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A handful of candidates either announced exploratory committees (Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand) or announced their candidacy (Julian Castro).
But aside from Warren (potentially), the candidates who make up the high-level – at least at this early stage of the race – are still on the sidelines. Former Vice President Joe Biden seems to be heading towards a candidacy, but gave no indication as to when he could make a decision. Californian Senator Kamala Harris is an almost-announced candidate, but she continues to play shyly about her official entry. Former Texas representative, Beto O 'Rourke, is in search mode for the soul at the moment.
These decisions – we would be surprised if any of the three do not have run – have the potential to significantly upset the race. For the moment, however, the movement in the 2020 area is entirely in the second tier.
Speaking of which, here is our last overview of the 10 men and women most likely to win the Democratic nomination for the presidency in 2020, ranked.
ten. Julian Castro: On the merits of the former mayor of San Antonio, he did not play much: he just got into the game by announcing his candidacy last weekend. "I'm not a favorite in this race, but I've never been a favorite in my life," he said in making his candidacy official. The question that now arises to Castro is how he stands out in the race – especially if his fellow Texan O 'Rourke introduces himself. (Previous ranking: 9)
9. Amy Klobuchar: The Senegalese senator 's speech in Minnesota to voters will boil down to the election and pragmatism. Klobuchar's wide margin of re-election in 2018 in a state that almost won Trump could be sold to voters who desperately want to beat Trump. This, combined with a series of lawsuits and a rather moderate record (which may be rare among the contenders for 2020), could give him a unique track for the appointment. (Previous ranking: 7)
8. Kirsten Gillibrand: The New York Senator took part in the race earlier this week, positioning herself as a major voice for women in national politics. In the announcement of her exploration committee, Gillibrand put her young family at the center of her concerns – and noted that she was running for them. Speaking of fighting, his promise not to be afraid of Trump could give him some support among Democrats looking for a scrap metal dealer. The problem? She has a long list of votes in the House that is considerably more conservative than her votes in the Senate. (She is already trying to clean up this record, she told Rachel Maddow of MSNBC on Wednesday night that her previous gun and immigration stances were wrong.) (Previous ranking: 10)
7. Bernie Sanders: The 2016 finalist continues to rank in second place (far) primary voters in 2020 behind Biden. This, along with the growing liberalization of the Democratic base, is enough for him to always be a candidate. Make no mistake: his stock has fallen. Despite the recognition of the universal name, it can not come out of the primary polling years. There will also be candidates like O & # 39; Rourke who will be able to feed on the Sanders Youth Base. And the last few months have been particularly hard for the Vermont senator. For example, he had to apologize to the "harbaded or abused" women in his 2016 campaign by male campaigners. (Previous ranking: 6)
6. Sherrod Brown: If you are looking for a credible black horse, it is the senator of Ohio. Now, Brown is not yet in the running, but his announcement this week that he is embarking on a tour of listening to the state seems to indicate that he is likely to To be a candidate. Brown has proven himself by winning votes in a booming Midwestern state, a long tradition of liberal advocacy, and an authentic populist trend. But can he raise the funds needed to compete with big girls and boys? (Previous ranking: 8)
5. Cory Booker: Iowa and New Hampshire will play an important role in the nomination process for 2020. This is good news for the young senator from New Jersey, who worked hard to tie up relations in the first two states. Booker, like other specialists in the field, can point to a progressive record in the Senate. He is also one of only two black candidates in the field. (Black voters make up about 20% of the Democratic primary electorate.) Booker has two obvious flaws. First, many supporters of Sanders consider him a "neoliberal" for his ties to Wall Street. Secondly, Booker can be very energetic, but that can sometimes seem insincere. You may remember his "Spartacus moment". (Previous ranking: 4)
4. Elizabeth WarrenAfter a very chaotic announcement, the Senator from Mbadachusetts presented her Exploratory Committee in a beautiful composition, which she surprisingly announced on December 31st. she remains a powerful figure in the party. She is a liberal liberal with anti-corporatist credit and an ability to raise tens of millions of dollars. (Previous ranking: 5)
3. Joe Biden: The case of the former vice president is what he's always been: he holds a clear lead in the primary polls; his favorable marks with the Democrats are at its height; he has a substantial lead in the first votes against Trump (which reinforces an eligible argument); and he was second in command of the very popular President Barack Obama. Moreover, it seems now that Biden wants to run, which obviously increases his chances of winning. But Biden's problems are also clear. This is a moderate old Caucasian man in a young, diverse party anxious to elect progressives and women. (Previous ranking: 3)
2. Beto O 'Rourke: The former Texas Congressman is the most connected potential candidate on the field – by far. Many claim that it is the closest thing to Obama ever since, well, Obama. And while O 'Rourke has not clearly stated his intentions, his solo trip seems to be the sort of thing that would make anyone who would like to run for president. Even though O & # 39; Rourke still has a little time to solve this problem, his fuzziness on some issues could catch him up if he did not get in tune – and quickly. (Previous ranking: 2)
1. Kamala HarrisWhen you try to figure out who will win the nomination, you look at a checklist of attributes that work well in the current Democratic Party. The young Californian senator verifies almost all of them. Progressive? Check. Wife? Check. Black? Check. Can I take Trump? She is the former California Attorney General. However, Harris is back in the first polls, which prevents us from touching her. (Previous ranking: 1)
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