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The 91st Academy Awards will take place tonight (February 24th) at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, Los Angeles.
While predicting Oscars winners becomes more difficult each year, the strongest candidates in 2019, including movies Roma and The favourite, while Olivia Colman and Glenn Close are neck and neck for the award of best actress.
The Oscars will be broadcast live on ABC in the United States and on NOW TV and Sky in the UK.
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This year's ceremony was fraught with challenges from Kevin Hart on a homophobia quarrel and leaving the Oscars without a host for the first time in 30 years, to charges of badual misconduct against Bohemian Rhapsody's director, Bryan Singer.
Today, the prediction of the Oscars has become as much a science as an art, writes our critic Helen O. Hara. The type of film nominations, including Best Director and Best Editing, combined with previous awards, including the various Guild Awards awarded to industry professionals, give a much shorter list of probable winners than the eight or ten best image candidates suggest.
The Golden Globes are a poor indicator of the winners of the best movie and are only slightly stronger in the categories of actors, even if they give themselves two chances each year by dividing their detractors between the categories "Drama" and "Comedy / Musical". The Screen Actors Guild Awards are better predictors of acting awards, although their overall grand prize rarely matches that of the best film. And the recipient of the Toronto Film Festival's audience award has had a much better record at the Oscars in recent years than the winners of the film festivals in Cannes, Berlin and Venice.
The Producers Guild Award for Best Feature is a historically strong predictor: the Academy has chosen the same film for the best film 20 times out of 30. But this relationship seems to be weakening this year. The PGA has gone to Green Book, which does not look like an Oscar favorite since its director, Peter Farrelly, is not nominated for the best director (traditionally a bad sign for the chances of the Best Film candidate, to some exceptions). PGA's best documentary winner, Will not You Be My Neighbor, has not even been nominated for an Oscar. And the Screen Actor's Guild guild trophy in Best Overall category, another occasional indicator of Best Film (though its success rate is less impressive), was awarded to Black Panther, a movie that looks a lot like a particular case of the race for the best movie.
Learn more about the science of predictions of Oscar winners, below:
The race for Best Film seems incredibly close this year. Will Roma win or will the judges favor one of the two nominees: A star is born or Bohemian Rhapsody? Can Black Panther become the first superhero movie to win this honor?
Take a look at all our forecasts for the night:
Hello and welcome to The Independent's blog for the 2019 Oscars!
From here the closing of the biggest night of the film, we will present the latest updates, news, photos and reactions to the Academy Awards, which will take place tonight at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, Los Angeles.
Jennifer Lopez, Awkwafina, Daniel Craig, Chris Evans, Tina Fey, Whoopi Goldberg, Brie Larson, Amy Poehler, Maya Rudolph, Amandla Stenberg, Charlize Theron, Tessa Thompson and Constance Wu are among the stars who will distribute the statuettes.
This year's ceremony was fraught with controversies that began well before the event. Kevin Hart was named and then sacked after several old tweets in which the comedian expressed homophobic views, leaving the 2019 ceremony unchallenged for the first time in 30 years.
1/47 American Psycho (2000)
Featuring the future Oscar winner, Christian Bale, adaptation of Bret Easton Ellis's novel by Mary Harron – in which the vice-performer plays psychopath Patrick Bateman – has not received only one appointment.
Rex Features
2/47 Before sunrise (1995)
While the last two chapters of Richard Linklater's Avant … trilogy were nominated for the screenplay, the film that introduced the world to the newlyweds Jesse (Ethan Hawke) and Celine (Julie Delpy) was neglected.
Columbia Pictures
3/47 The great heat (1953)
Fritz Lang had a number of films neglected by the Academy; this black, with Glenn Ford, Lee Marvin and Gloria Grahame, was one of them.
Columbia Pictures
4/47 The great Lebowski (1988)
The generosity of the Academy towards the Coen brothers culminated when no country for old men beat blood in one of the races of the best film closest to the ceremony. It is surprising that one of their rare films to escape all nominations is this misleading and endless comedy of identity that can be cited, starring Jeff Bridges as The Dude.
PolyGram Filmed Entertainment
5/47 Blow (1981)
Brian De Palma did not direct films in the hope of winning an award, but his political thriller – based on Michelangelo Antonioni's Blow Up – would have earned the Oscars for which he was nominated.
