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Eli Manning and Matt Ryan will meet again on Sunday at MetLife Stadium, and the New York Giants are hoping things will go as well for them as they did on Jan. 8, 2012, when they beat Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons, 24. -2, in the NFC wildcard character set.
Manning was called up for an intentional stranding in the end zone, giving Atlanta a 2-0 safety and lead, but then pitched for 277 yards and three touchdowns to send the Giants en route to their Super Bowl XLVI championship. .
Ryan is 36, six years older than Manning in that encounter, and he’s still the Falcons quarterback as they invade the Meadowlands on Eli Manning’s jersey retirement day. Both teams are desperate at 0-2 and almost missed.
The Giants lost 30-29 to Washington on Thursday of week two on a second chance field goal from Dustin Hopkins after his failure was canceled out by a contested offside penalty. Atlanta fell 48-25 to the defending champions in Tampa, but that game was 28-25 midway through the fourth quarter. Ryan scored 35 of 46 for 300 yards before Mike Edwards of the Buccaneers made two pick-sixes.
The Giants have an advantage due to the extra rest as they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a Thursday night, per VSiN. But the frightening statistic is 75.6% – that’s the combined completion percentage the Giants defense gave Teddy Bridgewater and Taylor Heinicke. If that doesn’t improve dramatically, Ryan can take his long-awaited revenge and make sure halftime is the one thing Giants fans will want to remember.
The choice : Falcons, +2.5.
New York Jets (+10) over DENVER BRONCOS
This game has both the highest and lowest Over / Under point spread on the board. This brings you to the underdog, because if the point total should be low, it seems that it is more difficult for the favorite to cover a large number. The Jets offense wasn’t all bad last week. Zach Wilson went into the game with four interceptions, but they rushed for 152 yards on 4.9 yards per carry, and pass protection was better, at least in the first half. At 2-0 without an emergency, I can’t justify having double-digit numbers with Denver here.
Arizona Cardinals (-7.5) vs. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
The Cardinals were sliced and diced by the Vikings last week but held on for the win with a failed field goal. That same defense terrified the Titans the week before and is expected to cause trouble for Trevor Lawrence.
Baltimore Ravens (-8) vs. DETROIT LIONS
I usually catch more than a touchdown at home, but I can’t see the Lions, at rest, even stopping the Ravens’ offense a little. Lamar Jackson will hit a few passes down against a secondary missing his first two corners, and then the meat grinder run game will steal the Lions’ will.
Chicago Bears (+7) on CLEVELAND BROWNS
Justin Fields takes the start and thinks to give Chicago’s offense a little more juice than Andy Dalton. The Bears’ D comes off a solid performance against Cincinnati, and Browns coach Kevin Stefanski might not want to put a Baker Mayfield in danger too often against him.
Cincinnati Bengals (+3) vs. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
The first thought is that the Steelers aren’t going to lose in consecutive weeks to Heinz. Ben Roethlisberger is 24-8 against the Bengals, but he and many key defensive players are caught off guard, and even his small gap could end up mattering in a close game.
TENNESSEE TITANS (-5.5) vs. Indianapolis Colts
After a big win in Seattle, the Titans must come to terms with their fans who had to endure the 38-13 loss to Arizona in the home opener. Not interested in supporting Jacob Eason, Brett Hundley… or Carson Wentz on two sore ankles.
Los Angeles Chargers (+7) vs. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Psst. Have you heard that the Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 regular season games? The Chargers have averaged just 18.5 points per game against Washington and Dallas, but are expected to have more success against a KC defense that gave the Ravens 481 yards.
New Orleans Saints (+2.5) vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
VSiN’s Josh Appelbaum points out that the road underdogs of +6 or less are 9-1 ATS this season. The Saints followed a 38-3 Packers rout with a 26-7 hiccup in Carolina, but the line moved in their favor despite big public funds on the Patriots with a narrow spread.
BUFFALO BILLS (-8) vs. Washington football team
It’s a similar situation to the Titans’ game, in which the frontrunner takes a win and looks to redeem himself for a home opening dud. When it comes to WFT defense, it’s tough to get behind Taylor Heinicke at this stage when he’s only made one assist in his road career.
Miami Dolphins (+4) vs. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
How do you take Miami after a 35-0 beating, running long distances, as an outside turf team playing indoors on turf and using a backup quarterback (Jacoby Brissett)? See Saints and Titans to get a feel for how things can change in the NFL from week to week.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+1.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks
The total for this game is 55.5 after the Vikings gained 414 yards and gave up 474 against the Cardinals and the Seahawks surrendered 532 yards to the Titans. Minnesota has the advantage over the emergency with a 0-2 record.
LOS ANGELES RAMS (+1) on Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Looking for Aaron Donald and his cronies to make life a little more difficult for Tom Brady, who actually took a few hits from the Falcons last week.
Green Bay Packers (+3.5) on SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Another interesting tidbit from VSiN’s Appelbaum – teams making their home debut in week 3 have 13-30 ATS in those games over the past decade. This trend applies to this game, Jets-Broncos and Monday nights. Another reason to fade the 49ers is their group of running back injuries.
On Monday
Philadelphia Eagles (+4) vs. DALLAS COWBOYS
The Cowboys have a long injury list that includes DE DeMarcus Lawrence on IR, OT La’el Collins and questionable top WR Amari Cooper with a rib injury. The Eagles had their ups and downs in the first couple of weeks. Could get an outright win here.
Best bets: Packers, Crows, Eagles.
Lock of the week: Packers (locks 0-2 in 2021).
Last week: 10-6 in total, 1-2 best bets.
Thusday: Texans (L).
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