to campaign with the two main prospects, whose risk of being demoted, but you can expect that he will take the eighth best place in the world. Picture before being quickly forgotten by Mars.

Critics have admired the effects of the balloon adventure The Adventurers of Felicity Jones / Eddie Redmayne, while acknowledging his snapshots, suggesting that his chances of rewards could be slim while most have found that the project's plans to win the prize are not the same. Motherless Brooklyn's love / vanity of Edward Norton was a failure. The bold and stylistic director of Krisha Trey's Edward Shults' series A24, Waves, began to wonder and compare it to Moonlight, but at the time, critics began to go wrong. It could still be a candidate for the Independent Spirit Awards, but nothing bigger is improbable. Most people seemed to love The Two Papes, a movie that was also a resounding success with the Toronto public, and Netflix's papal drama, starring Jonathan Pryce and Anthony Hopkins, lead actors, could be a pillar. Reliable rewards this season Finally, Adam Sandler saw himself in the running for the Best Actor Award for his dramatic turn in the exhausting drama of the Safdie brothers, Uncut Gems, but the abrasion of the film could distract some voters.

Just a week later, all eyes were on Toronto, a festival that has the most stars, if not the most stunning in terms of the season of awards. Early productions include the following: If Beale Street could speak, The Martian. Last year, Green Book began its search for the best image, giving the festival a boost, and this year saw the presentation of some equally effective awards. Jennifer Lopez was surprised to see that the performance as a stripper stealing from her clientele in the highly entertaining story-based drama, Hustlers, has been hailed by almost all critics. It is a sensational turning point in a film that has also been praised and many, including myself, have predicted a nomination for the best actress in a supporting role. The Academy already likes it (it's one of their most popular choices to announce a prize) and the film promises to be one of the biggest hits of the fall, with all it must for a dream campaign.

Another sure bet from Toronto came from Oscar-winning Tom Hanks and his deep transformation as a beloved children's television star, Mister Rogers, in A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. By avoiding the structure of a traditional biopic, the photo instead portrays Rogers as a caring character in the life of a journalist who interviews him, which means that Hanks will likely present himself as a supportive actor, which would be surprisingly his first appointment for 19 years. snubbed for Captain Phillips, Bridge of Spies and The Post. Expect the film to get the best image recognition with projections accompanied by roughly nonstop sniffles. A similar reaction was sparked by the Just Mercy legal drama starring Michael B Jordan in lawyer Bryan Stevenson. The film was perceived as boring by some but almost all enjoyed its powerful storytelling and, although Jordan's role may be a little too deaf to attract the attention of the Academy, it is likely that the winner of an Oscar, Jamie Foxx, embodying a prisoner falsely imprisoned, appointment. The film itself is also the kind of film that will please the crowd, which will please the crowd, and who could see it really affect the voters, this year's Green Paper if you want, without the whitewash.

One of the festival's most enthusiastic films was Knives Out, one of Rian Johnson's most entertaining films, a tribute to Agatha Christie that sparked the most public reaction I've seen in months. . This is probably not a candidate for the award, but if voters reacted as well as critics in Toronto, then a scenario nomination could take place. Jojo Rabbit, Takia Waititi's comedy about World War II, is another public favorite. He plays Hitler in the cast as an imaginary friend jester. The critical response has been mixed, but his simple two-part narrative could work with the Academy that could respond to Scarlett Johansson's delightful performance. The film also received significant momentum yesterday by winning the Festival's Choice Award, considered a predictor of Oscar success. Voters could also be sensitive to Eddie Murphy's turn in the biopic Dolemite is My Name and especially to his redemptive arc that could secure him a nomination as a best actor.

Elsewhere, the festival has experienced many half-failures. Harriet Tubman, a pbadionate but inspired biographer of the formula, Harriet received confused acclaim on star Cynthia Erivo, but not the film itself. Lucy, the drama of Noah Hawley's astronaut Wild in the Sky, has been considered an elegant diversion, but we will not see Natalie Portman return to the best actress category after some scornful reactions while the lorry. The highly anticipated adaptation of The Goldfinch is crushed with some of the festival's harshest critics.

Telluride and Toronto have also boosted Parasite, Cannes' favorite, Bong Joon-Ho's wild satire, claiming that many people could claim to be South Korea's first foreign-language film and even find in the best race in the picture. He was also in Cannes in Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon A Time in Hollywood to get into the Oscar race. The film could win several major appointments, including a win for Brad Pitt's supporting actor, while Pedro Almodóvar's autobiographical Pain and Glory drama could push Antonio Banderas into the interim race. Sundance has also heard of the meritorious victory of Clemency, Grand Jury winner, and star Alfre Woodard, even though he may be too small to sign up for voters, while the charming performance Awkwafina in The Farewell will be a favorite of the circle of critics and could possibly, with a solid campaign, gain greater rewards consideration. This is how Dianne Feinstein in The Report could slip into the category of best actresses in a supporting role, although the film can be too dense and too talkative for some.

The year is far from over and we still have a lot of big bets to see. One of the biggest is unveiled in less than two weeks, Martin Scorsese's Netflix saga, The Irishman, starring Robert De Niro and Al Pacino. He debuted at the New York Film Festival before a limited version prevented streaming. The drama Bombshell by Roger Ailes, Jay Roach, is also the subject of much noise. These are the women who shot him. While the recent trailer seems to suggest that Margot Robbie would be the lead role, it seems Charlize Theron, as Megyn Kelly, dominates the film and can see her in the race for the first time since 2005. North Country. Also featured are Nicole Kidman, John Lithgow, Kate McKinnon, Allison Janney, Malcolm McDowell and Rob Delaney, making it a serious candidate for the best cast for the upcoming SAG band.

Sam Mendes also returns with his first non-007 film since Away We Go in 2009 and his first drama about the first world war of 1917 could be his Dunkirk with a set of young British actors, as well as filming for Colin Firth and Benedict Cumberbatch . This year's AFI festival will open with Bonnie and Clyde-esque, the Queen & Slim drama starring Oscar nominee Daniel Kaluuya. The trailer suggests at least breathtaking visuals from famed video director Melina Matsoukas. Finally, expect Greta Gerwig's adaptation to Little Women to be widely rewarded with a cast including Saoirse Ronan, Emma Watson, Laura Dern, Timothée Chalamet and Florence Pugh, who, rumored to be Asset of the film.

Ten safe nominated bets

Adam Driver – Best Actor, Wedding Story

Jennifer Lopez – Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Hustlers

Quentin Tarantino – Best Director, Once upon a time in Hollywood

Tom Hanks – Best Supporting Actor, A beautiful day in the neighborhood

Renee Zellweger – Best Actress, Judy

Jamie Foxx – Best Supporting Actor, Just Mercy

Joaquin Phoenix – Best Actor, Joker

Brad Pitt – Best Supporting Actor, Once upon a time in Hollywood

Bong Joon-Ho – Best Director, Parasite

Laura Dern – Best Actress in a Supporting Role, Marriage Story