Filmways Photos
6/47 Out of breath (1960)
The breathtaking absence of receiving an appointment is proof that it is impossible to trust the Oscars. Although it is one of the most studied films in the world, Jean Luc-Godard's French masterpiece has a total of zero at the Oscars.
Films around the world
7/47 Raising baby (1938)
The academy has rewarded many remarkable comedies, though Cary Grant and Katharine Hepburn – who held the record for the most wins – are not among them.
Courtesy of BFI
8/47 Do not look now (1973)
Nicolas Roeg, who led this cooler in Venice, is one of the most unjustly overlooked filmmakers in Oscar history.
Rex Features
9/47 Donnie Darko (2004)
The fictional spirit of Richard Kelly, who made Jake Gyllenhaal a star, was one of the favorites of the festival in its early days in 2004. Many expected the nomination to the scenario is manifest.
Rex Features
10/47 The good, the bad and the ugly (1966)
It was not until the 1990s that Western films found favor with the Academy. It was ironically thanks to Unforgiven, a film directed by Clint Eastwood, whose career was flourishing after playing in this film by Sergio Leone, considered by many to be the pinnacle of the genre.
11/47 Hate (1995)
The black and white drama of Mathieu Kbadovitz – translated into English by Hate – follows three young friends and their difficulties living in the suburbs of Paris.
12/47 Halloween (1978)
The Academy may not want to name horror movies, but long before (see: The Exorcist and The Silence of the Lamb), which makes the absence of the impressive John Carpenter , Halloween, a blatant oblivion.
Aquarius Releasing
13/47 Harold and Maude (1971)
This quirky romantic drama was a critical and commercial flop at the time of its release, which probably explains its lack of Oscar nominations. But today it is a cult that ensures its popularity among moviegoers.
Paramount Pictures
14/47 Heat (1995)
On paper, the big screen of Robert De Niro and Al Pacino, in the crime drama of Michael Mann, was rewarded, but no nomination to an Oscar was manifested.
Warner Bros
15/47 His daughter Friday (1940)
Yet another visionary comedy by Howard Hawks starring Cary Grant, who failed to get a single Oscar nomination.
L / Columbia / Koba / Rex / Shutterstock
16/47 Insomnia (2002)
Insomnia, made years before Batman Begins, had enough performances (Al Pacino, Robin Wiliams, Hilary Swank) to earn acting appointments. Alas, he did not receive any.
Warner Bros Pictures
17/47 Local Hero (1983)
Bill Forsyth's beloved comedy drama follows the misadventures of an American man buying a Scottish village where the oil company he works for wants to build a refinery. Forsyth won the Bafta Award for Best Director, but the film did not receive such a love from the Academy.
20th Century Fox
18/47 M (1931)
You may think that the "M" is synonymous with "masterpiece" in the German drama of Fritz Lang following the manhunt for a serial killer – without the Academy agreeing.
20th Century Fox
19/47 An escaped man (1956)
Robert Bresson's adaptation of André Devigny's memoirs traces the history of the period when the French Resistance member was imprisoned by the Germans during the Second World War. It is even more fascinating to note that Bresson himself had already been imprisoned years ago.
Gaumont Film Company
20/47 Margaret (2011)
Kenneth Lonergan was going to win an Oscar for Manchester, but Sea, but Margaret – her drama of three hours and over featuring a hot performance by Anna Paquin – has not managed to get a single nomination.
Fox Searchlight Photos
21/47 In the mood of love (2000)
Wong Kar-wai set the benchmark for romance in film with his acclaimed drama in Hong Kong as a result of a man and a woman (Tony Leung and Maggie Cheung) who developed feelings one for each other after having suspected their respective spouse of having an affair together.
defd Deutscher Fernsehdienst
22/47 The king of comedy (1982)
It may have taken him decades to win an Oscar, but the Academy has rarely hesitated to nominate Martin Scorsese's films – especially for movies starring Robert De Niro. The king of comedy was an exception.
20th Century Fox
23/47 The long goodbye (1973)
Robert Altman's top thriller stars Elliott Gould as Raymond Chandler's private investigator, Philip Marlowe, in one of the director's most entertaining films. The director will then be awarded the honorary prize in 2006.
Rex
24/47 The man with two brains (1983)
He may have hosted several times, but Steve Martin has never been nominated for an Oscar. A film for which he deserved to be recognized is the science-fiction comedy of Carl Reiner (1983), The Man with Two Brains.
Warner Bros.
25/47 A question of life and death (1946)
The Academy of Film Archives may have preserved A Matter of Life or Death in 1999, but voters did not recognize Powell & Pressburger's fantasy novel when it was released in 1946.
Eagle-Lion Movies
26/47 Medium Streets (1973)
It may not be his debut, but Mean Streets is really Martin Scorsese's first real movie. The director was going to win a late Oscar for The Departed in 2007, but he had to wait until 1975 for his first nomination (Alice did not live here before).
Warner Bros
27/47 Melancholy (2011)
No film by Lars von Trier has ever been nominated for the best film, though Dancer in the Dark is getting closer to it (he's contented with an appointment for the best song original). He came near Melancholia, but eventually, the drama did not have
Cbad +
28/47 Miller's Crossing (1990)
Although considered a favorite of the Coen brothers, not to mention his remarkable performances by Gabriel Byrne and Albert Finney, Miller's Crossing is one of the few Coen brother films not to have been nominated for the Oscars.
20th Century Fox
29/47 Once upon a time in America (1984)
Although it is not a masterpiece, it is stunning to think that Sergio Leone's gangster epic – starring Robert De Niro and Joe Pesci – has not been nominated for the Oscars (the music of film was disqualified because Warner Bros. accidentally omitted the composer's name opening credits when reducing the film's long duration for its US release).
Warner Bros
30/47 Paterson (2016)
Critics have badumed that Jim Jarmusch's Paterson would have been rewarded – most notably in the Best Actor category, thanks to an incredibly fantastic performance by Adam Driver – but no such chance.
Amazon Studios
31/47 Paths of Glory (1957)
Stanley Kubrick has never won the title of Best Director despite being nominated four times. One of his films that did not award the Oscars in any category is his black and white anti-war film, Paths of Glory.
United Artists
32/47 Play at Misty for Me (1971)
Thanks to Unforgiven, Million Dollar Baby and Mystic River, Clint Eastwood would become an Oscar darling, but his directorial debut was ignored by the Academy.
Univeral Pictures / Courtesy of Getty Images
33/47 Tank dogs (1992)
Reservoir Dogs may not touch the best of Quentin Tarantino, but it's surprising that the filmmaker's debut was not recognized in the scenario category, at least.
Miramax Movies
34/47 The rider (2018)
Of all the 2018 snobbering films this year, Chloe Zhao's drama – featuring a real rodeo cowboy and her family – seems to be the most unfair.
Sony Pictures Clbadics
35/47 Researchers (1956)
The role of civil war veteran Ethan Edwards may be considered the best role of John Wayne, but the Academy disagrees: he will win his only Oscar for True Grit in 1970.
Warner Bros
36/47 The brilliant (1980)
Another Kubrick film that was completely ignored by the Academy is the adaptation of Stephen King, The Shining. Today, it is considered one of his best works and one of the most revered horror films of all time.
Warner Bros
37/47 The shop at the corner of the street (1953)
It may be one of the most beloved romcoms of all time, but it has not been nominated for the Oscars.
Metro Goldwyn Mayer
38/47 Still walking (2008)
The portrait of a family of Japanese director Hirokazo Kore-eda for about 24 hours while he was commemorating the death of the eldest son was a blatant oblivion of the Academy.
IFC Films
39/47 swingers
Before becoming Disney, Jon Favreau (Iron Man, The Jungle Book and the upcoming movie The Lion King) wrote this independent film about the life of unemployed single actors living in Hollywood California during the swing revival of the 1990s.
Rex Features
40/47 It's England (2006
The 2007 ceremony would have been much better if Shane Meadows' upcoming drama had been in the running for rewards.
Optimal release
41/47 Three Kings (1999)
The Academy judged Silver Playbook Playbook and American Hustle worthy of nominations, but not David O Russell's Three Kings, which remains one of his biggest films to date.
Warner Bros Pictures
42/47 History of Tokyo (1953)
Tokyo Story is considered the masterpiece of Japanese director Yasujirō Ozu and was named best Sight & Sound movie of all time in 2012.
Rex Features
43/47 Touching evil (1958)
The black clbadic of Orson Welles was not as loved at the time of its release as today.
BFI
44/47 Tyrannosaurus (2011)
Olivia Colman may be in the running for the best actress at this year's ceremony, but the fact that she has not managed to get nominated (or Bafta, for that matter) for his role in the hit drama of Paddy Considine, Tyrannosaur, is one of the biggest oversights in history rewards.
StudioCbad UK
45/47 Walkabout (1971)
Another exceptional achievement by Nicolas Roeg in filmmaking that has failed to receive any Oscar nominations.
46/47 You never really were here (2018)
Cut out the lack of timing, but you've never been there, with Lyna Ramsay – starring Joaquin Phoenix – is a sensational work worthy of being rewarded.
Amazon Studio
47/47 Zodiac (2007)
Three years later, David Fincher faced Tom Hooper of The King Speech for The Social Network. In truth, the serial killer drama Zodiac is just as good as the drama of Facebook.
Warner Bros Pictures
1/47 American Psycho (2000)
Featuring the future Oscar winner, Christian Bale, adaptation of Bret Easton Ellis's novel by Mary Harron – in which the vice-performer plays psychopath Patrick Bateman – has not received only one appointment.
Rex Features
2/47 Before sunrise (1995)
While the last two chapters of Richard Linklater's Avant … trilogy were nominated for the screenplay, the film that introduced the world to the newlyweds Jesse (Ethan Hawke) and Celine (Julie Delpy) was neglected.
Columbia Pictures
3/47 The great heat (1953)
Fritz Lang had a number of films neglected by the Academy; this black, with Glenn Ford, Lee Marvin and Gloria Grahame, was one of them.
Columbia Pictures
4/47 The great Lebowski (1988)
The generosity of the Academy towards the Coen brothers culminated when no country for old men beat blood in one of the races of the best film closest to the ceremony. It is surprising that one of their rare films to escape all nominations is this misleading and endless comedy of identity that can be cited, starring Jeff Bridges as The Dude.
PolyGram Filmed Entertainment
5/47 Blow (1981)
Brian De Palma did not direct films in the hope of winning an award, but his political thriller – based on Michelangelo Antonioni's Blow Up – would have earned the Oscars for which he was nominated.
Filmways Photos
6/47 Out of breath (1960)
The breathtaking absence of receiving an appointment is proof that it is impossible to trust the Oscars. Although it is one of the most studied films in the world, Jean Luc-Godard's French masterpiece has a total of zero at the Oscars.
Films around the world
7/47 Raising baby (1938)
The academy has rewarded many remarkable comedies, though Cary Grant and Katharine Hepburn – who held the record for the most wins – are not among them.
Courtesy of BFI
8/47 Do not look now (1973)
Nicolas Roeg, who led this cooler in Venice, is one of the most unjustly overlooked filmmakers in Oscar history.
Rex Features
9/47 Donnie Darko (2004)
Richard Kelly's fictional spirit, which made Jake Gyllenhaal a star, was a festival favorite in its early days in 2004. Many expected the scenario nomination to be apparent.
Rex Features
10/47 The good, the bad and the ugly (1966)
It was not until the 1990s that Western films found favor with the Academy. It was ironically thanks to Unforgiven, a film directed by Clint Eastwood, whose career was flourishing after playing in this film by Sergio Leone, considered by many to be the pinnacle of the genre.
11/47 Hate (1995)
The black and white drama of Mathieu Kbadovitz – translated into English by Hate – follows three young friends and their difficulties living in the suburbs of Paris.
12/47 Halloween (1978)
The Academy may not want to name horror movies, but long before (see: The Exorcist and The Silence of the Lamb), which makes the absence of the impressive John Carpenter , Halloween, a blatant oblivion.
Aquarius Releasing
13/47 Harold and Maude (1971)
This quirky romantic drama was a critical and commercial flop at the time of its release, which probably explains its lack of Oscar nominations. But today it is a cult that ensures its popularity among moviegoers.
Paramount Pictures
14/47 Heat (1995)
On paper, the big screen of Robert De Niro and Al Pacino, in the crime drama of Michael Mann, was rewarded, but no nomination to an Oscar was manifested.
Warner Bros
15/47 His daughter Friday (1940)
Yet another visionary comedy by Howard Hawks starring Cary Grant, who failed to get a single Oscar nomination.
L / Columbia / Koba / Rex / Shutterstock
16/47 Insomnia (2002)
Insomnia, made years before Batman Begins, had enough performances (Al Pacino, Robin Wiliams, Hilary Swank) to earn acting appointments. Alas, he did not receive any.
Warner Bros Pictures
17/47 Local Hero (1983)
Bill Forsyth's beloved comedy drama follows the misadventures of an American man buying a Scottish village where the oil company he works for wants to build a refinery. Forsyth won the Bafta Award for Best Director, but the film did not receive such a love from the Academy.
20th Century Fox
18/47 M (1931)
You may think that the "M" is synonymous with "masterpiece" in the German drama of Fritz Lang following the manhunt for a serial killer – without the Academy agreeing.
20th Century Fox
19/47 An escaped man (1956)
Robert Bresson's adaptation of André Devigny's memoirs traces the history of the period when the French Resistance member was imprisoned by the Germans during the Second World War. It is even more fascinating to note that Bresson himself had already been captured years ago.
Gaumont Film Company
20/47 Margaret (2011)
Kenneth Lonergan was going to win an Oscar for Manchester, but Sea, but Margaret – her drama of three hours and over featuring a hot performance by Anna Paquin – has not managed to get a single nomination.
Fox Searchlight Photos
21/47 In the mood of love (2000)
Wong Kar-wai set the benchmark for romance in film with his acclaimed drama in Hong Kong as a result of a man and a woman (Tony Leung and Maggie Cheung) who developed feelings one for each other after having suspected their respective spouse of having an affair together.
defd Deutscher Fernsehdienst
22/47 The king of comedy (1982)
It may have taken him decades to win an Oscar, but the Academy has rarely hesitated to nominate Martin Scorsese's films – especially for movies starring Robert De Niro. The king of comedy was an exception.
20th Century Fox
23/47 The long goodbye (1973)
Robert Altman's top thriller stars Elliott Gould as Raymond Chandler's private investigator, Philip Marlowe, in one of the director's most entertaining films. The director will then be awarded the honorary prize in 2006.
Rex
24/47 The man with two brains (1983)
He may have hosted several times, but Steve Martin has never been nominated for an Oscar. A film for which he deserved to be recognized is the science-fiction comedy of Carl Reiner (1983), The Man with Two Brains.
Warner Bros.
25/47 A question of life and death (1946)
The Academy of Film Archives may have preserved A Matter of Life or Death in 1999, but voters did not recognize Powell & Pressburger's fantasy novel when it was released in 1946.
Eagle-Lion Movies
26/47 Medium Streets (1973)
It may not be his debut, but Mean Streets is really Martin Scorsese's first real movie. The director was going to win a late Oscar for The Departed in 2007, but he had to wait until 1975 for his first nomination (Alice did not live here before).
Warner Bros
27/47 Melancholy (2011)
No film by Lars von Trier has ever been nominated for the best film, though Dancer in the Dark is getting closer to it (he's contented with an appointment for the best song original). He came near Melancholia, but eventually, the drama did not have
Cbad +
28/47 Miller's Crossing (1990)
Although considered a favorite of the Coen brothers, not to mention his remarkable performances by Gabriel Byrne and Albert Finney, Miller's Crossing is one of the few Coen brother films not to have been nominated for the Oscars.
20th Century Fox
29/47 Once upon a time in America (1984)
Although it is not a masterpiece, it is stunning to think that Sergio Leone's gangster epic – starring Robert De Niro and Joe Pesci – has not been nominated for the Oscars (the music of film was disqualified because Warner Bros. accidentally omitted the composer's name opening credits when reducing the film's long duration for its US release).
Warner Bros
30/47 Paterson (2016)
Critics have badumed that Jim Jarmusch's Paterson would have been rewarded – most notably in the Best Actor category, thanks to an incredibly fantastic performance by Adam Driver – but no such chance.
Amazon Studios
31/47 Paths of Glory (1957)
Stanley Kubrick has never won the title of Best Director despite being nominated four times. One of his films that did not award the Oscars in any category is his black and white anti-war film, Paths of Glory.
United Artists
32/47 Play at Misty for Me (1971)
Thanks to Unforgiven, Million Dollar Baby and Mystic River, Clint Eastwood would become an Oscar darling, but his directorial debut was ignored by the Academy.
Univeral Pictures / Courtesy of Getty Images
33/47 Tank dogs (1992)
Reservoir Dogs may not touch the best of Quentin Tarantino, but it's surprising that the filmmaker's debut was not recognized in the scenario category, at least.
Miramax Movies
34/47 The rider (2018)
Of all the 2018 snobbering films this year, Chloe Zhao's drama – featuring a real rodeo cowboy and her family – seems to be the most unfair.
Sony Pictures Clbadics
35/47 Researchers (1956)
The role of civil war veteran Ethan Edwards may be considered the best role of John Wayne, but the Academy disagrees: he will win his only Oscar for True Grit in 1970.
Warner Bros
36/47 The brilliant (1980)
Another Kubrick film that was completely ignored by the Academy is the adaptation of Stephen King, The Shining. Today, it is considered one of his best works and one of the most revered horror films of all time.
Warner Bros
37/47 The shop at the corner of the street (1953)
It may be one of the most beloved romcoms of all time, but it has not been nominated for the Oscars.
Metro Goldwyn Mayer
38/47 Still walking (2008)
The portrait of a family of Japanese director Hirokazo Kore-eda for about 24 hours while he was commemorating the death of the eldest son was a blatant oblivion of the Academy.
IFC Films
39/47 swingers
Before becoming Disney, Jon Favreau (Iron Man, The Jungle Book and the upcoming movie The Lion King) wrote this independent film about the life of unemployed single actors living in Hollywood California during the swing revival of the 1990s.
Rex Features
40/47 It's England (2006
The 2007 ceremony would have been much better if Shane Meadows' upcoming drama had been in the running for rewards.
Optimal release
41/47 Three Kings (1999)
The Academy judged Silver Playbook Playbook and American Hustle worthy of nominations, but not David O Russell's Three Kings, which remains one of his biggest films to date.
Warner Bros Pictures
42/47 History of Tokyo (1953)
Tokyo Story is considered the masterpiece of Japanese director Yasujirō Ozu and was named best Sight & Sound movie of all time in 2012.
Rex Features
43/47 Touching evil (1958)
The black clbadic of Orson Welles was not as loved at the time of its release as today.
BFI
44/47 Tyrannosaurus (2011)
Olivia Colman may be in the running for the best actress at this year's ceremony, but the fact that she has not managed to get nominated (or Bafta, for that matter) for his role in the hit drama of Paddy Considine, Tyrannosaur, is one of the biggest oversights in history rewards.
StudioCbad UK
45/47 Walkabout (1971)
Another exceptional achievement by Nicolas Roeg in filmmaking that has failed to receive any Oscar nominations.
46/47 You never really were here (2018)
It's bad timing, but you've never been there, with Joaquin Phoenix, Lynne Ramsay, is a sensational work worthy of being rewarded.
Amazon Studio
47/47 Zodiac (2007)
Three years later, David Fincher faced Tom Hooper of The King Speech for The Social Network. In truth, the serial killer drama Zodiac is just as good as the drama of Facebook.
Warner Bros Pictures
On s'attend à ce que la série se concentre sur la meilleure année pour la musique dans les films, avec l’espoir de la meilleure actrice Lady Gaga pour interpréter «Shallow» du troisième remake de A star is born avec le réalisateur et co-star Bradley Cooper.
Gillian Welch et David Rawlings interpréteront la chanson "Ballad of Buster Scruggs" de "The Ballad of Buster Scruggs" de "Coen Brothers". Jennifer Hudson interprètera "I’ll Fight" du film documentaire RBG.
The favouriteOlivia Colman est en pole position pour décrocher le prix de la meilleure actrice pour sa superbe performance en tant que reine Anne, tandis que les co-stars Rachel Weisz et Emma Stone continueront leur rivalité fictive dans la catégorie Meilleure actrice dans un second rôle. Christian Bale est sur le point de remporter le prix du meilleur acteur pour son rôle d’ancien vice-président Dick Cheney dans la satire d’Adam McKay.
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